{"id":19951,"date":"2025-10-25T12:21:20","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T11:21:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=19951"},"modified":"2025-10-25T12:21:21","modified_gmt":"2025-10-25T11:21:21","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-subsiding-ahead-of-potential-short-squeeze-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-volatility-subsiding-ahead-of-potential-short-squeeze-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Volatility Subsiding Ahead of Potential Short Squeeze Rally?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-in-a-zone-of-uncertainty\">Bitcoin in a Zone of Uncertainty<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> is currently navigating through a <strong>zone of uncertainty<\/strong> marked by <strong>persistent selling pressure<\/strong> since October&#8217;s brutal correction. Despite this downward momentum, on-chain data reveals a <strong>subtle yet significant shift in <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/market-maker\/\">market<\/a> structure<\/strong>. The volatility that exploded during the crash is finally beginning to subside on the daily timeframe. This gradual cooling suggests that erratic movements are coming to an end and a more stable consolidation phase is taking hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">On the daily timeframe, volatility remains very high, but the slope is already decreasing. When the index begins to fall, the market will be able to realize accumulated shorts for the next rally, provided that no external shock occurs in the global market that would cause US\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PuKXmZdj1D\">pic.twitter.com\/PuKXmZdj1D<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1981590570465219028?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 24, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>CryptoQuant data shows that the volatility slope has begun a notable decline. This decrease is not insignificant: it typically indicates that <strong>the market is digesting recent shocks<\/strong> and excessive speculative positions are unwinding. Professional traders know that flattening volatility after a period of intense stress often precedes a major impulse movement, whether bullish or bearish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The macroeconomic context remains <strong>a determining factor<\/strong>. <strong>US Treasury yields continue to fluctuate<\/strong>, geopolitical tensions persist, and institutional investors continue to arbitrage between risk assets and safe havens. This complex configuration <strong>keeps market sentiment in a neutral zone<\/strong> where long-term holders demonstrate resilience while short-term traders take profits cautiously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"short-squeeze-mechanics-in-preparation\">Short Squeeze Mechanics in Preparation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Renowned analyst <strong>Axel Adler<\/strong> identifies in this stabilization phase <strong>the early signs of a potential short squeeze.<\/strong> The mechanism is classic: when volatility decreases after a correction, short positions accumulated during the decline become vulnerable. If the price begins to rise with conviction, these short sellers are forced to <strong>buy back their positions to limit losses<\/strong>, creating a cascading buying pressure that amplifies the upward movement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase has dropped into the Bottom \/ Accumulation zone, indicating a decrease in speculative pressure. In a bull market, such values coincide with periods of position accumulation before the next growth phase. To realize a rally, volatility needs to decrease and\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bdVMsI7RCA\">pic.twitter.com\/bdVMsI7RCA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1981590657085866277?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 24, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Liquidation data shows that significant concentrations of shorts are positioned between <strong>$112,000 and $115,000.<\/strong> A clean break above these levels could trigger a chain reaction where forced liquidations propel Bitcoin toward the <strong>$117,500 to $120,000 zone.<\/strong> This scenario has occurred multiple times in BTC&#8217;s history, particularly after prolonged consolidation phases following violent crashes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adler, however, <strong>cautions against excessive optimism.<\/strong> The short squeeze will materialize <strong>only if the macroeconomic environment remains stable<\/strong>. A sharp rise in US bond yields or a strengthening dollar could instantly reverse market sentiment toward risk-off, forcing capital to flee volatile assets like <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> in favor of safer investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buy your Bitcoin on <strong>Bitget<\/strong> and receive <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">$10 bonus<\/a><\/strong> with just a few clicks right now:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1.png\" alt=\"cta with blue background for bonus Bitget 10 dollars activate bonuses\" class=\"wp-image-18527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1.png 900w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1-300x67.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN1-768x171.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"technical-analysis-bitcoin-between-support-and-resistance\">Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Between Support and Resistance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On a purely technical level, Bitcoin is trading around <strong>$111,526<\/strong> in a lateral range structure. The daily chart shows that the 50-day moving average now acts as a dynamic <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/investir-cryptomonnaie\/trading\/support-resistance\">resistance<\/a>, repeatedly rejecting rebound attempts. This MA50 constitutes the first major obstacle to overcome to validate a bullish reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"751\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-138.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart with SMA moving averages and Order Block in 16-hour chart\" class=\"wp-image-19954\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-138.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-138-300x220.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-138-768x563.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Critical support lies between <strong>$108,000 and $106,000<\/strong>, a zone that coincides with the 200-day moving average. This level has held strong during recent selling pressures and represents an important psychological defense line. A break below would confirm a bearish continuation toward <strong>$105,000 at minimum,<\/strong> while maintaining above preserves the chances of recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the bulls to regain control, a daily close above $113,000 accompanied by significant volume would be necessary. This breakout would open the path <strong>toward retesting resistance at $117,500,<\/strong> a level where substantial liquidity is concentrated. Momentum indicators remain neutral, reflecting the current market indecision waiting for a decisive catalyst to break out of this range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"557\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-112.png\" alt=\"Heat map chart of put calls for IBIT Bitcoin ETFs\" class=\"wp-image-19955\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-112.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-112-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/image-112-768x418.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Source: CheckonChain<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the zone between <strong>$112,000 and $113,800<\/strong> remains a solid wall to overcome. Moreover, <strong>$113,000<\/strong> corresponds to the average purchase price of short-term Bitcoin ETF buyers. This is a crucial level as IBIT <strong>Bitcoin ETF<\/strong> holders tend to panic below these prices and <strong>take profits above this threshold.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>On the same topic:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-chainlink-is-about-to-explode-unveiling-potential-reasons\/\">Why Chainlink is About to Explode: Unveiling the Potential Reasons<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/will-trump-pardon-ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried\/\">Will Trump Pardon FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/1-77-trillion-giant-launches-crypto-etf-featuring-btc-eth-sol-and-xrp\/\">$1.77 Trillion Giant Launches Crypto ETF Featuring BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After weeks of turbulence, Bitcoin is showing signs of stabilization, hinting at a possible major move. Volatility has been decreasing since the October 10 crash, with analysts closely monitoring indicators for a potential short squeeze. Amid macroeconomic uncertainty and trader repositioning, the market is at a critical inflection point where every technical signal matters.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":19949,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Is It the Calm Before a Potential Short Squeeze Rally?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover how Bitcoin &#039;s volatility is stabilizing post-October crash. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. 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