{"id":24591,"date":"2025-12-19T12:27:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T12:27:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=24591"},"modified":"2025-12-19T12:53:34","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T12:53:34","slug":"bitcoin-is-4-year-cycle-complete-expert-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-is-4-year-cycle-complete-expert-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Is the 4-year cycle complete? Expert analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoins-cheat-code-called-into-question\">Bitcoin&#8217;s &#8220;Cheat Code&#8221; Called Into Question<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For over a decade, crypto investors have relied on an almost immutable rule: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s<\/a> four-year cycle<\/strong>. The strategy was simple: accumulate during <strong>bear markets<\/strong>, wait for the Halving, take profits during the bull run\u2014to the point where it resembled a genuine <strong>&#8220;financial cheat code.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, <strong>Lark Davis<\/strong>, a recognized figure in <strong>technical analysis<\/strong>, is calling this model into question. The history of <strong>financial markets<\/strong> shows that when a pattern becomes too obvious and widely followed, it often ends up breaking. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> may not escape this logic, with the market punishing <strong>collective complacency<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This doubt is reinforced by several <strong>major anomalies<\/strong> in the current cycle. The most striking remains the achievement of a <strong>new all-time high<\/strong> even before the Halving, driven by the explosion of <strong>Spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/strong> in the United States. This break from the classic chronology introduced a phase of <strong>distribution and retracement<\/strong> where many expected an immediate bullish continuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Do you think the price of Bitcoin is being manipulated? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RoebNYcrEO\">pic.twitter.com\/RoebNYcrEO<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Lark Davis (@LarkDavis) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LarkDavis\/status\/2001758391119614315?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 18, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"supercycle-cycle-mutation-and-new-market-reading\">Supercycle, Cycle Mutation, and New Market Reading<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts also highlight the <strong>maturation of the crypto market<\/strong>. The arrival of institutions via BlackRock and Fidelity brings massive liquidity but also reduces the <strong>extreme volatility<\/strong> of past cycles. Fewer violent crashes, but potentially also fewer <strong>parabolic rallies<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Faced with this reality, two scenarios emerge. The <strong>Left-Translated cycle<\/strong>, with a <strong>peak reached earlier<\/strong> followed by a long consolidation, or the Supercycle, where continued adoption would transform Bitcoin into a <strong>structural growth asset<\/strong> rather than a cyclical one. For Lark Davis, this uncertainty is not a sell signal but a call for caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this new context, adaptability becomes key. If the <strong>four-year cycle<\/strong> is not completely dead, it has clearly mutated. From now on, reading on-chain data, <strong>institutional flows<\/strong>, and macroeconomics will be crucial for anticipating Bitcoin&#8217;s next phase, whether it leads to a <strong>new peak<\/strong> or a <strong>prolonged correction<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Join <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-zoomex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Zoomex<\/a><\/strong> and enjoy a smooth, secure, and rewarding trading experience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-zoomex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">$5 offered after quick registration!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/decoding-bitcoin-crash-is-an-explosive-rebound-on-horizon\/\">Decoding the Bitcoin crash: Is an explosive rebound on the horizon?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ondo-and-layerzero-set-revolutionize-tokenized-securities\/\">Ondo and LayerZero set to revolutionize tokenized securities?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-surge-prediction-markets-unveil-future-trends\/\">Bitcoin surge: Prediction markets unveil future trends<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Renowned crypto analyst Lark Davis shakes things up by questioning the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle. With investors anticipating a new explosive Bull run, historical market rules seem to be challenged by emerging fundamentals. #BitcoinCycle<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":24590,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24591","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the 4-year Bitcoin cycle over? Expert analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Is the Bitcoin 4-year cycle a thing of the past? Analysts challenge this historic model. 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. Suivez-moi sur LinkedIn et X pour ne manquer aucune analyse.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/SimonDml1"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/simon_redacteur\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24591","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24591"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24591\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24606,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24591\/revisions\/24606"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24591"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24591"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24591"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}