{"id":24765,"date":"2025-12-22T00:10:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T00:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=24765"},"modified":"2025-12-22T09:42:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T09:42:58","slug":"top-3-polymarket-trades-dominating-whale-attention-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/top-3-polymarket-trades-dominating-whale-attention-today\/","title":{"rendered":"Top 3 Polymarket trades dominating whale attention today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"1-the-tiktok-sale-a-7-million-geopolitical-bet\">1. The TikTok Sale: A $7 Million Geopolitical Bet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction-market\/\">prediction market<\/a> on the TikTok sale, titled &#8220;TikTok sale announced by&#8230;?&#8221;, is a genuine whale magnet on <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/polymarket\/bet\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/kalshi\/bet\/\">Kalshi<\/a><\/strong>. With a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/\">trading<\/a> volume of $7 million<\/strong>, bettors are wagering on a <strong>sale announcement by December 31st<\/strong> (81% probability) or March 2026 (94%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why such enthusiasm? Persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, combined with the Trump administration&#8217;s promise to take action against ByteDance, the Chinese parent company, are fueling speculation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The market is clearly betting that a sale (or licensing deal) is coming.<br>Smart money doesn\u2019t argue politics \u2014 it follows incentives.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Q6QlGPamBM\">https:\/\/t.co\/Q6QlGPamBM<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Polymarket?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Polymarket<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tdLWTs2S1a\">pic.twitter.com\/tdLWTs2S1a<\/a><\/p>&mdash; skdb0nker (@skdb0nker) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/skdb0nker\/status\/2002824946909884700?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Whales have been spotted buying massive &#8220;Yes&#8221; positions<\/strong>, betting on a quick resolution. This market is a pure political play: a simple congressional statement can tip the odds, and whales are capitalizing on this uncertainty for potentially enormous gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, a bet on &#8220;TikTok sale announced by December 31st?&#8221; offers a return between <strong>15 and 25% profit<\/strong> if the bet succeeds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tip<\/strong>: Read our article on Polymarket alternatives to execute your trades even in Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"2-avatar-fire-and-ash-the-box-office-disappointment\">2. Avatar: Fire and Ash \u2013 The Box Office Disappointment<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>James Cameron&#8217;s third installment in the saga, released on December 19th, has been the subject of intense betting. The main market, &#8220;Will &#8216;Avatar: Fire and Ash&#8217; Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?&#8221;, is currently being resolved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Preliminary data indicates an opening of <strong>$88 million, below the expected $90 million<\/strong>, proving the &#8220;Yes&#8221; bettors right. Before the release, expectations were tempered by competition and mixed reviews, which attracted whales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They took advantage of the initial underestimation to take massive positions on sub-markets, betting on results below forecasts. This trade perfectly illustrates how <strong>whales exploit real-time data to execute quick arbitrages<\/strong> on major cultural events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"3-mrbeast-the-king-of-youtube-under-bettors-microscope\">3. MrBeast: The King of YouTube Under Bettors&#8217; Microscope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets on MrBeast&#8217;s next video views within 24 hours are another favorite playground for whales. With <strong>millions of dollars in volume<\/strong>, bettors are wagering on very precise view ranges. MrBeast, with his <strong>455 million subscribers<\/strong>, is a phenomenon whose performance is scrutinized closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whales are fighting over these trades because <strong>view patterns are relatively predictable<\/strong>, depending on the title, timing, and YouTube algorithms. Alerts show whales taking positions on lower ranges, betting on possible market saturation or a less viral video. This is a pure pop culture trade, where <strong>whales use analytical data to anticipate a content creator&#8217;s performance<\/strong> and stay ahead of the crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In conclusion, these three trades \u2013 TikTok, Avatar, and MrBeast \u2013 embody the essence of Polymarket: <strong>turning uncertainty into opportunity<\/strong>. With high volumes and active whales, they offer lessons on modern speculation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before you can bet on these events, you need crypto to fund your wallets. Use <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-zoomex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Zoomex<\/a><\/strong> to buy your crypto in <strong>2 clicks without KYC<\/strong>! It&#8217;s Europe&#8217;s simplest exchange and you&#8217;ll also receive <strong>$5 free as a welcome bonus:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-zoomex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"> Receive $5 free as a welcome bonus !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/decoding-bitcoin-crash-is-an-explosive-rebound-on-horizon\/\">Decoding the Bitcoin crash: Is an explosive rebound on the horizon?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ondo-and-layerzero-set-revolutionize-tokenized-securities\/\">Ondo and LayerZero set to revolutionize tokenized securities?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-surge-prediction-markets-unveil-future-trends\/\">Bitcoin surge: Prediction markets unveil future trends<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As we approach the end of 2025, Polymarket, the world&#8217;s largest prediction market platform, is buzzing with activity. Traders, from casual bettors to market-moving &#8220;whales,&#8221; are flocking to events in news, pop culture, and entertainment, with trading volumes surpassing billions. Today, on December 22, 2025, three trades stand out for their popularity and the frenzied interest of whales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":24764,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[10,52],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-prediction-market"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Top 3 Polymarket trades grabbed by whales today<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore the top 3 trending trades on Polymarket: TikTok sale, Avatar 3 box office, and MrBeast&#039;s next video views. 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/charles-ledoux-508392239\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/charl3li\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/investx.fr\\\/en\\\/author\\\/charles-ledoux\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Top 3 Polymarket trades grabbed by whales today","description":"Explore the top 3 trending trades on Polymarket: TikTok sale, Avatar 3 box office, and MrBeast's next video views. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24765"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24768,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24765\/revisions\/24768"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}