{"id":26471,"date":"2026-02-10T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=26471"},"modified":"2026-02-10T08:19:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T08:19:09","slug":"bitcoin-explode-crash-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-explode-crash-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Bitcoin explode like Gold in 1972 or crash like in 2022? A deep dive"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-bloodbath-are-short-term-holders-capitulating\">Bitcoin Bloodbath: Are Short-Term Holders Capitulating?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Volatility has made its grand return to the markets, and the damage is considerable for new entrants. According to the latest <strong>on-chain<\/strong> data shared by analyst Checkmate, the recent bearish movement in <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> has triggered a wave of capitulation rarely seen since the last <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-buy-dip-bear-market\/\">Bear Market<\/a><\/strong>. Indeed, investors who accumulated BTC during 2025 and 2026 are currently realizing colossal losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Last week&#39;s Bitcoin sell-off meets the criteria of a textbook capitulation event. It occurred rapidly, on heavy volume, and crystallised losses from the lowest-conviction holders.<br><br>In our latest newsletter piece, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_Checkmatey_?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@_Checkmatey_<\/a>  examines what this capitulation tells us about\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FDT7vKOG1Y\">pic.twitter.com\/FDT7vKOG1Y<\/a><\/p>&mdash; _Checkonchain (@_checkonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_checkonchain\/status\/2021059678483120457?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 10, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The figures are staggering: approximately <strong>$1.5 billion in losses<\/strong> are being locked in daily by these &#8220;weak hands&#8221; selling in panic. This phenomenon, technically called <strong>Realized Loss<\/strong>, indicates that these participants are exiting the market at a price well below their acquisition cost, thus validating their financial loss instead of holding their positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-similar-scenario-to-2022-should-we-fear-a-new-bear-market\">A Similar Scenario to 2022: Should We Fear a New Bear Market?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The most concerning aspect of this correction lies in its similarity to one of the darkest episodes in crypto history. The Bitcoin Net Realised Profit\/Loss indicator shows a structure that almost perfectly mirrors <strong>the June 2022 crash<\/strong>. As a reminder, this period corresponded to the cascading collapse of giants like Celsius and Three Arrows Capital, dragging <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> into an infernal spiral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, a significant nuance exists. Unlike 2022 where the panic was systemic, the current situation seems more related to a <strong>shakeout<\/strong> of leveraged positions and a purge of late speculators. The <strong>Long-Term Holders<\/strong> seem less impacted for now, suggesting that the movement is a redistribution from impatient hands to strong hands, rather than a fundamental loss of confidence in the asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, market psychology remains fragile. If this level of realized losses persists, sentiment could shift from fear to resignation, transforming a simple healthy <strong>correction<\/strong> into a deeper trend reversal. A break below <strong>$67,000<\/strong> could open the door to a new wave of panic selling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"can-bitcoin-bounce-back-or-will-it-plunge-below-key-supports\">Can Bitcoin Bounce Back or Will It Plunge Below Key Supports?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Faced with this selling violence, the crucial question arises: has the market touched its <strong>local bottom<\/strong>? Historically, such peaks in realized losses often mark final capitulation points, where supply is exhausted due to lack of remaining sellers, making way for a potential relief <strong>rally<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> is tracking very closely to gold\u2019s 1972 PA. <br><br>Almost a carbon copy of the structure that came right before a major macro breakout.<br><br>That\u2019s why I\u2019ve been consistently adding to my long term spot positions. <br><br>If we see any more dips into the $45K\u2013$60K range, I\u2019ll be ready to\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1yCnmHxplj\">pic.twitter.com\/1yCnmHxplj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2021006935798210590?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, even though trader Killa indicates that a drop to the low <strong>$40Ks<\/strong> is still possible, he highlights an <strong>identical fractal between <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-surging-bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin and gold<\/a> in 1972<\/strong>. If this scenario repeats with Bitcoin in 2026, current levels are a major opportunity to seize.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Killa describes that Bitcoin is currently going through a <strong>&#8220;range-based capitulation&#8221;<\/strong>. In other words, Bitcoin could continue to move sideways between <strong>$75,000 and $50,000<\/strong> for several weeks or months before going to test <strong>$100,000<\/strong> again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-surging-bitcoin\/\">Why is the Crypto market surging today?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-crash-blackrock-jeff-park\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s February 5th crash: Jeff Park&#8217;s theory on BlackRock&#8217;s hidden role<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-events-week-bitcoin-crash\/\">Crypto events this week: Potential market movers &amp; crash risks<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s future: Could it mirror gold&#8217;s 1972 surge or the 2022 crash? Analyze the potential scenarios and market trends.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":26470,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin crash","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin: Will It explode like Gold or crash again?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin's future: Could it mirror gold's 1972 surge or the 2022 crash? Analyze the potential scenarios and market trends.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-explode-crash-analysis"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Will It explode like Gold or crash again?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin&#039;s future: Could it mirror gold&#039;s 1972 surge or the 2022 crash? 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/\",\"https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin: Will It explode like Gold or crash again?","description":"Bitcoin's future: Could it mirror gold's 1972 surge or the 2022 crash? 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A deep dive"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/","name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization","name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/investx_logo_noir.svg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/investx_logo_noir.svg","width":1,"height":1,"caption":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis & Forecasts"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a99817b9d097ee5a69e24946de94c23a","name":"Charles Ledoux","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/47d3a48e5bca34238d22886640ecc684e7dd54ad63c435f7005f6b5a1e0ddf8c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/47d3a48e5bca34238d22886640ecc684e7dd54ad63c435f7005f6b5a1e0ddf8c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Charles Ledoux"},"description":"Je suis un analyste sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans les blockchains L1 et leurs fondamentaux comme Bitcoin, Kaspa, Monero, Chainlink ou encore Solana. Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26471"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26471\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26473,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26471\/revisions\/26473"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}