{"id":29526,"date":"2026-05-20T11:33:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T10:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=29526"},"modified":"2026-05-20T11:33:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T10:33:56","slug":"polymarket-iran-profits-insider-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/polymarket-iran-profits-insider-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket: $2.4M in profits on Iran – Insider trading?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Nine wallets, 80 positions, 98% win rate <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The case has sent shockwaves through the crypto<\/a> ecosystem. According to onchain detectives at Bubblemaps<\/strong>, a cluster of nine wallets<\/strong> generated massive profits by betting exclusively on US military actions in the Middle East<\/strong>. These addresses, created just days before the first American strikes in late February 2026<\/strong>, boasted a 98% win rate<\/strong> across more than 80 positions<\/strong>. This level of performance has less to do with technical analysis<\/a> and more to do with access to classified information. Nicolas Vaiman<\/strong>, CEO of Bubblemaps<\/strong>, described this activity as the “craziest pattern ever seen on Polymarket<\/a><\/strong>“.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These shadow traders anticipated major geopolitical events with surgical precision. They predicted the exact date of the US strikes<\/strong>, the removal of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei<\/strong>, and the announcement of the ceasefire. The statistical probability of achieving such a success rate on low probability<\/strong> bets purely by chance is infinitesimal. This type of performance brings to mind documented cases of institutional pump and dump schemes but in an unprecedented geopolitical format. The blockchain made it possible to track every movement with a level of precision that traditional financial markets simply cannot offer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To cover their tracks, these crypto whales<\/a> deliberately lost small amounts on minor bets. This tactical sophistication was designed to outsmart onchain surveillance algorithms. The funds were then quickly extracted through centralized exchanges like Bybit, Binance and HTX<\/strong>. The speed and method of this capital exfiltration<\/strong> reinforce the theory of an operation orchestrated by insiders with classified information. The immutable transparency of the blockchain ultimately backfired on the alleged perpetrators.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\udea8 Un cluster de 9 comptes @Polymarket<\/a> vient d'empocher 2,4 M$ avec 98 % de winrate sur 80+ paris militaires.

Une investigation de
@bubblemaps<\/a> a remont\u00e9 le r\u00e9seau \u00e0 partir du march\u00e9 li\u00e9 \u00e0 la premi\u00e8re frappe US sur l'Iran du 28 f\u00e9vrier.

Le point de d\u00e9part : 4 wallets connect\u00e9s,\u2026
https:\/\/t.co\/i5hlFJ90GY<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/ad1i69tm88<\/a><\/p>— France Cryptos \ud83d\udd17 (@FranceCryptos) May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote>