Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> is taking the full brunt of global geopolitical shockwaves. As the war enters its fifth week with no clear resolution in sight, Donald Trump’s decision to extend the deadline granted to Iran is keeping extreme pressure on risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThis risk aversion has triggered a short term selloff<\/strong>, dragging all altcoins down in its wake. The drop in equities, including the S&P 500, has prompted investors to pull back from risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\nIs Bitcoin’s key support in danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
From a technical analysis<\/strong> standpoint, the temporary loss of the $68,500 level is a warning sign. This threshold had been acting as a major psychological and technical support<\/strong> for several weeks. By slipping below this zone, BTC is exposed to a deeper retracement<\/strong>, with the next safety net identified around $65,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nIndeed, $68,500 represents the mid range for Bitcoin and a 4 hour order block (a liquidity zone protected by smart money). It is therefore an ideal area for a bounce. In the event of a rebound, Bitcoin could potentially retest the top of its range at $72,000<\/strong> and even the upper boundary of its bearish flag around $78,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\nSelling pressure seems to be running out of steam in the short term. The RSI hit its oversold territory on the 4H chart last week, but has not yet reached the overbought zone. If sellers fail to drive the nail in, a bullish move<\/strong> could quickly bring the price back to test the former $70,000 resistance<\/strong> in the coming days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Source: Checkonchain<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\nFurthermore, long term holders continue to accumulate at this level. This dichotomy between short term market sentiment and long term fundamentals is typical of consolidation phases. Less experienced investors are capitulating in the face of macroeconomic uncertainties, while smart money is quietly positioning itself for the next rally<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThe bearish scenario: Heading toward $65,000 or $57,000?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Nevertheless, the market is not immune to new macroeconomic developments that could drag the S&P 500 even lower. If BTC closes its weekly candle below $67,700<\/strong>, it would be a red flag pushing BTC toward $65,000<\/strong> at the very least.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n