{"id":20460,"date":"2025-11-02T08:39:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-02T08:39:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=20460"},"modified":"2025-11-02T08:39:48","modified_gmt":"2025-11-02T08:39:48","slug":"is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Bitcoin Facing Imminent Bear Market Threat?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-enters-the-final-phase-of-its-bull-cycle-when-will-it-reach-its-peak\">Bitcoin Enters the Final Phase of its Bull Cycle: When Will It Reach Its Peak?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> has struggled to maintain its <strong>bullish momentum<\/strong> since early October, despite a macroeconomic context that should have been favorable. The leading cryptocurrency breached the psychological level of <strong>$110,000<\/strong> downward following the Federal Reserve&#8217;s decision to cut interest rates on October 29. This mixed market reaction raises legitimate questions about the strength of the current cycle and BTC&#8217;s ability to continue its upward trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Contrary to the expectations of the most optimistic bulls, the <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">cryptocurrency<\/a> market has displayed a <strong>largely pessimistic sentiment<\/strong> this October. However, according to Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, this consolidation phase <strong>could precede one final major rally<\/strong> before the arrival of the next bear market. The blockchain expert bases his analysis on technical models that have historically predicted previous cycle peaks with precision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"peak-expected-between-143000-and-146000-according-to-the-sma-intersect-max-model\">Peak Expected Between $143,000 and $146,000 According to the SMA Intersect Max Model<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a publication on X dated October 31, <strong>Joao Wedson<\/strong> shared a detailed analysis based on the <strong>SMA Intersect Max Model<\/strong>, an indicator that has accurately identified the tops of Bitcoin&#8217;s previous bull cycles. According to this model, represented by a blue line on his charts, the BTC price should reach a new all-time high in a range between <strong>$143,000 and $146,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Are we just days away from a possible new Bitcoin ATH? \ud83d\udc40<br><br>If we base it on Alphractal\u2019s most intriguing metric, the top hasn\u2019t happened yet.<br>Since the last time I mentioned the Max Intersect SMA Model, BTC jumped from $60K to $62K, and once it gets close to $68K, that could mark\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gun3rqLB3G\">https:\/\/t.co\/gun3rqLB3G<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZFKauORxVA\">pic.twitter.com\/ZFKauORxVA<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1984289827869606298?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 31, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This forecast is also supported by the Bitcoin Intelligent Model, whose price recently increased from <strong>$60,000 to $62,664<\/strong>. Alphractal&#8217;s CEO emphasizes that once this indicator reaches the <strong>$68,000<\/strong> zone, it could signal the exact day of Bitcoin&#8217;s new all-time high. This level would therefore represent a <strong>crucial temporal marker<\/strong> for traders looking to identify the optimal exit timing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wedson insists that the market is <strong>currently going through a distribution phase<\/strong>, characterized by lateral movements and a search for liquidity both upward and downward. This technical configuration is typical of the final stages of a bull cycle, when smart money begins to distribute their positions to retail investors still convinced of an imminent rise to extreme levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-distribution-phase-a-warning-signal-for-investors\">The Distribution Phase: A Warning Signal for Investors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The founder of Alphractal warns against the ambient euphoria that persists among many investors. <strong>&#8220;Now, many are afraid to sell, convinced that we&#8217;re heading straight to $250,000,&#8221;<\/strong> explains Wedson. This market psychology represents precisely the classic signature of a <strong>distribution phase<\/strong> according to the analyst. Historically, cycle peaks form when the general consensus <strong>still anticipates substantial gains<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Savvy investors recognize these distribution patterns as opportunities to secure their profits rather than chasing hypothetical gains. The current lateral price movement, oscillating around $110,000, corresponds to this dynamic where institutional sellers progressively transfer their positions to less experienced buyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wedson also warns that the <strong>bear market could arrive faster than anticipated<\/strong> by the market. This caution aligns with observations from many on-chain analysts who note an accumulation of bearish signals: reduced trading volumes, decreased network activity, and capital rotation towards stablecoins. