{"id":29729,"date":"2026-05-25T10:05:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-25T09:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=29729"},"modified":"2026-05-25T09:16:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-25T08:16:09","slug":"clarity-act-approval-drops","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/clarity-act-approval-drops\/","title":{"rendered":"CLARITY Act: Why has zpproval dropped to 50%?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-aba-vs-stablecoins-war-is-declared\">The ABA vs. stablecoins: War is declared<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>American Bankers Association<\/strong> (<strong>ABA<\/strong>) is taking a stand against the stablecoin bill currently under review in the <strong>US Senate<\/strong>. Traditional banks take a very dim view of the possibility for stablecoin issuers to offer <strong>yields to their users<\/strong>. According to financial lobbies, this economic model directly threatens traditional bank deposits. Faced with this unprecedented pressure, US lawmakers are hesitating and delaying the vote. The initial compromise aimed at banning passive yields while allowing rewards linked to active use is no longer enough to appease traditional finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This offensive by the <strong>ABA<\/strong> comes at a critical time for the <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/\">crypto<\/a> ecosystem. Stablecoins represent the <strong>liquid fuel<\/strong> of all decentralized markets. If their economic model is hindered by severe restrictions, the entire liquidity of DeFi could suffer. Issuers like <strong>Tether<\/strong> and <strong>Circle<\/strong> have built their dominance precisely on their ability to generate yields through their reserves. Reducing this capability would amount to crippling the fundamental attractiveness of these instruments compared to traditional bank deposits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The potential impact on the blockchain market is considerable. Yield farming and staking protocols that use stablecoins as collateral would be directly affected by restrictions on yields. The crypto trend towards institutional adoption of RWAs relies largely on the reliability and attractiveness of these instruments. A legislative gridlock would create <strong>prolonged regulatory uncertainty<\/strong> harmful to institutional flows. This scenario is exactly what the industry has been trying to avoid for years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">THE CLARITY ACT SURGES THROUGH SENATE COMMITTEE BUT BANKS ARE TERRIFIED! \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8<br><br>Fox Business: American Bankers&#39; Association FIGHTING BACK claiming the bill will DRAIN deposits but Coinbase called it TOTAL FICTION \ud83d\udc40<br><br>the old guard is scared because they know crypto rules are finally\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tRl8eFmpmN\">https:\/\/t.co\/tRl8eFmpmN<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4hTEg2iGGe\">pic.twitter.com\/4hTEg2iGGe<\/a><\/p>&mdash; \ud835\uddd5\ud835\uddee\ud835\uddfb\ud835\uddf8XRP (@BankXRP) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BankXRP\/status\/2056743802422116675?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"senate-gridlock-time-is-running-out-for-crypto\">Senate gridlock, time is running out for crypto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Beyond lobbying, the <strong>legislative timing<\/strong> poses a major problem. The <strong>US Senate<\/strong> is facing a massive <strong>legislative bottleneck<\/strong> with competing priorities: national security, the federal budget, and presidential nominations. Analysts at <strong>Galaxy Research<\/strong> are adamant: if the bill does not move forward quickly, its chances of passing in <strong>2026<\/strong> will be <strong>almost zero<\/strong>. This legislative window is closing rapidly. Every week of delay mechanically reduces the probability of adoption before the congressional recess.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/polymarket\/bet\/\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/kalshi\/\">Kalshi<\/a><\/strong>, traders quickly adjusted their positions in response to these delays. The odds of adoption before <strong>2027<\/strong> plummeted from <strong>over 75%<\/strong> to <strong>under 50%<\/strong> in just a few days. This movement on prediction markets reflects a <strong>resolutely bearish sentiment<\/strong> among the most informed political observers. The bill had nevertheless crossed a crucial milestone in <strong>mid-May<\/strong> by passing the <strong>Senate Banking Committee<\/strong>. Without a swift floor vote, this progress will lead nowhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin and major altcoins have partially priced this uncertainty into their valuations. The fear and greed index remains in neutral territory, a sign that investors are watching without panicking just yet. A definitive burial of the bill would likely trigger a wave of selling on assets most exposed to the positive regulatory narrative. XRP forecasts and Ethereum forecasts would be the first impacted by this scenario. The crypto trend in the short term remains conditioned by every announcement from the Senate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"503\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/25090505\/Capture-decran-2026-05-25-a-09.14.08-1024x503-1.jpg\" alt=\"Polymarket chart of CLARITY Act signed in 2026, probability at 65% with $1.07 million volume, rebounding from 50% at the end of May 2026\" class=\"wp-image-29727\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/25090505\/Capture-decran-2026-05-25-a-09.14.08-1024x503-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/25090505\/Capture-decran-2026-05-25-a-09.14.08-1024x503-1-300x147.