{"id":31806,"date":"2026-08-24T13:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T12:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/24\/bitcoin-reclaims-bearish-trendline-5-key-signals\/"},"modified":"2026-08-24T13:00:59","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T12:00:59","slug":"bitcoin-reclaims-bearish-trendline-5-key-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-reclaims-bearish-trendline-5-key-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Reclaims Its Bearish Trendline: 5 Key Signals to Watch This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Bitcoin<\/strong> has just achieved something it had not managed in several months: closing a weekly candle above its 50-week EMA<\/strong>, a bearish trendline that has become a key reference for institutional traders<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This technical reclaim comes amid a tense market environment, just days before the Jackson Hole symposium<\/strong>, where decisions from the Fed<\/strong> could reshape risk appetite across financial markets<\/strong> as a whole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Five structural factors deserve close attention this week to understand where BTC<\/strong> is genuinely headed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Historic Technical Reclaim of the 50-Week EMA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin<\/a>‘s weekly close above the 50-week EMA<\/strong> marks the first signal of this kind since late 2024. From a price action<\/strong> perspective, this zone had acted as a dynamic resistance<\/strong> throughout the bear market<\/a><\/strong>, consistently rejecting every attempt at a sustained recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This reclaim does not automatically confirm a bullish reversal<\/strong>, but it sends a strong signal to traders who use this indicator as a long-term trend filter<\/strong>. Historically, whenever Bitcoin<\/strong> has managed to close a full week above this moving average<\/strong>, the probability of bullish continuation<\/strong> over the following 8 to 12 weeks has been significantly elevated, according to TradingView<\/strong> data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bitcoin<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The area around this EMA<\/strong> now acts as a critical dynamic support<\/strong>. A return below this level on a weekly close would invalidate the signal and reopen the door to a retest of lower support zones<\/strong>. The bulls<\/strong> must defend this level with conviction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jackson Hole and the Fed: The Macro Catalyst That Could Change Everything<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Jackson Hole symposium<\/strong> is the most closely watched macro<\/strong> event of the week. Statements from Fed<\/strong> Chair Jerome Powell<\/strong>, or from voting members of the committee, could trigger significant volatility<\/strong> across all risk assets<\/strong>, Bitcoin<\/strong> included.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets are currently pricing in signals around the rate cut timeline<\/strong>. A dovish<\/strong> tone \u2014 signaling faster cuts \u2014 would mechanically boost appetite for speculative assets<\/a><\/strong>. Conversely, a hawkish<\/strong> stance maintaining upward pressure on rates could trigger a sharp correction<\/strong>, even for a technically strong BTC<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Traders should monitor the CME FedWatch Tool<\/strong> in real time throughout the symposium. The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq<\/strong> remains elevated during phases of macro uncertainty, making this event particularly decisive for the short-term direction of BTC<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 4 Other Signals You Cannot Ignore This Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Beyond the technical reclaim and Jackson Hole<\/strong>, several on-chain<\/strong> and market metrics warrant active monitoring. Data from CoinGlass<\/strong> shows rising open interest<\/strong> levels on BTC futures contracts<\/strong>, a sign that speculative positions<\/strong> are building up \u2014 which amplifies volatility in both directions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The funding rate<\/strong> across major exchanges<\/strong> remains slightly positive, reflecting a moderate bullish bias<\/strong> among leveraged traders. A funding rate<\/strong> that spikes sharply higher would be a short-term overheating signal<\/strong>, often preceding a flush of long positions<\/strong>. Caution remains warranted on entries using leverage<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finally, flows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/strong> serve as a barometer of institutional demand<\/strong>. Sustained net inflows this week would validate the interest of major players<\/strong> at this price level, reinforcing the thesis of a durable reclaim of the bearish trend<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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