{"id":18789,"date":"2025-10-11T10:01:45","date_gmt":"2025-10-11T09:01:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=18789"},"modified":"2025-10-11T10:01:47","modified_gmt":"2025-10-11T09:01:47","slug":"why-bitcoin-could-still-lose-50-of-its-value-against-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-bitcoin-could-still-lose-50-of-its-value-against-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bitcoin Could Still Lose 50% of Its Value Against Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-thesis-of-a-major-retracement-in-the-btc-gold-ratio\">The Thesis of a Major Retracement in the BTC\/Gold Ratio<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, highlights a <strong>concerning divergence between <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> and gold<\/strong>. The BTC\/Gold ratio, which measures how many ounces of gold equal one Bitcoin, has reached <strong>historic highs<\/strong> before showing signs of technical weakness. McGlone identifies a <strong>key resistance<\/strong> around <strong>30 ounces of gold per <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong>. A level that the market is struggling to sustainably break through.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This technical resistance coincides with a sentiment shift in traditional markets. Central banks have been massively accumulating physical <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/pax-gold\/\">gold<\/a> since 2022, with <strong>over 1,000 tonnes purchased in 2023<\/strong> according to the World Gold Council. This institutional demand firmly supports gold prices. Meanwhile, Bitcoin faces <strong>regulatory pressures<\/strong> and <strong>decreasing liquidity<\/strong> in crypto markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The critical support lies around <strong>15 ounces of gold per Bitcoin<\/strong>, representing a <strong>potential 50% decline<\/strong> from recent highs. This zone also corresponds to Fibonacci retracement levels that have historically served as <strong>floors during previous Bitcoin bear markets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Could Halve vs. Gold &#8211; Model vs. Volatility <br>It&#39;s hardly profound to expect stock-market volatility to recover from multiyear lows, which might guide the potential for some mean reversion in the ounces of gold equal to a Bitcoin.<br>Full report on the Bloomberg here:\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/eNG08TxyRz\">pic.twitter.com\/eNG08TxyRz<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikemcglone11\/status\/1976603173650366485?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 10, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"why-gold-is-regaining-the-edge-over-bitcoin\">Why Gold is Regaining the Edge Over Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The current macroeconomic environment clearly favors <strong>traditional safe-haven assets<\/strong>. Gold benefits from several <strong>simultaneous catalysts<\/strong>: persistent geopolitical tensions, growing budget deficits in developed economies, and increased distrust of digital assets following <strong>recent scandals in the crypto sector<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s volatility remains its Achilles&#8217; heel compared to <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">gold<\/a>. Over the <strong>past 90 days<\/strong>, BTC has recorded <strong>daily swings exceeding 5%<\/strong>, while gold typically fluctuates below <strong>2%<\/strong>. This volatility difference drives pension funds and corporate treasuries toward precious metals rather than cryptocurrencies. Investment flows into gold ETFs have largely <strong>surpassed those of spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/strong> since their launch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>McGlone also emphasizes that the <strong>correlation between Bitcoin and technology <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/microstrategy-stock\/\">stocks<\/a><\/strong> remains high, compromising its <strong>status as an independent safe haven<\/strong>. During risk-off phases, BTC often follows the Nasdaq downward. Unlike gold, which fully maintains its <strong>role as portfolio protection<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Vs Gold<br><br>A once in a generation breakout is coming. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ss2N2uddkW\">pic.twitter.com\/Ss2N2uddkW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The \u20bfitcoin Therapist (@TheBTCTherapist) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheBTCTherapist\/status\/1976117793625080169?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 9, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"can-bitcoin-bulls-invalidate-this-scenario\">Can Bitcoin Bulls Invalidate This Scenario?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this <strong>bearish prediction<\/strong>, several <strong>bullish factors<\/strong> could <strong>reverse the trend<\/strong>. Bitcoin&#8217;s halving and growing institutional adoption via spot ETFs constitute solid arguments for the bulls. On-chain data shows that long-term holders continue to accumulate, with <strong>more than 70% of the circulating supply remaining unmoved<\/strong> for at least <strong>six months<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Innovation in the Bitcoin ecosystem, particularly with the Lightning Network and layer 2 solutions, strengthens the network&#8217;s value proposition. If Bitcoin demonstrates <strong>increasing utility beyond store of value<\/strong>, it could decouple from gold and justify a <strong>valuation premium<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The central question remains whether these technological developments will materialize quickly enough to counter the macroeconomic pressures identified by Bloomberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> hasn\u2019t changed trend.<br><br>It still remains bullish. <br><br>Yesterday\u2019s fall caused panic fall which was an over reaction to an extent bcz <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Crypto?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Crypto<\/a> was all set to rally &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/DonaldTrump?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#DonaldTrump<\/a> post caused bearishness when market wasn\u2019t ready.<br><br>If things doesn\u2019t escalate from here, this is\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T50bAR0bkF\">pic.twitter.com\/T50bAR0bkF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; UremO \ud83d\udc51 (@UremO_24) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UremO_24\/status\/1976911579640906207?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 11, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/simon\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/simon\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1.png\" alt=\"bonus bitget 10 dollars\" class=\"wp-image-18527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1.png 900w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1-300x67.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1-768x171.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related topics:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/exploring-why-litecoin-ltc-could-skyrocket-similar-to-bnb\/\">Exploring Why Litecoin (LTC) Could Skyrocket Similar to BNB<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/asters-plunge-to-1-5-is-it-time-to-seize-the-opportunity-or-wait\/\">Aster \u2018s Plunge to $1.5: Is it Time to Seize the Opportunity or Wait?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-are-whales-selling-their-xrp-at-an-unprecedented-rate\/\">Why are whales selling their XRP at an unprecedented rate?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Bloomberg expert has just dropped a bombshell on the crypto market: Bitcoin could halve in value compared to gold in the coming months. This prediction is based on a technical analysis of the BTC\/Gold ratio and market dynamics currently favoring the yellow metal. Institutional investors appear to be adjusting their positions accordingly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":18788,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"\"Why Bitcoin May Still Lose 50% Against Gold\"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Discover why a Bloomberg analyst predicts Bitcoin will plummet 50% against gold. Uncover the reasons behind this market-shaking analysis now.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Why Bitcoin May Still Lose 50% Against Gold&quot;<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover why a Bloomberg analyst predicts Bitcoin will plummet 50% against gold. 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. 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