Solana (SOL) analysis: Will it reach $150 or $120 after the FOMC?
Solana (SOL), a top market leader, displays weakness dropping below its price range. Despite decreasing volumes, charts indicate a battle between a potential short-term technical rebound and a broader downtrend. Key levels and scenarios for SOL are analyzed amidst FOMC uncertainties.
Translated on December 9, 2025 at 12:06 by Simon Dumoulin
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The Hope for a Short-Term Bounce
On the 2-hour chart for Solana, a glimmer of hope remains for buyers. An Order Block (zone of concentrated orders) located between $129 and $133 could provide temporary support and trigger a technical bounce.
In this scenario, Solana could regain some altitude and test the $138 to $142 zone. This move would present an opportunity for short-term traders, but it should be considered with caution, as it may only be a brief rally before another decline.
The Underlying Trend Remains Bearish
However, when zooming out to the 16-hour chart, the picture is far less optimistic. A significant Order Block in the upper portion of the range indicates heavy distribution, meaning that large wallets have sold massively in this zone, creating strong selling pressure. For the trend to become bullish again, Solana would absolutely need to reclaim the $134 level to have any hope of reaching $141. But with volumes in sharp decline, buying strength appears to be absent.
The most likely scenario remains a bearish reversal. The current price weakness, coupled with the heavy distribution observed, suggests that Solana could continue its descent.
Target $117 to $120 Before 2026?
If the bearish trend confirms, the primary target lies at the bottom of the price range. A return to the $120 to $117 zone before the end of 2025 is an increasingly probable scenario. This level corresponds to a support zone where buyers could resurface, but a break of this level would open the door to an even deeper correction.
In conclusion, while a short-term bounce on Solana is possible, the medium-term signals are predominantly bearish. The heavy distribution in the upper range and weak volumes are unmistakable signs. For traders, the most prudent strategy would be to wait and see if the $129-$133 support holds for a quick trade, while keeping in mind that the underlying trend favors a continuation of the decline. The $117-$120 zone will be the real test for Solana in the coming weeks, and could represent an accumulation opportunity for long-term investors.
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Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.
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