{"id":21823,"date":"2025-11-18T09:03:58","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:03:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=21823"},"modified":"2025-11-18T09:04:00","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:04:00","slug":"bitcoin-forecast-will-btc-drop-below-83800","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-forecast-will-btc-drop-below-83800\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Forecast: Will BTC Drop Below $83,800?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-at-crucial-support-level-for-whats-next\">Bitcoin at Crucial Support Level for What&#8217;s Next<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> is currently navigating a delicate technical phase that has captured the attention of all <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">crypto<\/a> market analysts. After losing the psychological support of <strong>$99,000<\/strong>, BTC\/USD continued its decline to reach <strong>$90,000<\/strong>, forming a particularly clear bearish ABCD pattern on the weekly chart during its fall. This chart structure, recognized for its reliability in technical analysis, suggests that the current correction could extend to the demand zone located at <strong>$83,800<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"766\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-119.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price in 1 week with FBB and Order Blocks and ABCD wave\" class=\"wp-image-21837\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-119.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-119-300x224.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-119-768x575.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The ABCD configuration is characterized by remarkable symmetry between legs AB and CD, both in terms of length and slope. Technically, the CD leg precisely coincides with the Fibonacci extension at <strong>127.2%<\/strong> of the AB swing, a level that typically serves as the final target in this type of pattern. The weekly RSI, which has fallen near <strong>37<\/strong>, shows <strong>oversold conditions without confirming a bullish divergence<\/strong>, leaving the door open for the bearish movement to continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A particularly concerning element lies in the behavior of the 20-week exponential moving average, which is turning downward for the first time this year. This technical shift highlights clearly declining momentum and could signal a medium-term trend change. Nevertheless, the growing gap between price and this EMA 20 suggests <strong>a possible short-term technical bounce<\/strong>, as markets tend to retest their moving averages after moving too far away from them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"key-technical-levels-and-bitcoin-scenarios\">Key Technical Levels and Bitcoin Scenarios<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If buyers manage to defend the support zone at <strong>$84,000<\/strong>, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> could initiate a technical bounce toward the <strong>$96,000 &#8211; $99,000<\/strong> range, where the former broken bullish trendline now acts as resistance. An engulfing bullish candle on the weekly chart near this support would constitute an entry signal for contrarian traders anticipating the start of a recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, a clear break below <strong>$83,000<\/strong> would open the door to deeper losses toward <strong>$74,500<\/strong>, a level corresponding to a major Fibonacci retracement and a former consolidation zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-78.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin STH indicator with blue support band\" class=\"wp-image-21838\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-78.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-78-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-78-768x435.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, this level also corresponds to the lower band of the STH indicator. Currently at the upper support, if BTC enters this zone, the probability of reaching the lower zone around <strong>$76,000<\/strong> increases considerably.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"766\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-120.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price in 3 days with FBB and Order Blocks\" class=\"wp-image-21839\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-120.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-120-300x224.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-120-768x575.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The 3-day chart shows that BTC has broken its median line. If it doesn&#8217;t climb back above <strong>$92,000<\/strong> with vigor, it has strong probabilities of seeking <strong>$75,000<\/strong> before a potential bounce to <strong>$90-91,000<\/strong>. In this scenario, BTC could even reach between <strong>$50,000 and $70,000<\/strong> by the end of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ABCD pattern suggests that Bitcoin is potentially approaching the final phase of its correction before a possible recovery. Trading volumes and price behavior around the <strong>$84,000<\/strong> support will provide crucial indications about buyer strength and the probability of a bullish reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Accumulate Bitcoin with over <strong>80-180%<\/strong> annual returns on top without doing anything thanks to <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/investir-cryptomonnaie\/exchange\/pionex\/avis\/\">Pionex<\/a> bots. Try to <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">win 1,000 USDT here<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"singapore-strengthens-bitcoins-institutional-infrastructure\">Singapore Strengthens Bitcoin&#8217;s Institutional Infrastructure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a bearish market context, the announcement by the <strong>Singapore Exchange<\/strong> of the launch of perpetual futures contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum on November 24 represents a positive signal for institutional adoption. These derivatives, regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, will allow accredited investors to trade BTC and ETH price variations without expiration constraints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Historically, increased institutional participation <strong>improves market liquidity<\/strong>, reduces long-term volatility, and supports structural demand for Bitcoin. These positive developments partially counterbalance the current bearish sentiment and could play a decisive role in the next bullish phase once the technical correction is complete.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, <strong>potential Mt Gox sales<\/strong> in the coming days could cause BTC to fall more violently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"crypto-etps-experience-record-2-billion-redemptions\">Crypto ETPs Experience Record $2 Billion Redemptions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The crypto exchange-traded products market recorded <strong>massive outflows of $2 billion<\/strong> last week, marking the largest weekly withdrawal since February 2025 according to CoinShares data. These redemptions represent a <strong>71%<\/strong> increase from the previous week&#8217;s <strong>$1.17 billion<\/strong>, bringing the three-week total outflows to <strong>$3.2 billion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udd0e Les clients de BlackRock ont vendu vendredi dernier pour 463 millions de dollars en Bitcoin ETF BlackRock IBIT.<br><br>Cela marque un record en terme de vente\/flux sortant pour une seule journ\u00e9e. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/htkg1QNY9E\">pic.twitter.com\/htkg1QNY9E<\/a><\/p>&mdash; G\u00e9n\u00e9ration Crypto \u2601\ufe0f (@CryptoGeneOff) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoGeneOff\/status\/1990149809752228331?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 16, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares, attributes this phenomenon to sales by large crypto-native investors and <strong>uncertainty surrounding monetary policy<\/strong>, which has significantly cooled risk appetite. Total assets under management for crypto ETPs have thus fallen from a peak of <strong>$264 billion<\/strong> in October to <strong>$191 billion<\/strong> currently, representing a <strong>27%<\/strong> contraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Geographically, the United States represents 97% of all outflows, while Germany stands out with <strong>$13.2 million<\/strong> in net inflows, demonstrating selective European resilience. By asset class, Bitcoin ETPs suffered withdrawals of <strong>$1.4 billion<\/strong> and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a> products lost <strong>$700 million<\/strong>. Conversely, observed inflows into Short Bitcoin products and diversified funds indicate that investors are restructuring their exposure rather than completely exiting the crypto market. These massive outflows <strong>exert short-term bearish pressure<\/strong> on Bitcoin&#8217;s price, but experience shows they typically calm once macroeconomic clarity is restored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related topics:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/us-china-trade-deal-before-christmas-could-bitcoin-face-another-crash\/\">US-China Trade Deal Before Christmas: Could Bitcoin Face Another Crash?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/pump-fun-pump-memecoin-poised-for-massive-crash\/\">Pump.fun (PUMP): Is the Memecoin Poised for a Massive Crash?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/aster-explosion-will-it-break-1-35-this-week\/\">Aster Explosion: Will it Break $1.35 This Week?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is forming a bearish ABCD technical pattern, causing concern among traders as the price slides towards the critical zone of $83,800. Amid massive outflows from crypto ETPs, promising institutional announcements in Singapore, and conflicting technical signals, investors are closely monitoring BTC&#8217;s next move. The focus now shifts to how long this support zone will withstand selling pressure.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":21816,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin Predictions: Will BTC Fall Below $83,800 Soon?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Discover Bitcoin Forecast: Dive into the ABCD bearish pattern analysis targeting the key support at $83,800. What's next ?","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Predictions: Will BTC Fall Below $83,800 Soon?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover Bitcoin Forecast: Dive into the ABCD bearish pattern analysis targeting the key support at $83,800. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. 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