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately <strong>$110,420<\/strong>, slightly up 0.1% over 24 hours, but still showing a decline of more than 1% over the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Deposit your BTC on <strong>Bitget<\/strong> and earn <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">10% cashback<\/a><\/strong> to generate returns despite BTC price consolidation now and in just a few clicks with our exclusive offer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN3.png\" alt=\"Bitget banner with 10% cashback bonus on a blue background and an \u201cactivate bonus\u201d button surrounded by gifts and two tokens\" class=\"wp-image-20377\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN3.png 900w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN3-300x67.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-EN3-768x171.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related topics:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/when-will-the-trump-token-reach-100\/\">When Will the TRUMP Token Reach $100?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-coinbase-launching-its-own-crypto-analyzing-base-airdrop-rumors\/\">Is Coinbase Launching Its Own Crypto? Analyzing the Base Airdrop Rumors<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/how-solanas-etf-could-drive-sol-price-to-500\/\">How Solana\u2019s ETF Could Drive SOL Price to $500?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is currently in the final phase of its bullish cycle, with CEO of Alphractal predicting a peak between $143,000 and $146,000. Technical signals indicate a critical distribution phase, while some investors foresee a rise towards $250,000. The exact timing of this peak could be influenced by a specific indicator: the Bitcoin Intelligent Model.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":20458,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the Bitcoin Bear Market Imminent? Stay Alert!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover expert predictions for Bitcoin &#039;s final phase, ranging from $143K to $146K. 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Learn when the cycle peak is expected to hit.","og_site_name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis &amp; Forecasts","article_published_time":"2025-11-02T08:39:47+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-11-02T08:39:48+00:00","og_image":[{"width":840,"height":560,"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Laction-des-prix-de-Cardano-et-les-niveaux-a-venir-2025-11-02T073128.498.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Charles Ledoux","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@charl3li","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Charles Ledoux","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/"},"author":{"name":"Charles Ledoux","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a99817b9d097ee5a69e24946de94c23a"},"headline":"Is Bitcoin Facing Imminent Bear Market Threat?","datePublished":"2025-11-02T08:39:47+00:00","dateModified":"2025-11-02T08:39:48+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/"},"wordCount":566,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Laction-des-prix-de-Cardano-et-les-niveaux-a-venir-2025-11-02T073128.498.jpg?wsr","articleSection":["Bitcoin","News"],"inLanguage":"en-US","copyrightYear":"2025","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/","name":"Is the Bitcoin Bear Market Imminent? Stay Alert!","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Laction-des-prix-de-Cardano-et-les-niveaux-a-venir-2025-11-02T073128.498.jpg?wsr","datePublished":"2025-11-02T08:39:47+00:00","dateModified":"2025-11-02T08:39:48+00:00","description":"Discover expert predictions for Bitcoin 's final phase, ranging from $143K to $146K. Learn when the cycle peak is expected to hit.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Laction-des-prix-de-Cardano-et-les-niveaux-a-venir-2025-11-02T073128.498.jpg?wsr","contentUrl":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Laction-des-prix-de-Cardano-et-les-niveaux-a-venir-2025-11-02T073128.498.jpg?wsr","width":840,"height":560,"caption":"\"Bitcoin on mountain peak at sunrise\""},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-facing-imminent-bear-market-threat\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Is Bitcoin Facing Imminent Bear Market Threat?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/","name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization","name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/investx_logo_noir.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/investx_logo_noir.svg","width":1,"height":1,"caption":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a99817b9d097ee5a69e24946de94c23a","name":"Charles Ledoux","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/47d3a48e5bca34238d22886640ecc684e7dd54ad63c435f7005f6b5a1e0ddf8c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/47d3a48e5bca34238d22886640ecc684e7dd54ad63c435f7005f6b5a1e0ddf8c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/47d3a48e5bca34238d22886640ecc684e7dd54ad63c435f7005f6b5a1e0ddf8c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Charles Ledoux"},"description":"Je suis un analyste sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans les blockchains L1 et leurs fondamentaux comme Bitcoin, Kaspa, Monero, Chainlink ou encore Solana. Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20460"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20460\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20476,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20460\/revisions\/20476"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20458"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}