{"id":28544,"date":"2026-04-22T15:19:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:19:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=28544"},"modified":"2026-04-22T15:19:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T14:19:59","slug":"bitcoin-bull-run-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-bull-run-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: This signal has predicted every Bull Run, is another explosion coming?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-the-monthly-macd-turns-pink-a-rare-signal\">Bitcoin: The monthly MACD turns pink, a rare signal<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The crypto market is going through a period of <strong>intense compression<\/strong>, and technical analysts have their eyes glued to a specific indicator. On the <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> monthly chart, the <strong>MACD<\/strong> has just made a shift that few investors usually monitor: the histogram has flipped from <strong>deep red to light pink<\/strong>. For Merlijn The Trader, an analyst followed by hundreds of thousands of traders on X, this color change is not just cosmetic. It is a <strong>momentum reversal signal<\/strong> that has occurred exactly three times in Bitcoin&#8217;s history: in <strong>2015<\/strong>, <strong>2019<\/strong>, and <strong>2023<\/strong>. Following each occurrence, a major bull run ensued without exception.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">THE BULLISH MACD BITCOIN CROSS IS LIVE!<br><br>Last time: +88%<br>This time? Already +12% and momentum is building.<br><br>You\u2019ve been warned.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> is waking up. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ys34EoOXOx\">pic.twitter.com\/Ys34EoOXOx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/1914967480344207521?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 23, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MACD indicator<\/strong> measures the <strong>convergence and divergence<\/strong> of two exponential moving averages. On the <strong>monthly timeframe<\/strong>, each signal carries considerable weight: a single candle represents 30 days of price action. The shift from red to pink indicates that <strong>selling pressure is exhausting<\/strong> without buyers having taken full control just yet. It is the intermediate phase, where the market catches its breath before a potential directional resumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What Merlijn The Trader&#8217;s technical analysis highlights is the <strong>consistency of the pattern across four cycles<\/strong>. Each time, Bitcoin was trading inside a long-term <strong>compression triangle<\/strong>, characterized by lower highs and a strongly held support. The MACD reversal to pink preceded the bullish breakout from the triangle, followed by an explosion to a new ATH. In <strong>2023<\/strong>, BTC was still trading below <strong>$20,000<\/strong> when this signal flashed. It then surged past <strong>$100,000<\/strong> in 2025, confirming the historical predictive value of this setup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">MONTHLY MACD ON BITCOIN. PAY ATTENTION.<br><br>Deep red to light pink is halfway through the bottom.<br>Not an instant pump. A momentum shift.<br><br>2015: flipped pink. Then the run.<br>2019: flipped pink. Then the run.<br>2026: just turned pink.<br><br>The bottom is forming.<br>Not pumping yet. Shifting. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bd4svvQ84V\">pic.twitter.com\/bd4svvQ84V<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2045880105088798748?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-cycle-bottom-might-not-have-been-reached-yet\">The cycle bottom might not have been reached yet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the analyst tempers short-term enthusiasm. His scenario does not call for an <strong>immediate rally<\/strong>. According to Merlijn The Trader, the current setup faithfully replicates previous cycles, and those all included a <strong>severe final retracement<\/strong> before the real takeoff. This final move would serve to <strong>liquidate overleveraged positions<\/strong> and establish a solid floor, forming the technical foundation for the next bull cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/halving-date\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> is currently trading around <strong>$75,000<\/strong>, in a <strong>technical compression<\/strong> zone that the analyst describes as a &#8220;springboard.&#8221; A correction to lower levels cannot be ruled out before the triangular structure resolves to the upside. Traders accustomed to support and resistance trading will recognize this type of setup: it is precisely in these zones of <strong>maximum compression<\/strong> that the most asymmetric entries present themselves, but also the most costly traps for those who anticipate the move too early. A Fibonacci retracement to the <strong>0.618<\/strong> and <strong>0.786<\/strong> levels remains something to watch closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"637\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/04\/22134437\/BTCUSDT_2026-04-22_16-20-48-1024x637-1.png\" alt=\"BTC\/USDT candlestick chart on a 1-hour timeframe (Gemini) from February 5th to April 22nd, 2026, showing a drop from $84,000 to $58,000 in early February, followed by consolidation between $64,000 and $76,000 in March, then a gradual upward trend in April bringing the price to $78,288 \u2014 current price up +0.30%.\" class=\"wp-image-28542\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/04\/22134437\/BTCUSDT_2026-04-22_16-20-48-1024x637-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/04\/22134437\/BTCUSDT_2026-04-22_16-20-48-1024x637-1-300x187.