{"id":22608,"date":"2025-11-27T14:03:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T14:03:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=22608"},"modified":"2025-11-27T14:03:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-27T14:03:11","slug":"is-the-bitcoin-bull-run-officially-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/is-the-bitcoin-bull-run-officially-over\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Bitcoin bull run officially over?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-breaks-below-its-bullish-structure\">Bitcoin Breaks Below Its Bullish Structure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The price of <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> has <strong>recently broken below its 200-day moving average<\/strong>, a major psychological and technical <strong>support<\/strong> line. This breakdown comes after a period of heightened volatility and <strong>massive profit-taking<\/strong> that has seen BTC retrace a significant portion of its annual gains. <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/trading\/options\/\">Trading<\/a> volumes have also shown signs of weakness, reinforcing the hypothesis of exhaustion in the bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin<br><br>Historically, whenever Bitcoin has broken below the 50-week moving average, it has often signaled a deeper move toward the 200MA or even the 300-week MA.<br><br>Since 2015, one pattern has remained consistent: Bitcoin tends to treat the 200-week MA as a major cycle support\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DImcHNSgpX\">pic.twitter.com\/DImcHNSgpX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; XO (@Trader_XO) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Trader_XO\/status\/1993677245802512578?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 26, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>However, not all analysts share this pessimistic view. Several influential voices in the sector emphasize that <strong>fundamentals remain solid<\/strong> and that this type of correction is <strong>an integral part of <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s<\/a> cycles<\/strong>. The market structure, particularly the continued accumulation by institutional investors and the decrease in available supply on exchanges, suggests that we could simply be going through a consolidation phase before a new bullish leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-200-day-moving-average-a-reliable-barometer-of-market-sentiment\">The 200-Day Moving Average: A Reliable Barometer of Market Sentiment<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The 200-day moving average is one of the <strong>most respected technical analysis tools in cryptocurrency trading<\/strong>. It represents Bitcoin&#8217;s average price calculated over the last 200 trading sessions, thus providing a smoothed view of the underlying trend. When the price trades above this line, the market is considered bullish. Conversely, trading below this average suggests <strong>a bearish phase.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s history shows that crossovers of this moving average have often coincided with major cycle changes. During the 2021 bull market, BTC traded above its 200 MA for many months before losing it definitively <strong>during the 2022 bear market<\/strong>. This pattern has repeated during previous cycles, giving this indicator a certain predictive credibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the indicator is not infallible. False signals have already been observed, particularly during brutal corrections within structurally intact bull markets. Technical analysts therefore recommend <strong>cross-referencing this indicator with other metrics such as RSI<\/strong>, volumes, or even on-chain data to obtain a more complete picture of the situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-arguments-of-bulls-who-refuse-to-capitulate\">The Arguments of Bulls Who Refuse to Capitulate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this bearish signal, a significant portion of the crypto community remains convinced that <strong>the bull market is not over<\/strong>. Expert <strong>Murad<\/strong> recently posted a video on the <strong>116 reasons why the bull market will continue in 2026.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"580\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-123.png\" alt=\"Chart showing long-term holder (LTH) spending for Bitcoin with a blue curve\" class=\"wp-image-22619\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-123.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-123-300x170.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-123-768x435.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Source: Checkonchain<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>But on-chain data shows that <strong>long-term holders continue to sell massively,<\/strong> a behavior typical of the early phases of a bear market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some analysts nevertheless point to halving cycles as a more relevant analytical framework. According to this approach, we would currently be <strong>in a typical mid-cycle phase,<\/strong> characterized by healthy corrections that allow the market to consolidate before reaching new all-time highs in the coming months. The April 2024 halving continues to exert its effects on supply, a structurally bullish factor in the medium term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Accumulate your BTC safely with a <strong>Ledger<\/strong>! Take advantage of <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">our exclusive 50% discount on your Ledger and up to $90 in BTC <\/a><\/strong>offered with your purchase:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"744\" height=\"418\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-124.png\" alt=\"A smartphone with a Ledger Nano X on a black background for a Black Friday offer\" class=\"wp-image-22620\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-124.png 744w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/image-124-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 744px) 100vw, 744px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related content:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-pressure-2-20-dollars-december-drop\/\">XRP faces pressure at $2.20: Will it drop further in december?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/discover-all-about-hyperliquids-new-token-launch-kinetiq-kntq\/\">Discover all about Hyperliquid \u2018s new token launch of Kinetiq (KNTQ)<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/upbit-cyberattack-37-million-in-solana-stolen-whats-happening\/\">Upbit cyberattack: $37 Million in Solana stolen : What\u2019s happening?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s 200-day trend has turned bearish, historically signaling the end of bullish markets. Despite this, many analysts believe the bull run is not over. Decrypting a divisive crypto community indicator.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":22604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the Bitcoin bull run officially over?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover if Bitcoin&#039;s bearish 200-day trend signals the end of the bull market. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22608"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22608\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22621,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22608\/revisions\/22621"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}