{"id":26723,"date":"2026-02-19T10:09:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T10:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=26723"},"modified":"2026-02-19T08:12:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T08:12:03","slug":"bitcoin-traders-crash-40000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-traders-crash-40000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Why traders are betting big on a $40,000 crash"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"is-the-key-60000-support-level-in-danger\">Is the key $60,000 support level in danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) is navigating through turbulent waters. Currently trading around <strong>$67,100<\/strong>, the queen of cryptocurrencies is struggling to reassure investors after a severe correction from its October highs. But it&#8217;s in the shadows of the derivatives market that concern is growing: the put option at <strong>$40,000<\/strong> has become the second largest position in terms of open interest for the February expiry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">$40k <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a> Put Becomes Second Largest Bet Ahead of February Expiry<br><br>A <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a>) $40,000 put option has emerged as the second-largest stri&#8230;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm\">https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fY1iL4kKu7\">pic.twitter.com\/fY1iL4kKu7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CoinNoob (@coin247dotnet) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coin247dotnet\/status\/2024393576608591950?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This aggressive positioning on such low strike prices reflects growing demand for <strong>downside protection<\/strong>. Institutional traders appear to be fearing a major liquidity event or final capitulation that could drive the price well below current support levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"is-the-key-60000-support-level-in-danger\">Is the key $60,000 support level in danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin&#8217;s<\/a> technical structure has weakened. After losing nearly 50% of its value since its historic ATH above $120,000, BTC is testing the resilience of its holders. The massive accumulation of $40,000 puts suggests that large wallets are not ruling out a catastrophic scenario where the psychological <strong>$60,000<\/strong> support would break brutally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a technical perspective, losing the $65,000 &#8211; $66,000 zone could open the trapdoor toward $52,000, a level often cited as a long-term accumulation zone (MVRV). Analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted a drastic <strong>72% drop in whale transactions<\/strong>, a sign that major players remain on the sidelines, leaving the market without an immediate safety net.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this needs to be nuanced: in the options market, a heavy concentration of puts doesn&#8217;t always mean the price will reach that level. These positions often serve as <strong>&#8220;hedges&#8221;<\/strong> for long portfolios. If the price holds, these options will expire worthless, which could paradoxically relieve selling pressure once the expiry passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"scenario-final-capitulation-or-bear-trap\">Scenario: Final capitulation or bear trap?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Market sentiment is currently at extreme fear, a classic contrarian indicator. Historically, when the crowd and options bet heavily on a crash, the market tends to surprise in the opposite direction to inflict &#8220;Max Pain&#8221; on short sellers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Bitcoin manages to reclaim <strong>$70,000<\/strong> before the end of the week, this wall of $40,000 puts will become obsolete, potentially forcing market makers to buy back spot to cover their positions, thus fueling a technical rebound. Conversely, a weekly close below $65,000 would validate the bearish scenario, turning fear into real panic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <br><br>Capitulation in April. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7\">https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2024159049734918167?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>According to trader Killa, a &#8220;capitulation&#8221; should occur by April, taking Bitcoin between <strong>$47,000 and $54,000<\/strong>. He notably adds that tensions under the sign of world wars could emerge &#8220;very soon&#8221;. Tension is therefore still very present in the markets and whale bets show it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-down-bitcoin-altcoins\/\">Why is the crypto market down today? Bitcoin, Altcoins, and market analysis<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/wlfi-surge-apex-trump-token\/\">WLFI soars 10% as Apex deal fuels Trump token surge<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-btc-drop-54k-rally\/\">Bitcoin: Why BTC needs to drop to $54k before exploding<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. Get the analysis and understand the market moves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":26722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin Crash","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin crash? traders bet on $40K price drop","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. Get the analysis and understand the market moves.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-traders-crash-40000"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin crash? traders bet on $40K price drop<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is struggling. Traders are placing massive bets on a $40,000 price crash. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26723"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26723\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26724,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26723\/revisions\/26724"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26722"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}