{"id":23582,"date":"2025-12-06T15:42:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T15:42:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=23582"},"modified":"2025-12-06T15:42:05","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T15:42:05","slug":"weekly-roundup-prediction-markets-insights-you-need-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/weekly-roundup-prediction-markets-insights-you-need-know\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Roundup: Prediction Markets Insights You Need to Know"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"kalshi-and-polymarket-a-battle-at-the-top\">Kalshi and Polymarket: A Battle at the Top<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week&#8217;s figures, compiled by analyst @Prithvir12, speak for themselves: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/kalshi\/bet\/\">Kalshi<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/polymarket\/bet\/\">Polymarket<\/a> are crushing the competition<\/strong>, with nearly 5 million transactions each. Kalshi, in particular, is impressive, accounting alone for <strong>over 50% of the sector&#8217;s total open interest<\/strong>, which stands at $706 million. This dominance is explained by its status as a regulated platform in the United States (by the CFTC) and the diversity of its markets, ranging from politics to weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Polymarket, meanwhile, remains the king of the crypto and DeFi arena, with a massive user base of 248,000 people. The overall 7% growth in users across all platforms shows that the mainstream public is beginning to adopt these tools.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>$90 in BTC offered<\/strong> when purchasing a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Ledger<\/a><\/strong> during Black Friday. Take advantage before the offer disappears:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"418\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-129.jpeg\" alt=\"A Ledger key on black and purple background for a Black Friday special offer of $90 BTC\" class=\"wp-image-23609\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-129.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-129-300x157.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-129-768x401.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"events-that-will-reshape-the-landscape\">Events That Will Reshape the Landscape<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Beyond the numbers, three major announcements marked the week:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>A Powerhouse Hire for Kalshi:<\/strong> The arrival of Elisabeth Diana, formerly of Meta, as head of communications at Kalshi is no coincidence. It&#8217;s a strong signal of the platform&#8217;s ambition to establish itself in the public debate, just as it expands its offering to sports and pop culture.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Leverage Arrives in Prediction Markets:<\/strong> Startup Gondor raised $2.5 million to build a DeFi layer on prediction markets. Starting next week, it will be possible to borrow against positions on Polymarket with 2x leverage. <strong>This is a real game changer that could multiply volumes<\/strong>, but also the risks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bitcoin at $100,000? Traders Believe It:<\/strong> Kalshi markets are giving a 40% probability to Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year end. This optimism, shared by many traders, shows how much these platforms have become a leading indicator of market sentiment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our article on the top 5 bets on Polymarket:<a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/top-5\/\"> <strong>TOP 5 Bets on Polymarket.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"toward-an-explosion-in-2026\">Toward an Explosion in 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This week confirms it: prediction markets are no longer just a gimmick. They have become a &#8220;truth serum&#8221; for assessing the probabilities of future events, often outperforming traditional polls. With a leader like <strong>Kalshi<\/strong> gaining structure, and the arrival of innovations like leverage, <strong>the ecosystem is ready for a new acceleration phase<\/strong>. If the trend continues, open interest could well exceed one billion dollars by mid-2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related content:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/chainlink-surges-why-link-now-targeting-16-dollars-beyond\/\">Chainlink surges: Why Is LINK now targeting $16 and beyond?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/vitalik-buterin-bitcoin-mining-achieves-unprecedented-milestone-in-human-history\/\">Vitalik Buterin: Bitcoin mining achieves a feat never seen before in human history<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/trump-coin-crash-whales-sell-off-memecoin-future\/\">Trump coin plummets as whales sell off: Is this the end of the memecoin craze?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prediction markets, where outcomes of real events are bet on, remain a reliable gauge of public sentiment. Despite a slight dip in trading volumes this week, the ecosystem demonstrated robust health with an 11% growth in open interest. Kalshi maintains its top position, while DeFi innovations hold potential to expand opportunities.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":23581,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[52],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-prediction-market"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly prediction market roundup: Stay updated<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the weekly market analysis: Kalshi leads with 50% of open interest, while DeFi gears up for leverage. 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/charles-ledoux-508392239\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/charl3li\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/investx.fr\\\/en\\\/author\\\/charles-ledoux\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Weekly prediction market roundup: Stay updated","description":"Discover the weekly market analysis: Kalshi leads with 50% of open interest, while DeFi gears up for leverage. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23582"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23610,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23582\/revisions\/23610"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23581"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}