{"id":28873,"date":"2026-05-04T09:42:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T08:42:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=28873"},"modified":"2026-05-04T09:42:50","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T08:42:50","slug":"bitcoin-peter-brandt-prediction-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-peter-brandt-prediction-crash\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin to $250,000? Peter Brandt predicts a crash before the surge"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"brandt-sets-the-market-straight-no-bottom-before-october-2026\">Brandt sets the market straight: No bottom before October 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> is currently trading in a range between <strong>$78,200<\/strong> and <strong>$80,300<\/strong>, driven in part by the rebound following Trump&#8217;s &#8220;Project Freedom&#8221; announcement regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Despite this geopolitical catalyst, the underlying structure remains fragile according to Peter Brandt, a veteran trader with <strong>nearly 50 years of experience<\/strong> in the futures markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brandt projects that Bitcoin could reach <strong>$250,000<\/strong> by the end of 2029, but only after a prolonged market bottom phase that could last until <strong>September or October 2026<\/strong>. His reasoning is based on the four-year halving cycle, in which bull markets typically peak <strong>16 to 18 months<\/strong> after a halving and hit a bottom about a year after the peak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For investors looking to understand crypto cycles before taking a position, this analysis should be seriously integrated into any medium-term strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoiners<br>Those of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to stop with the mushrooms<br>This is called a channel <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a><br>While it does not preclude further price gains, it is NOT a bullish bottoming pattern<br>The Factor Report reports on classical chart analysis <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6nRit1xsVp\">https:\/\/t.co\/6nRit1xsVp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ApMM46KFla\">pic.twitter.com\/ApMM46KFla<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Factor Report (@PeterLBrandt) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/2048911025471467817?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 27, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"ascending-channel-and-a-deceptive-structure-for-the-bulls\">Ascending channel and a deceptive structure for the bulls<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Brandt points out that Bitcoin&#8217;s current formation in a bullish parallel channel indicates a controlled upward movement, not a parabolic recovery. For BTC to begin a trajectory toward new all-time highs, it would need to break out of this channel to the upside with significant volume. This signal has not yet appeared at this stage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On-chain data confirms this reading: BTC&#8217;s return to <strong>$80,000<\/strong> is primarily fueled by inflows into US spot ETFs and leveraged long positions, rather than broad spot buying. The April rally was driven almost exclusively by demand for perpetual futures while spot demand contracted, a pattern historically associated with fragile and easily reversible gains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Crypto traders who follow technical levels know that the <strong>$80,513<\/strong> zone (0.382 Fibonacci) represents the first decisive test. Without a convincing daily close above this threshold, every bounce remains suspect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"570\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085522\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.53.38-1024x570-1.png\" alt=\"BTC\/USD \u2013 April-May 2026 \u2013 Price rises towards $80,355 as spot demand contracts and perpetual futures demand explodes. A fragile rally pattern driven by leverage, with Fibonacci resistances at $80,513 and $83,957 as next decisive tests.\" class=\"wp-image-28870\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085522\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.53.38-1024x570-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085522\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.53.38-1024x570-1-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085522\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.53.38-1024x570-1-768x428.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"250000-in-2029-brandts-halving-scenario\">$250,000 in 2029: Brandt&#8217;s halving scenario<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A return to the <strong>$40,000-$50,000<\/strong> range in the worst-case scenario, therefore, before soaring to all-time highs. Brandt&#8217;s analytical framework rests on three pillars: halving cycles as the main price driver, an investable bottom expected in <strong>September-October 2026<\/strong>, and a potential cycle peak between <strong>$300,000<\/strong> and <strong>$500,000<\/strong> in 2029, which is roughly <strong>18 months after the next halving in April 2028<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bitcoin network is currently more than <strong>50%<\/strong> through its ongoing halving cycle. With an issuance of <strong>3.125 BTC per block<\/strong> and an inflation rate below <strong>1%<\/strong>, price performance remains more modest than in previous cycles, up roughly <strong>15%<\/strong> since the April 2024 halving. This observation of diminishing returns argues precisely for a longer bottom phase before the next bull run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Major institutions are also revising their targets downward. Citigroup has lowered its 12-month forecast to <strong>$112,000<\/strong>, while Standard Chartered has reduced its year-end target from <strong>$150,000<\/strong> to <strong>$100,000<\/strong>. These moves converge with Brandt&#8217;s cautious reading of the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our view is as follows: Brandt&#8217;s thesis deserves to be integrated into any medium-term crypto investment plan. If the scenario is confirmed, the months from July to October 2026 could offer significantly more advantageous entry points than current levels. The <strong>$40,000-$50,000<\/strong> zone would represent a historic accumulation territory, provided the cyclical thesis remains intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For those looking to gain exposure right now, our guide on how to buy Bitcoin and our comparison of the best exchanges will help you proceed methodically. The <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/chatgpt-crypto-predictions-bitcoin-ethereum-xrp\/\">BTC price predictions<\/a> will be updated based on how the market structure evolves in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"632\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085524\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.59.07-1024x632-1.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Power Law V2.0 (JDK Analysis) \u2013 Weekly chart 2010-2026 on a logarithmic scale. Current price: $75,362, SMA at $71,779. Pink resistance band and green long-term support band. \" class=\"wp-image-28871\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085524\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.59.07-1024x632-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085524\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.59.07-1024x632-1-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/04085524\/Capture-decran-2026-05-04-a-10.59.07-1024x632-1-768x474.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\">PeterLBrandt<\/a> on X<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/\">CryptoQuant<\/a> <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fr.tradingview.com\/chart\/emC63rri\/?symbol=GEMINI%3ABTCUSDT\">Tradingview<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-explodes-today\/\">Crypto market surge: Bitcoin hits $80K+! What&#8217;s happening?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/dogecoin-bull-run-analysis\/\">Dogecoin: The crucial level that could ignite the DOGE Bull Run<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/shiba-inu-burn-rally\/\">Shiba Inu burn rate soars 812%: Is a rally on the horizon?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin at $250,000 by 2029, but warns of a significant correction before. Get the details on the potential market movements.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":28872,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin: Peter Brandt's $250K prediction & market crash warning","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin at $250,000 by 2029, but warns of a significant correction before. Get the details on the potential market movements.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-peter-brandt-prediction-crash"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Peter Brandt&#039;s $250K prediction &amp; market crash warning<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin at $250,000 by 2029, but warns of a significant correction before. 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. Suivez-moi sur LinkedIn et X pour ne manquer aucune analyse.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/SimonDml1"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/simon_redacteur\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28873","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28873"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28873\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28879,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28873\/revisions\/28879"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}