{"id":26707,"date":"2026-02-18T16:06:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T16:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=26707"},"modified":"2026-02-18T14:21:54","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T14:21:54","slug":"bitcoin-btc-drop-54k-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-btc-drop-54k-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Why BTC needs to drop to $54k before exploding"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"selling-pressure-suffocating-the-market\">Selling Pressure Suffocating the Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/\">crypto market <\/a>is currently caught in a vice. On one side, investors hope for an immediate rebound, on the other, <strong>on-chain<\/strong> data tells a much more cautious story. Ki Young Ju, a respected figure in crypto analysis, recently shared a stark assessment: we are in a well-defined <strong>bearish<\/strong> cycle, not just a temporary correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin is not pumpable right now.<br><br>In 2024, $10B in cash could create $26B in BTC book value. In 2025, $308B flowed in, yet the market cap fell $98B. Selling pressure is too heavy for any multiplier effect.<br><br>MSTR and DATs won&#39;t work until it becomes pumpable again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T8NZHio4H9\">pic.twitter.com\/T8NZHio4H9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/2020908389132324938?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The fundamental problem lies in the imbalance of capital flows. Currently, <strong>selling pressure<\/strong> is completely overwhelming new capital inflows. Simply put, there are more whales and institutions looking to reduce their exposure or take profits than new entrants ready to buy at high prices. This phenomenon of &#8220;institutional unwinding&#8221; prevents any attempt at an upward <strong>breakout<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For Ki Young Ju, the absence of significant buying interest at these price levels is a warning signal. As long as this imbalance persists, imagining an immediate return to the <strong>ATH<\/strong> is more wishful thinking than rational analysis. The market needs to &#8220;breathe,&#8221; and paradoxically, this could mean an additional drop to clean up positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"why-is-the-54000-level-crucial\">Why is the $54,000 Level Crucial?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The CryptoQuant analyst points to a precise technical and psychological level: <strong>$54,000<\/strong>. This figure isn&#8217;t pulled out of thin air. It often corresponds to major support zones based on the <strong>&#8220;Realized Price&#8221;<\/strong> of investor cohorts. Historically, true market bottoms form when <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s<\/a> price comes to test, or even break below, the average purchase price of holders.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"583\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1.png\" alt=\"Bear market floor price for Bitcoin with a purple line representing the realized price\" class=\"wp-image-26705\" srcset=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1-768x437.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Checkonchain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Currently, Bitcoin has not yet shown signs of total <strong>capitulation<\/strong>. Capitulation is that moment of panic when the last uncertain holders sell at a loss, transferring their assets to stronger hands (the &#8220;Diamond Hands&#8221;). Without this purging event, the market remains in limbo, unable to build a solid foundation for the next <strong>rally<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If BTC were to fall toward <strong>$54,000<\/strong>, it would represent a painful but potentially healing correction. This level could act as a liquidity magnet, triggering the massive buy orders needed to reverse the trend. Ki Young Ju warns that this healing process could take months. Patience is therefore essential for traders monitoring charts in search of an optimal entry point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"institutions-and-etfs-engine-stalled\">Institutions and ETFs: Engine Stalled?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Another key factor in this analysis rests on institutional behavior, particularly through <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> Spot ETFs<\/strong>. After driving the market during previous phases, these flows seem to have dried up or are no longer sufficient to offset selling. CryptoQuant&#8217;s analysis suggests that without a massive resurgence of institutional liquidity, <strong>momentum<\/strong> will remain bearish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The crypto market can no longer rely solely on retail investor &#8220;hype.&#8221; The current market structure requires massive volumes to move the needle. The absence of &#8220;buying interest&#8221; currently confirms that large portfolios are waiting for more attractive price levels to reposition themselves. They won&#8217;t <strong>FOMO<\/strong> at current levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This &#8220;cleanup&#8221; phase is typical of market cycles. It separates solid projects and convinced investors from short-term speculators. If Ki Young Ju&#8217;s prediction materializes, the coming months will be a resilience test for the entire ecosystem, but they could also offer one of the best accumulation opportunities of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Faced with this analysis, the question for any investor is how to react. Should one sell now to buy back lower, or engage in DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) hoping the support holds? If $54,000 is touched, will it constitute the starting point of the next <strong>Bull run<\/strong> or simply a step toward even deeper lows? The answer will depend on the reaction of buying volumes once this critical threshold is reached.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I predicted the top, now its time to predict the bottom.<br><br>Based on diminishing returns\/retracements &amp; fractal analysis, I believe this time we wont bottom where most expect.   <br><br>I expect <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> to bottom in August. You heard it here first. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jOd1Wn8XZy\">pic.twitter.com\/jOd1Wn8XZy<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2023980072110059882?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For many traders, like Killa, a descent between <strong>$47,000 and $54,000<\/strong> is a generational opportunity to DCA for the long term. According to him, the <strong>bottom should arrive by August<\/strong> of this year with a first low point between March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-signals-bottom-112\/\">XRP: 4 signals point to a bottom at $1.12 and an imminent explosion<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-solana-dogecoin-price-predictions\/\">XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin price predictions: Where will they go?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/deepseek-ai-xrp-dogecoin-shiba-2026\/\">Deepseek AI predicts XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu prices by end of 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will Bitcoin&#8217;s price fall to $54,000 before soaring? Experts predict a potential dip before the next bull run. Find out why!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":26706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin price","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin price prediction: Why a dip to $54k could ignite a rally","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Will Bitcoin's price fall to $54,000 before soaring? Experts predict a potential dip before the next bull run. Find out why!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-btc-drop-54k-rally"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin price prediction: Why a dip to $54k could ignite a rally<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Will Bitcoin&#039;s price fall to $54,000 before soaring? Experts predict a potential dip before the next bull run. 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Il est dipl\u00f4m\u00e9 de la Crypto Academy et est \u00e9galement un mineur Bitcoin depuis plus d'un an. Il a \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 2000 articles. 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