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/05\/25090505\/Capture-decran-2026-05-25-a-09.14.08-1024x503-1-768x377.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"clarity-act-which-assets-are-in-the-crosshairs\">CLARITY Act: Which assets are in the crosshairs?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>CLARITY Act<\/strong> is crucial for the industry because it would clearly define which assets are <strong>securities<\/strong> and which are <strong>digital commodities<\/strong>. Without this framework, exchange platforms and DeFi developers remain exposed to enforcement actions by the <strong>SEC<\/strong> and the <strong>CFTC<\/strong>. XRP, Solana, and Cardano had the most to gain from a favorable clarification. Prolonged uncertainty maintains a <strong>regulatory risk premium<\/strong> in their current valuations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A prolonged gridlock would delay the launch of new regulated products targeting US institutional investors. Bitcoin ETFs have proven that regulatory clarity unlocks massive institutional flows. The same mechanism would apply to the entire ecosystem if the <strong>CLARITY Act<\/strong> were enacted. Its absence keeps the market in a <strong>legal gray area<\/strong> that is structurally unfavorable to mainstream adoption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DeFi protocols based on smart contracts are particularly vulnerable in the absence of a clear legal framework. US developers are hesitating to deploy new protocols under the threat of being classified as <strong>unregistered securities issuers<\/strong>. This brain drain towards more favorable jurisdictions weakens blockchain innovation made in the USA. The American Web3 sector needs this law to maintain its competitiveness against the European <strong>MiCA<\/strong> legislation already in force. Every month of delay costs the US ecosystem market share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"can-btc-aim-for-an-ath-without-the-clarity-act\">Can BTC aim for an ATH without the CLARITY Act?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The history of the crypto market proves that regulatory uncertainty does not prevent bull cycles. Bitcoin reached its <strong>2021 ATH<\/strong> without a coherent US regulatory framework. Institutional flows via Bitcoin ETFs now constitute a <strong>structural accumulation floor<\/strong> independent of the legislative calendar. Some analysts believe that a regulatory status quo is better than a law excessively restricted by banks. The medium term Bitcoin forecast remains positive despite these legislative headwinds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>bearish<\/strong> scenario remains credible if the bill is definitively buried in <strong>2026<\/strong>. The altcoins most exposed to the positive regulatory narrative would suffer the most severe corrections. Crypto trading investors will need to monitor every statement from key senators as a leading directional indicator. Abandoning the bill would likely trigger a sectoral bear market for assets directly linked to status clarification. Risk management becomes a priority in this context of prolonged legislative uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For investors looking to invest in crypto in this environment, diversification remains the most prudent strategy. Maintaining exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum as assets less exposed to direct US regulatory risk is advisable. HODLing long term positions is justified by the historical resilience of the industry in the face of legislative hurdles. The <strong>2025-2026<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/near-protocol-60-rally-price-analysis\/\">crypto bull run<\/a> has the means to continue with or without the <strong>CLARITY Act<\/strong>. However, its adoption would undoubtedly constitute the most powerful <strong>institutional catalyst<\/strong> of the current cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/fr\">Polymarket<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BankXRP\">BankXRP<\/a> on X<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/near-hype-chz-bch-crypto-analysis\/\">Crypto weekly winners and losers: NEAR, HYPE, CHZ, and BCH<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-analysis-bitcoin-ondo\/\">Why is the Crypto market up today? Bitcoin, ONDO, and market analysis<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/polymarket-bookmakers-world-cup-2026\/\">Can Polymarket outsmart bookmakers on the 2026 World Cup?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CLARITY Act approval chances are down to 50%. Explore the implications for the banking lobby and the political timeline. Click to learn more!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":29728,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"CLARITY Act","_yoast_wpseo_title":"CLARITY Act approval plummets: What's next for Crypto?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"CLARITY Act approval chances are down to 50%. Explore the implications for the banking lobby and the political timeline. 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Explore the implications for the banking lobby and the political timeline. 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. Suivez-moi sur LinkedIn et X pour ne manquer aucune analyse.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/SimonDml1"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/simon_redacteur\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29729"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29729\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29730,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29729\/revisions\/29730"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}