{"id":21734,"date":"2025-11-17T10:07:37","date_gmt":"2025-11-17T10:07:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=21734"},"modified":"2025-11-17T10:07:39","modified_gmt":"2025-11-17T10:07:39","slug":"why-bitcoins-bounce-back-could-be-a-trap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-bitcoins-bounce-back-could-be-a-trap\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bitcoin&#8217;s Bounce Back Could Be a Trap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-must-confront-the-99000-level\">Bitcoin Must Confront the $99,000 Level<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> is currently trading in a delicate technical configuration that&#8217;s dividing traders. After plunging toward the <strong>$92,500 to $94,000 zone,<\/strong> corresponding to the Fibonacci golden pocket, BTC is showing <strong>oversold signals<\/strong> on the daily chart. This buyer reaction from this key level provides <strong>a temporary foundation<\/strong> for a <strong>potential technical bounce.<\/strong> However, the macroeconomic context and institutional flows tell a very different story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Selling pressure maintains its grip on the market. The overbought conditions observed during previous peaks have given way to persistent bearish momentum. The <strong>$99,000 to $100,000 zone,<\/strong> formerly support, is transforming into <strong>major resistance<\/strong>. Any rally from current levels will need to overcome this psychological and technical barrier before considering a sustained recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-etfs-are-draining-market-liquidity\">Bitcoin ETFs Are Draining Market Liquidity<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers speak for themselves: last Thursday, approximately <strong>$866 million<\/strong> left spot Bitcoin ETFs, followed by an additional <strong>$492 million<\/strong> on Friday. BlackRock, the asset management giant, alone recorded outflows of <strong>$463 million<\/strong> on that single day. These massive withdrawals are not insignificant for market structure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When investors withdraw capital from an ETF, the issuer must liquidate an equivalent amount of <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> to honor redemptions. This mechanism directly injects <strong>selling pressure on the spot market<\/strong>. Recent BTC declines coincide perfectly with these negative flows, transforming ETFs from a bullish catalyst into a vector for bearish volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This institutional dynamic weighs heavily on market sentiment. Trading volumes remain elevated, but primarily oriented toward selling. Without a reversal of these ETF flows, <strong>it&#8217;s difficult to imagine a lasting recovery<\/strong> beyond simple technical bounces on support zones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-rare-warning-signal-on-the-weekly-chart\">A Rare Warning Signal on the Weekly Chart<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The weekly <strong>SuperTrend<\/strong> indicator has just issued its <strong>first bearish reversal signal since early 2023.<\/strong> This system, renowned for filtering market noise and identifying major trend changes, is not yet confirmed. A weekly close below $96,000 would definitively validate this shift, potentially marking the end of the current bull cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BTC SuperTrend has flipped bearish after three years. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NxnJeVpfwG\">pic.twitter.com\/NxnJeVpfwG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Crypto Kid (@CryptoKid) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoKid\/status\/1990220034233586041?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 17, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Even more concerning, Bitcoin displays a clear bearish divergence between price and RSI. While BTC has formed successive higher highs in recent months, the relative strength index is drawing <strong>declining peaks.<\/strong> This classic configuration betrays a progressive <strong>exhaustion<\/strong> of buying strength and generally announces a slowdown or even trend reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The daily technical structure confirms this weakness. The downward break of the <strong>$99,000 to $100,000 zone<\/strong> constitutes a significant support break. In technical analysis, a former support becomes resistance once broken. Buyers who defended this zone become potential sellers on any return toward these levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-scenarios-for-the-coming-weeks\">What Scenarios for the Coming Weeks?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently at <strong>$95,500,<\/strong> Bitcoin is approaching its first test between <strong>$95,800 and $96,600.<\/strong> If this level is broken, it will seek the next crucial resistance zone between <strong>$96,600 and $100,400.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"766\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-112.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart in 2-hour timeframe with FBB and Order Blocks\" class=\"wp-image-21740\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-112.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-112-300x224.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-112-768x575.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that numerous shorts are to be liquidated up to <strong>$98,600.<\/strong> This will therefore be a crucial price that could be synonymous with profit-taking and bearish reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"850\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-113.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin liquidation heat map for 1 week in yellow bands on blue chart\" class=\"wp-image-21741\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-113.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-113-300x249.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-113-768x638.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Source: Coinglass<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A bounce from current levels remains possible, but its sustainability will depend on Bitcoin&#8217;s ability to <strong>reclaim $105,000 with volume and conviction<\/strong>. Without this recovery, the market risks becoming mired <strong>in several weeks of sideways consolidation<\/strong> or <strong>gradual decline<\/strong>. Experienced traders are closely watching price behavior on these critical zones before repositioning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To accumulate profits even in range or bear markets, the <strong>Hedging Bot from Pionex<\/strong> is the best bot on the market. <strong>Launch it in just a few clicks<\/strong> and it offers between <strong>50 and 90% annual returns<\/strong> regardless of market direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks to <strong>a short position<\/strong> combined with an intelligent grid strategy, every decline transforms into additional long-term gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simply launch it on the <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Pionex app<\/a>: <strong>&#8220;Bots &gt; Futures &gt; Hedging,&#8221;<\/strong> invest 100-500 USDT and let the magic work 24\/7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Try to Win 1,000 USDT by Launching Your Trading Bot!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-bitcoin-on-track-reach-79000-by-end-of-2025\/\">Is Bitcoin on track to reach $79,000 by the end of 2025?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/why-ton-is-investing-1-million-to-revolutionize-memecoins\/\">Why TON is investing $1 million to revolutionize memecoins?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/can-bitcoin-rebound-in-depth-on-chain-analysis\/\">Can Bitcoin Rebound? In-Depth On-Chain Analysis<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is striving to recover from a critical support zone around \u20ac92,500, sparking hopes of a short-term technical rebound. However, massive outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and a rare alert signal on the weekly chart raise doubts. Amidst buying opportunities and the risk of a bull trap, where does Bitcoin truly stand?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":21731,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Is Bitcoin &#039;s Recovery a Trap? Discover the Surprising Truth Here&quot;<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover Bitcoin Forecast: Possible Rebound from $92,500, but ETF withdrawals and bearish divergence threaten upward trend. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21734"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21734\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21742,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21734\/revisions\/21742"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}