{"id":29526,"date":"2026-05-20T11:33:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T10:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=29526"},"modified":"2026-05-20T11:33:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T10:33:56","slug":"polymarket-iran-profits-insider-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/polymarket-iran-profits-insider-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket: $2.4M in profits on Iran – Insider trading?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
The case has sent shockwaves through the crypto<\/a> ecosystem. According to onchain detectives at Bubblemaps<\/strong>, a cluster of nine wallets<\/strong> generated massive profits by betting exclusively on US military actions in the Middle East<\/strong>. These addresses, created just days before the first American strikes in late February 2026<\/strong>, boasted a 98% win rate<\/strong> across more than 80 positions<\/strong>. This level of performance has less to do with technical analysis<\/a> and more to do with access to classified information. Nicolas Vaiman<\/strong>, CEO of Bubblemaps<\/strong>, described this activity as the “craziest pattern ever seen on Polymarket<\/a><\/strong>“.<\/p>\n\n\n\n These shadow traders anticipated major geopolitical events with surgical precision. They predicted the exact date of the US strikes<\/strong>, the removal of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei<\/strong>, and the announcement of the ceasefire. The statistical probability of achieving such a success rate on low probability<\/strong> bets purely by chance is infinitesimal. This type of performance brings to mind documented cases of institutional pump and dump schemes but in an unprecedented geopolitical format. The blockchain made it possible to track every movement with a level of precision that traditional financial markets simply cannot offer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n