{"id":25739,"date":"2026-01-13T17:30:51","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T17:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=25739"},"modified":"2026-01-13T17:30:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T17:30:53","slug":"ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum analysis: Is a $4,000 explosion imminent?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-healthy-cleanup-of-the-futures-market\">A Healthy Cleanup of the Futures Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a> is trading in the <strong>$3,100 \u2013 $3,140<\/strong> zone, showing a slight correction over the last 24 hours. But don&#8217;t be fooled by this apparent lethargy. Beneath this trend, the derivatives market structure suggests a far more <strong>bullish<\/strong> underlying movement than it appears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to on-chain data, the estimated leverage ratio on Ether has dropped from its peak of 0.79 (on January 2) to <strong>0.67<\/strong> recently. Yet, the <strong>Open Interest<\/strong> continues to climb. In trading jargon, this divergence is an excellent sign: it indicates that traders are <strong>reopening positions<\/strong>, but with <strong>less excessive leverage<\/strong>. The market has &#8220;purged&#8221; itself of weak hands, drastically reducing the risk of a cascading long squeeze. This type of setup often precedes organic and sustainable movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"spot-demand-takes-over-from-speculators\">Spot Demand Takes Over from Speculators<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The other major catalyst identified on the charts is the behavior of the <strong>CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)<\/strong> on the Spot <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/polymarket\/\">market<\/a>. Unlike fragile rallies driven solely by futures contracts, Ethereum&#8217;s recent momentum is supported by genuine spot buying pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Regullar into hidden bullish CVD divergence is looking so good right now for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Ethereum?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Ethereum<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ShTtYImTwq\">pic.twitter.com\/ShTtYImTwq<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Pajkoss_ (@Pajkoss_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Pajkoss_\/status\/2009380697270571397?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>When the price rises accompanied by an increase in Spot CVD, it means that investors are actually accumulating the asset to hold it, not to speculate short-term. Moreover, the long\/short ratio remains around 2.66, confirming a dominant bullish sentiment without falling into irrational euphoria. This silent accumulation is often the precursor to a violent <strong>breakout<\/strong> once resistance gives way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, a <strong>bearish divergence<\/strong> in the CVD appeared on the 9-hour timeframe recently, for the first time since <strong>December 10<\/strong>, which had marked a local top for Ethereum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"scenario-4000-or-back-to-square-one\">Scenario: $4,000 or Back to Square One?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From a purely technical standpoint, the battle is being fought at precise levels. The support at <strong>$3,000<\/strong> (also a POC) is currently acting as a fortress that bears are struggling to breach. As long as this level holds, the structure remains constructive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"713\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-25737\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1-768x535.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To validate the scenario of a surge toward the order block at <strong>$3,800<\/strong>, ETH must first break free from the intermediate friction zone around $3,300 &#8211; $3,500. If this lock breaks, accompanied by the maintenance of current Spot demand, the path to <strong>$3,800<\/strong> would be technically clear.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, a loss of the <strong>$3,000<\/strong> support would invalidate this thesis and could trigger a retest of lower zones. Indeed, a <strong>bullish trendline<\/strong> has been reinforced below its price. A break below this trendline and below the POC would be a bad omen for ETH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With cleaned-up leverage indicators and visible Spot accumulation, has Ethereum finally gathered enough energy to smash through its yearly resistance? The answer in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/grayscale-altcoins-2026\/\">Grayscale&#8217;s Top 36 Altcoins for 2026: DePIN, AI, and RWA<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-trump-ibit-options\/\">Bitcoin: Trump&#8217;s announcements and $10 billion in IBIT options expiring this Friday<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-technical-analysis-sol-170\/\">Solana technical analysis: Will SOL surge to $170?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. Read now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":25738,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Ethereum price","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Ethereum price analysis: Will ETH surge to $4,000?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. Read now!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars"},"categories":[14,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethereum","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ethereum price analysis: Will ETH surge to $4,000?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. 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Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25739"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25739\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25748,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25739\/revisions\/25748"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}