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/04\/22134437\/BTCUSDT_2026-04-22_16-20-48-1024x637-1-768x478.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"spot-etfs-confirm-institutional-interest\">Spot ETFs confirm institutional interest<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This technical signal arrives in a macro context that reinforces it. US spot Bitcoin ETFs have been recording <strong>steady net inflows<\/strong> for several weeks. During the week of <strong>April 14 to 18, 2026<\/strong>, flows reached nearly <strong>$996 million<\/strong>, including <strong>$663.9 million<\/strong> on Friday, <strong>April 17<\/strong> alone, marking the highest level since January. On <strong>April 20<\/strong>, net inflows into BTC ETFs reached an additional <strong>$238 million<\/strong>. Over the first two days of 2026, spot ETFs had already raked in <strong>$1.17 billion<\/strong>, a clear sign that institutional demand remains structurally solid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These flows reflect a demand that neither bearish price pressure nor macro volatility has managed to erode. <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/prediction-markets-crypto-boom\/\">Whales<\/a> and large funds continue to accumulate via these <strong>regulated vehicles<\/strong>, which structurally supports the price floor. As long as these inflows are maintained, the scenario of a <strong>lasting collapse<\/strong> remains highly unlikely according to the on-chain data available on Checkonchain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udcc8BITCOIN ETF INFLOWS NEAR $1 BILLION IN A WEEK<br><br>Spot <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> ETFs just pulled in $996.38M, extending a 3-week inflow streak.<br><br>Friday alone saw $663.9M, the highest since January. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0aDLokV7P6\">pic.twitter.com\/0aDLokV7P6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinbureau\/status\/2046119171629486175?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"should-you-enter-now-or-wait-for-the-correction\">Should you enter now or wait for the correction?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the question every investor is asking when faced with this type of <strong>rare setup<\/strong>. The MACD signal is <strong>bullish in the long term<\/strong>, ETF flows are positive, and the <strong>historical pattern<\/strong> points to a new peak. But the risk of a <strong>final drawdown<\/strong> before the breakout is real and well-documented in previous cycles, with drops sometimes reaching <strong>30 to 40%<\/strong> before the actual takeoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For those considering buying Bitcoin, <strong>risk management<\/strong> relies on position sizing and staggered entry levels rather than going all-in on a single technical signal. The principles of money management remain the absolute priority in this type of configuration. Our Bitcoin forecast page tracks the evolution of <strong>price targets<\/strong> in real time. What the data confirms is this: when this signal has triggered in the past, those who respected the structure captured the most significant moves of the cycle. Those who ignored the <strong>compression<\/strong> paid a heavy price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoinist<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>X (@<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MerlijnTrader\">MerlijnTrader<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>X (@<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/coinbureau\">coinbureau<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>X (@CryptoPatel)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/hyperliquid-hype-etf-analysis\/\">Hyperliquid (HYPE) ETF: Is a $50 price target possible?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-trump-announcement\/\">Bitcoin soars after Trump announcement: Is $89,000 next?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/spx6900-breakout-analysis\/\">Is SPX6900 poised for a breakout and a 92% surge?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The monthly MACD for Bitcoin is turning bullish! Discover the rare signal that has preceded every major bull run. Could a BTC price explosion be next?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":28543,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin bull run","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin Bull Run signal: Is a price explosion imminent?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"The monthly MACD for Bitcoin is turning bullish! Discover the rare signal that has preceded every major bull run.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-bull-run-signal"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Bull Run signal: Is a price explosion imminent?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The monthly MACD for Bitcoin is turning bullish! 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Suivez-moi sur LinkedIn et X pour ne manquer aucune analyse.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/x.com\/SimonDml1\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/simon_redacteur\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin Bull Run signal: Is a price explosion imminent?","description":"The monthly MACD for Bitcoin is turning bullish! Discover the rare signal that has preceded every major bull run.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-bull-run-signal\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bitcoin Bull Run signal: Is a price explosion imminent?","og_description":"The monthly MACD for Bitcoin is turning bullish! 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. 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