{"id":20900,"date":"2025-11-06T13:05:20","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T13:05:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=20900"},"modified":"2025-11-06T13:05:21","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T13:05:21","slug":"analyzing-how-the-recent-crash-could-trigger-a-bitcoin-surge-past-200000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/analyzing-how-the-recent-crash-could-trigger-a-bitcoin-surge-past-200000\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyzing How the Recent Crash Could Trigger a Bitcoin Surge Past $200,000"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-mid-cycle-correction-for-bitcoin-not-a-bear-market\">A Mid-Cycle Correction for Bitcoin, Not a Bear Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On-chain data reveals that <strong>nearly 29% of <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin &#8216;s<\/a> circulating supply is currently held at a loss<\/strong>. In other words, these coins were purchased at prices higher than the current market value. At first glance, this figure may seem concerning. However, this is exactly the same signal that manifested before the rallies of <strong>2017, 2021, and 2024.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perera describes this phenomenon as a <strong>&#8220;mid-cycle reset.&#8221;<\/strong> Historically, after each similar correction, Bitcoin has followed with gains between <strong>150% and 400%<\/strong> over the subsequent six months. This pattern repeats: recent investors panic and sell, while long-term holders quietly accumulate at bargain prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The other commonly cited figure\u2014<strong>more than 97% of wallets in profit<\/strong>\u2014actually masks an unequal distribution. The majority of these wallets belong to early adopters who purchased BTC well below <strong>$10,000<\/strong>. Meanwhile, newcomers are predominantly <strong>underwater<\/strong>. This configuration typically precedes an <strong>accumulation phase before the next leg up<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Try to win 1,000 USDT by launching your trading bot!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-6-trillion-target-a-monetary-shift-underway\">The $6 Trillion Target: A Monetary Shift Underway<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Perera&#8217;s reasoning is based on macroeconomic analysis. The global financial system contains <strong>more than $100 trillion<\/strong> of fiat money in circulation (M2 aggregate). A growing portion of this money is seeking refuge in <strong>rare and non-inflationary assets<\/strong> like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the analyst, this capital movement could propel <strong>BTC&#8217;s market cap toward $6 trillion<\/strong> in the coming years. This would imply a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> price well exceeding $300,000<\/strong>, or even higher. This scenario isn&#8217;t pure speculation: Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have already <strong>surpassed $149 billion<\/strong>, while the supply of stablecoins\u2014considered <strong>waiting liquidity<\/strong>\u2014has increased by <strong>$50 billion since July<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Whales<\/strong> and <strong>institutions<\/strong> are accumulating while <strong>retail investors panic<\/strong>. <strong>Long-term holders now control approximately 70% of the circulating supply<\/strong> and show no signs of distribution. This is a <strong>major bullish signal<\/strong> that the market is still ignoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">THE $6 TRILLION ENDGAME NOBODY SAW COMING<br><br>November 6, 2025 &#8211; Bitcoin just flashed the exact signature that preceded every parabolic explosion in history, and 99% of market participants are looking the wrong way.<br><br>29.2% of supply now underwater. Not a collapse signal. A launch\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bgCL2EV5Hs\">pic.twitter.com\/bgCL2EV5Hs<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Shanaka Anslem Perera \u26a1 (@shanaka86) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/shanaka86\/status\/1986193539378913547?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trade BTC like a pro with this <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">trading bot<\/a><\/strong> !<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-leverage-flush-for-bitcoin-a-beneficial-reset\">The Leverage Flush for Bitcoin: A Beneficial Reset<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent volatility has triggered <strong>the liquidation of more than $19 billion<\/strong> in leveraged positions, causing <strong>open interest to drop by 42%<\/strong>. Funding rates have fallen near zero, indicating that the overheated derivatives market has completely cooled off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <strong>flush is crucial<\/strong>. It eliminates forced sellers\u2014those overleveraged traders whose liquidations create <strong>downward cascades<\/strong>. Now, the market is cleansed, sterilized, and ready for an organic recovery. Perera estimates that <strong>the next 180 days<\/strong> could mark the <strong>beginning of a new major bull run<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>psychological support of $100,000<\/strong>, though briefly broken, was quickly reclaimed. This type of fakeout liquidates weak positions before a <strong>genuine upward movement<\/strong>. Experienced traders recognize this as a <strong>classic bear trap structure<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\uddde\ufe0f Open Interest drawdown now exceeds the October 10 liquidation shock.<br><br>&quot;Bitcoin open interest on major centralized exchanges is still struggling to recover. Since the wave of liquidations on October 10, it seems that leverage usage has cooled off somewhat. <br>As a result, we are\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RSHVozAAFW\">pic.twitter.com\/RSHVozAAFW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Darkfost_Coc\/status\/1986151601703108846?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>On the same topic:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-did-justin-sun-purchase-154-million-worth-of-ethereum-instead-of-trx\/\">Why Did Justin Sun Purchase $154 Million Worth of Ethereum Instead of TRX?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/3-reasons-why-zcash-could-skyrocket-to-1000\/\">3 Reasons Why Zcash Could Skyrocket to $1000<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-surges-13-will-2-hold-or-are-we-headed-towards-a-deeper-drop\/\">XRP Surges 13%: Will $2 Hold or Are We Headed Towards a Deeper Drop?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has just crossed a critical psychological threshold by briefly dipping below $100,000, wiping out nearly $2 billion in market capitalization within hours. Far from indicating the end of the bullish cycle, this correction might be the final shakeout before a historic rally. Financial analyst Shanaka Anslem Perera even mentions a $6 trillion market cap target for BTC. Discover why this sudden drop could conceal a major opportunity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":20899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Why the Recent Crash Could Trigger a Bitcoin Explosion&quot;<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Is Bitcoin Headed Below $100K? Market Plunge or Investment Chance? 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. 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Market Plunge or Investment Chance? 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. Suivez-moi sur LinkedIn et X pour ne manquer aucune analyse.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/SimonDml1"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/simon_redacteur\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20900","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20900"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20900\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20908,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20900\/revisions\/20908"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20899"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20900"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20900"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20900"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}