{"id":20132,"date":"2025-10-29T09:06:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T09:06:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=20132"},"modified":"2025-10-29T09:06:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T09:06:13","slug":"long-term-holders-shift-4657-bitcoin-is-an-explosion-or-crash-looming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/long-term-holders-shift-4657-btc-is-an-explosion-or-crash-looming\/","title":{"rendered":"Long-Term Holders Shift 4,657 BTC: Is an Explosion or Crash Looming?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

When Historical Bitcoin Whales Awaken from Their Slumber<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The movement of 4,657 Bitcoin<\/strong> from wallets dormant for three to five years constitutes a major on-chain signal. This cohort of holders typically corresponds to early investors from the previous bull<\/a> cycle<\/strong> or strategic holders. These individuals have weathered several bear markets. When these coins move after years of inactivity, it rarely signals panic selling. Instead, it indicates a calculated rotation of allocations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"BTC<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin’s<\/a> history shows that similar awakenings of long-term supply have preceded important structural changes. During past consolidation phases, these reactivations occurred as experienced investors prepared for increased volatility<\/strong>. This was either to secure profits near local tops or to reposition before a trend reversal<\/strong>. The magnitude of the current movement indicates that historical whales are reassessing their positions in anticipation of the imminent interest rate decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What makes this situation particularly interesting is the contrast with current market sentiment. Despite increased activity from long-term holders<\/strong>, on-chain indicators like the Bull-Bear Structure Index and the Unified Sentiment Index remain in a moderately bullish zone<\/strong>. This implies that while some early adopters are taking profits or reallocating assets, the overall market conviction continues to improve. This is particularly evident with Bitcoin<\/a> holding above the crucial support of $113,000-$114,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"cta<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Technical Structure Confirms a Bullish Medium-Term Bias<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

On the three-day chart, Bitcoin<\/a> is currently trading near $114,485<\/strong>, displaying a solid recovery since October’s sell-off. The technical structure reveals that the price firmly maintains above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages. This is a key structural signal<\/strong> confirming the integrity of the medium-term trend despite recent volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The next major resistance level<\/strong> sits at $117,500, a zone that has systematically hindered Bitcoin’s advances over the past two months. A successful breakout with a daily close above this threshold could pave the way for a test of $125,000<\/strong>, potentially marking the beginning of a significant new bullish impulse<\/strong>. However, rejection at this level could trigger another short-term consolidation phase, with traders taking profits within this range amid persistent macroeconomic uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To the downside, immediate support is positioned around $111,000-$112,000<\/strong>. Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average near $96,000<\/strong> continues to provide solid long-term structural support. Momentum indicators combined with on-chain data, including sentiment recovery and stable liquidity conditions, suggest that buying interest is gradually returning to both spot and derivatives markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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