{"id":26723,"date":"2026-02-19T10:09:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T10:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=26723"},"modified":"2026-02-19T08:12:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T08:12:03","slug":"bitcoin-traders-crash-40000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-traders-crash-40000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Why traders are betting big on a $40,000 crash"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"is-the-key-60000-support-level-in-danger\">Is the key $60,000 support level in danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) is navigating through turbulent waters. Currently trading around <strong>$67,100<\/strong>, the queen of cryptocurrencies is struggling to reassure investors after a severe correction from its October highs. But it&#8217;s in the shadows of the derivatives market that concern is growing: the put option at <strong>$40,000<\/strong> has become the second largest position in terms of open interest for the February expiry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">$40k <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a> Put Becomes Second Largest Bet Ahead of February Expiry<br><br>A <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a>) $40,000 put option has emerged as the second-largest stri&#8230;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm\">https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fY1iL4kKu7\">pic.twitter.com\/fY1iL4kKu7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CoinNoob (@coin247dotnet) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coin247dotnet\/status\/2024393576608591950?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This aggressive positioning on such low strike prices reflects growing demand for <strong>downside protection<\/strong>. Institutional traders appear to be fearing a major liquidity event or final capitulation that could drive the price well below current support levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"is-the-key-60000-support-level-in-danger\">Is the key $60,000 support level in danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s<\/a> technical structure has weakened. After losing nearly 50% of its value since its historic ATH above $120,000, BTC is testing the resilience of its holders. The massive accumulation of $40,000 puts suggests that large wallets are not ruling out a catastrophic scenario where the psychological <strong>$60,000<\/strong> support would break brutally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a technical perspective, losing the $65,000 &#8211; $66,000 zone could open the trapdoor toward $52,000, a level often cited as a long-term accumulation zone (MVRV). Analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted a drastic <strong>72% drop in whale transactions<\/strong>, a sign that major players remain on the sidelines, leaving the market without an immediate safety net.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this needs to be nuanced: in the options market, a heavy concentration of puts doesn&#8217;t always mean the price will reach that level. These positions often serve as <strong>&#8220;hedges&#8221;<\/strong> for long portfolios. If the price holds, these options will expire worthless, which could paradoxically relieve selling pressure once the expiry passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"scenario-final-capitulation-or-bear-trap\">Scenario: Final capitulation or bear trap?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Market sentiment is currently at extreme fear, a classic contrarian indicator. Historically, when the crowd and options bet heavily on a crash, the market tends to surprise in the opposite direction to inflict &#8220;Max Pain&#8221; on short sellers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Bitcoin manages to reclaim <strong>$70,000<\/strong> before the end of the week, this wall of $40,000 puts will become obsolete, potentially forcing market makers to buy back spot to cover their positions, thus fueling a technical rebound. Conversely, a weekly close below $65,000 would validate the bearish scenario, turning fear into real panic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <br><br>Capitulation in April. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7\">https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2024159049734918167?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>According to trader Killa, a &#8220;capitulation&#8221; should occur by April, taking Bitcoin between <strong>$47,000 and $54,000<\/strong>. He notably adds that tensions under the sign of world wars could emerge &#8220;very soon&#8221;. Tension is therefore still very present in the markets and whale bets show it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-down-bitcoin-altcoins\/\">Why is the crypto market down today? Bitcoin, Altcoins, and market analysis<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/wlfi-surge-apex-trump-token\/\">WLFI soars 10% as Apex deal fuels Trump token surge<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-btc-drop-54k-rally\/\">Bitcoin: Why BTC needs to drop to $54k before exploding<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. Get the analysis and understand the market moves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":26722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin Crash","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin crash? traders bet on $40K price drop","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. Get the analysis and understand the market moves.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-traders-crash-40000"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin crash? traders bet on $40K price drop<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. 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