{"id":27855,"date":"2026-03-30T11:23:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T10:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=27855"},"modified":"2026-03-30T13:29:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T12:29:51","slug":"bitcoin-analysis-april-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-analysis-april-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin (BTC) analysis &amp; scenarios: What&#8217;s next in April 2026?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-tense-march-but-whales-are-accumulating-heavily\">A Tense March, But Whales Are Accumulating Heavily<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> is preparing to close March 2026 with an almost neutral performance, posting a meager 0.19% gain. This stagnation marks a sharp <strong>retracement<\/strong> compared to the surge of over 5% seen at the beginning of the month. Faced with this dynamic, retail investor sentiment has plunged, with the extreme fear index hitting critical levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, beneath the surface of this <strong>bearish<\/strong> sentiment, on chain data tells a completely different story. Large wallets are taking advantage of this <strong>correction<\/strong> to accumulate heavily. Throughout the month, these institutional investors absorbed a large portion of the selling pressure, signaling unwavering confidence in the fundamentals of the asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Flows from <strong>spot <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> ETFs<\/strong> confirm this trend. After four consecutive months of capital outflows, March recorded net inflows exceeding <strong>$1.13 billion<\/strong>. Although the final week saw some turbulence, institutional appetite remains a key driver in supporting the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-happens-next-possible-scenarios\">What Happens Next: Possible Scenarios<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From a technical standpoint, the market is divided. On one hand, some analysts are pointing to a return below $60,000 in the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin : retour aux 60K ? \ud83c\udfaf Analyse &amp; pr\u00e9vision (27.03.2026) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0EeEt6OpvN\">https:\/\/t.co\/0EeEt6OpvN<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Crypto Wave Trading (@Wave_Trading_FR) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Wave_Trading_FR\/status\/2037629108952134143?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 27, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For instance, trader <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/\">Crypto Wave Trading<\/a> recently stated that if Bitcoin does not drop quickly below <strong>$60,000<\/strong> before the monthly close on April 1, it could take longer before making its return below the $60,000 mark.<br><br>This aligns with the scenario from trader Killa, who predicts a return below <strong>$60,000<\/strong> between June and September. In the shorter term, he points to <strong>April 10 as a pivot<\/strong> where a local bottom could be found before an upward move and a bearish retest. In other words, Bitcoin has a strong chance of falling below $60,000, but not in the coming days or weeks. April and May could still see tight trading ranges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">10th April. Pay attention.<br><br>The narrative into this pivot will likely reverse within 1\u20132 weeks.<br><br>Bullish into the 10th &gt; sweep, then shift to an inverse (bearish) narrative.<br><br>Bearish into the 10th &gt; sweep of a key wick low, then recovery. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hjYzlldxHK\">pic.twitter.com\/hjYzlldxHK<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2038511044507648494?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 30, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, renowned firms like Bernstein maintain ultra optimistic forecasts, targeting a cycle peak between <strong>$150,000 and $200,000<\/strong>. For these experts, the current consolidation is merely a necessary accumulation phase before the next <strong>rally<\/strong>. The supply squeeze on exchanges reinforces this bullish thesis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"how-high-can-the-price-of-bitcoin-btc-soar-in-april\">How High Can the Price of Bitcoin (BTC) Soar in April?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>April 2026 is shaping up to be a true resilience test for the crypto market. Upcoming US macroeconomic data, particularly regarding inflation and employment, will act as a catalyst to trigger the next major move. Traders will need to closely monitor how the price reacts to these announcements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While fear dominates among retail investors, history has often shown us that these periods of uncertainty offer great opportunities. This consolidation phase could last longer than expected if Bitcoin fails to find a clear direction before the monthly close.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"560\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132343\/newplot-14-1024x560-1.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Capital Demand Effect chart with orange curve\" class=\"wp-image-27852\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132343\/newplot-14-1024x560-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132343\/newplot-14-1024x560-1-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132343\/newplot-14-1024x560-1-768x420.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Checkonchain<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Realized Capital Demand Effect<\/strong> chart indicates that Bitcoin is still in a <strong>low liquidity<\/strong> phase. This means that at current prices, buyers remain cautious. For <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> to break through its major resistances, a catalyst or a liquidity influx from smart money must step in more convincingly. Indeed, the fact that the best traders of the past 12 months are bearish and expect a return below <strong>$60,000<\/strong> is another confluence predicting a potential consolidation before a swift drop below $60,000.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"560\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132345\/newplot-13-1024x560-1.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Mean Reversion Index chart with slow index, fast index, and index curves\" class=\"wp-image-27853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132345\/newplot-13-1024x560-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132345\/newplot-13-1024x560-1-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/03\/30132345\/newplot-13-1024x560-1-768x420.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Checkonchain<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>For now, Bitcoin has likely not found its bottom yet. On the flip side, it sits in an obvious long term buying zone. In fact, the <strong>Mean Reversion Index<\/strong> places Bitcoin in a long term bounce area. Ultimately, every dip is an opportunity to <strong>DCA and accumulate<\/strong> for those who believe in Bitcoin over the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/pro\/i\/alt-coin-season\">Checkonchain<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/coinpedia.org\/price-analysis\/monthly-close-alert-tao-fet-chz-dexe-set-for-potential-breakouts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">BeinCrypto<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>X &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Wave_Trading_FR\/status\/2037629108952134143\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Crypto Wave Trading<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2038511044507648494\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Killa<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/tao-cc-dot-wld-crypto-analysis\/\">Top and worst cryptos this week: TAO, CC, DOT, and WLD<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/top-cryptos-watch-tao-fet-chz-dexe\/\">Top 4 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: TAO, FET, CHZ, and DEXE analysis<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/hyperliquid-hype-analysis\/\">Hyperliquid (HYPE) dominates Altcoins: Can it surge to $50?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) outlook for April 2026: Price predictions, market analysis, and potential scenarios. Get the latest insights on BTC&#8217;s future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":27854,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin price prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin price prediction: April 2026 analysis & scenarios","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin (BTC) outlook for April 2026: Price predictions, market analysis, and potential scenarios. Get the latest insights on BTC's future.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-analysis-april-2026"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin price prediction: April 2026 analysis &amp; scenarios<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) outlook for April 2026: Price predictions, market analysis, and potential scenarios. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27863,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27855\/revisions\/27863"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}