{"id":23753,"date":"2025-12-08T12:12:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T12:12:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=23753"},"modified":"2025-12-08T12:12:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T12:12:44","slug":"exploring-why-stocks-kept-surging-despite-fed-insiders-insight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/exploring-why-stocks-kept-surging-despite-fed-insiders-insight\/","title":{"rendered":"Exploring why stocks kept surging despite the Fed: An insider&#8217;s insight"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"disconnect-between-fed-balance-sheet-and-market-performance\">Disconnect Between Fed Balance Sheet and Market Performance<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Data shared by <strong>Charlie Bilello<\/strong> reveals a major anomaly: <strong>the S&amp;P 500 climbs 82%<\/strong> while <strong>the Fed&#8217;s assets drop by a quarter.<\/strong> This performance contradicts the theory that liquidity injection by central banks constitutes the primary driver of stock market rallies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: The Federal Reserve\u2019s balance sheet fell -$37 billion in November, to $6.53 trillion, to its lowest level since April 2020.<br><br>The Fed has reduced its assets by -$2.43 trillion, or -27%, during its quantitative tightening (QT) program, which ended on December 1st after\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RdmKaBMEVf\">pic.twitter.com\/RdmKaBMEVf<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1997745870088126540?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Several factors explain this phenomenon. <strong>Massive budget deficits inject liquidity into the American economy<\/strong>, largely offsetting quantitative tightening. Corporate stock buybacks reach <strong>record volumes,<\/strong> creating <strong>artificial demand<\/strong> that supports valuations. Foreign capital flows, particularly into large-cap tech stocks, also play a decisive role.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A Classic Market Turn in a Not So Classic Economy<br><br>This ratio is really just telling you who\u2019s been taking the lead in the market: the real economy sectors including financials, industrials, materials versus the S&amp;P 500 as a whole. When the line turns higher, it means these old\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WV1ol9Fx0e\">https:\/\/t.co\/WV1ol9Fx0e<\/a><\/p>&mdash; EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/onechancefreedm\/status\/1997826379988046269?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>EndGame Macro<\/strong> emphasizes that markets <strong>anticipate future policy changes more than current conditions<\/strong>. This <strong>psychological<\/strong> liquidity explains why stocks advance despite a contracting Fed balance sheet. The market prices in an 86% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week, reflecting accommodative expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For crypto investors, this dynamic is crucial. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a><\/strong> traditionally respond to global liquidity conditions. The rise in tech stocks, despite tightening, suggests that the historical correlation between restrictive monetary policy and falling risk assets <strong>no longer operates according to usual patterns.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hidden-economic-tensions-and-risks-for-risk-assets\">Hidden Economic Tensions and Risks for Risk Assets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Stock indices mask <strong>a more fragile economic reality<\/strong>. Corporate <strong>bankruptcies<\/strong> reach levels near <strong>fifteen-year highs<\/strong> while payment delays on credit cards and auto loans accumulate. <strong>Commercial real estate<\/strong> faces <strong>major pressures<\/strong> with growing refinancing difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <strong>divergence<\/strong> reveals a <strong>two-speed market<\/strong>. Tech mega-caps capture most of the gains while sectors exposed to credit and discretionary consumption suffer. This concentration of performance in a few stocks recalls the structure of the crypto market where <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a> dominate<\/strong> overall market capitalization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The parallel with the <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/\">cryptocurrency<\/a> market is striking. Just as altcoins generally follow Bitcoin, small-cap stocks follow tech giants. When the latter display stretched valuations despite underlying economic tensions, systemic risk increases for all risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed finds itself in a delicate position. Lowering rates <strong>could further fuel sectoral bubbles<\/strong>, while maintaining a restrictive policy risks triggering a brutal correction in already weakened economic segments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"fed-leadership-change-and-impact-on-crypto-markets\">Fed Leadership Change and Impact on Crypto Markets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kevin Hassett<\/strong> emerges as the <strong>favorite to replace Jerome Powell<\/strong> as Fed chair. Known for his accommodative positions, Hassett could adopt a more dovish monetary policy, reviving inflationary expectations. The 10-year Treasury yield is already rising in anticipation of this change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investors expect two additional <strong>25 basis point cuts in 2026,<\/strong> likely in March and June. If Hassett takes office as early as February, the dovish pivot could accelerate. This prospect divides analysts. Some see it as <strong>a bullish catalyst<\/strong> for risk assets, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/altcoins\/\">crypto<\/a> included, while others fear a return of uncontrolled inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For his part, <strong>James Thorne<\/strong> openly criticizes the Fed, calling it an oversized structure <strong>constantly lagging behind market developments.<\/strong> Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shares these concerns, comparing Fed decision-makers to air traffic controllers whose repeated errors would empty planes of passengers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <strong>loss of Fed credibility<\/strong> complicates market expectations. For crypto traders, uncertainty about future monetary policy creates both opportunities and heightened risks. Volatility should increase across all markets, Bitcoin and Ethereum included, as speculation about the Fed&#8217;s direction intensifies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Accumulate your ETH, BTC and other altcoins on a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ledger<\/a> wallet at half price.<\/strong> The Black Friday offer ends soon, take advantage here:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"744\" height=\"418\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-63.png\" alt=\"A smartphone with a ledger nano x on black background for a black friday offer\" class=\"wp-image-23760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-63.png 744w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/image-63-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 744px) 100vw, 744px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/exploring-ethereums-drop-from-4900-3000-dollars-unpacking-tom-lee-purchases\/\">Exploring Ethereum \u2018s drop from $4900 to $3000: Unpacking Tom Lee\u2019s purchases<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/unpacking-xrps-resilience-amidst-crypto-market-crashes-what-sets-apart\/\">Unpacking XRP\u2019s resilience amidst crypto market crashes: What sets it apart?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/fomc-how-and-where-follow-crucial-meeting-week\/\">FOMC: How and where to follow this crucial meeting this week?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&#038;P 500 has surged by an impressive 82% in three years, while the Fed reduced its balance sheet by 27%. This divergence between traditional liquidity and market performance challenges conventional theories, posing crucial questions for crypto investors. Digital assets, typically correlated with stock markets, are directly affected by this paradoxical dynamic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":23752,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23753","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why are stocks still soaring even after the Fed &#039;s actions?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover how market actions are rising despite the Fed&#039;s tightening. 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/charles-ledoux-508392239\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/charl3li\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/investx.fr\\\/en\\\/author\\\/charles-ledoux\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Why are stocks still soaring even after the Fed 's actions?","description":"Discover how market actions are rising despite the Fed's tightening. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23753","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23753"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23753\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23762,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23753\/revisions\/23762"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}