{"id":23723,"date":"2025-12-08T10:44:49","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T10:44:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=23723"},"modified":"2025-12-08T12:48:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T12:48:21","slug":"bitcoin-why-rebound-like-2021-is-on-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-why-rebound-like-2021-is-on-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Why a rebound like 2021 is on the horizon"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Spot Volumes Pull Back, Futures Remain Strong<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Analysis of Bitcoin<\/a> trading<\/a> volumes<\/strong> reveals an interesting paradox<\/strong>. Spot volumes have formed increasingly modest peaks over the past twelve months. This relative weakness typically reflects a lack of commitment from spot buyers<\/strong>, often signaling institutional or retail hesitation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In contrast, futures markets maintain robust dynamics<\/strong>. Bitcoin futures volumes<\/strong> remain solid, indicating that professional traders are maintaining their speculative positions<\/strong> despite ambient volatility. This divergence between spot and futures is far from insignificant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Historically, such a configuration can signal two scenarios. Either players positioned in futures are anticipating a strong directional move<\/strong> and hedging accordingly, or they’re taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities between the two markets, creating latent pressure that can catalyze a breakout<\/strong> once spot regains momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The sustained presence of futures volumes suggests that crypto<\/a> market makers and hedge funds remain active. They haven’t left the field, unlike during prolonged bear market phases<\/strong> where even derivatives dry up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parallel with 2021: A Familiar Technical Pattern<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The parallel with 2021 deserves particular attention. At the time, supply in profit had also experienced a marked decline after the May correction, falling from over 90%<\/strong> to around 50-60% before violently rebounding upward<\/strong> toward November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Long-term holders, those famous holders who have been accumulating for cycles, have generally shown little reaction to recent volatility. On-chain data shows that old addresses continue to accumulate<\/strong> or maintain their positions. This typical strong hands<\/strong> behavior creates a natural support floor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Current technical support zones are located around key psychological levels, while immediate resistance<\/strong> remains marked by medium-term moving averages. A clean break through these resistance levels, accompanied by renewed spot volumes, could trigger a regime change<\/strong>. Indicators like the RSI and MACD are beginning to show signs of bullish divergence<\/strong> on daily timeframes, suggesting that exhaustion of selling pressure may be on the horizon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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