{"id":19353,"date":"2025-10-19T11:38:28","date_gmt":"2025-10-19T10:38:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=19353"},"modified":"2025-10-19T11:38:30","modified_gmt":"2025-10-19T10:38:30","slug":"bitcoin-are-we-on-the-verge-of-explosive-surge-or-imminent-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-are-we-on-the-verge-of-explosive-surge-or-imminent-crash\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Are We on the Verge of a Explosive Surge or Imminent Crash?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bitcoin Open Interest Plunges into Fear<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Last weekend marked a brutal turning point<\/strong> for the Bitcoin<\/a> market. The flash crash<\/strong> that sent BTC<\/strong> toward $101,000<\/strong> triggered an unprecedented wave of liquidations<\/strong> on derivatives platforms. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that Bitcoin’s Open Interest variation has fallen to -25<\/strong>, a level not seen<\/strong> since mid-2023<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This metric measures changes in the total number of active futures contracts<\/strong> in the market. Such a drastic drop indicates that a massive amount of leveraged positions<\/strong> were liquidated within hours. Overexposed traders were flushed out of the system, leaving a market cleansed of excessive leverage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last time Open Interest reached a similar level was in April 2025<\/strong>, when Bitcoin<\/a> corrected from $106,000<\/strong> to $76,300<\/strong>. This similarity in on-chain data<\/strong> raises a crucial question: Are we witnessing another major inflection point for the market?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analysts describe this Open Interest level as an extreme fear zone<\/strong>. Market sentiment is deeply shaken, but historically, these moments of intense capitulation<\/strong> have often preceded significant recovery phases<\/strong>. The market, now rid of excessive leverage, becomes technically healthier<\/strong>, even if collective psychology remains fragile.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A Historically Bullish Signal for Bitcoin Price?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Analysis of previous cycles offers an enlightening perspective: When Open Interest drops sharply after a price decline, it typically indicates a massive wave of long position liquidations<\/strong>. This expels overly optimistic traders and paves the way for a more stable market structure<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last April, after a similar drop to -25<\/strong>, Bitcoin<\/strong> began a prolonged bullish trend<\/strong>. Breaking through $106,000<\/strong> and reaching new all-time highs<\/strong>, representing a 40-50% increase<\/strong> over several months. If the market repeats this pattern, BTC could target $150,000 by 2026<\/strong>, building on a market cleaned of excessive leverage and offering a solid technical foundation<\/strong> for a sustainable rise<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming days will be crucial in determining the direction of Bitcoin. The price is currently hovering around $106,900<\/strong>, with a 1.4% increase<\/strong> over 24 hours. This post-flash crash stabilization<\/strong> suggests selling pressure is exhausting, while macroeconomic dynamics, flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/strong>, and institutional sentiment will continue to play a decisive role in the market recovery<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Several key indicators<\/strong> to watch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n