{"id":31945,"date":"2026-08-28T11:37:32","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T10:37:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T11:37:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T10:37:39","slug":"bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin at $79,500: Can BTC Break Above $80,000?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> is going nowhere fast. For several sessions now, the <strong>BTC<\/strong> price has been grinding sideways in a narrow range between $78,000 and $81,000, unable to commit in either direction. A high of $81,000 was briefly touched on August 25, followed by an immediate pullback \u2014 and the question keeps coming back: does this rally still have fuel left in the tank?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What makes the situation particularly interesting is that the pressure is not coming from the charts alone. <strong>Arthur Hayes<\/strong>, co-founder of <strong>BitMEX<\/strong>, is pointing the finger at a central market player whose business model is quietly wobbling. And that changes the entire equation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"strategy-under-pressure-btc-buying-engine-running-on-empty\">Strategy Under Pressure: Is the BTC Buying Engine Running on Empty?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Arthur Hayes<\/strong>, appearing on <strong>Laura Shin<\/strong>&#8216;s <em>Unchained<\/em> podcast, is sounding the alarm on <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/microstrategy-stock\/\"><strong>MicroStrategy<\/strong><\/a> (formerly Strategy Inc.), the world&#8217;s largest corporate holder of bitcoin with <strong>840,447 BTC<\/strong> on its balance sheet. Its long-standing model relies on a simple mechanic: issue shares at a premium to net asset value (NAV), use the proceeds to buy more BTC, and repeat. The catch is that this virtuous cycle has one non-negotiable condition \u2014 the price of bitcoin must keep accelerating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of August 27, however, <strong>MicroStrategy&#8217;s diluted mNAV stands at approximately 0.74x<\/strong>, while its <strong>enterprise mNAV is hovering around 1.01x<\/strong>. In plain terms: the company is now trading at roughly the raw value of its BTC holdings, with no meaningful premium attached. Without that premium, it cannot raise cheap capital to buy more bitcoin. The institutional buying engine that helped fuel a significant portion of the rally is now running on empty \u2014 not because of a crash, but simply because the price has stalled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is not an immediate catastrophe, but it is a structural signal that the market is beginning to price in. The selling pressure is not coming from <strong>MicroStrategy<\/strong> itself, but from the absence of any additional buying catalyst on their end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"key-levels-to-watch-btc-scenarios-this-week\">Key Levels to Watch: BTC Scenarios This Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/08\/28123153\/chart-bitcoin-24h-1787913112.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin 1-day chart\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>At around $79,500, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a> is trading within a well-defined consolidation band. Seven-day gains remain solid at +9.7%, but the short-term momentum depends entirely on how this range resolves. Here is the map of levels to watch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n  <li><strong>Resistance levels<\/strong>: $81,121 (first wall), then $82,500\u2013$84,700 (distribution zone), and $87,500 if momentum picks up strongly<\/li>\n  <li><strong>Support levels<\/strong>: $78,720 (immediate floor), $75,604 (critical level), then the moving average cluster at $65,800\u2013$68,300<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Three scenarios are taking shape. The <strong>bullish<\/strong> scenario: a clean breakout above $81,121, driven by dollar weakness and bond yields kept in check by the <strong>US Treasury<\/strong>, opens the path toward $84,700. The <strong>neutral<\/strong> scenario: consolidation extends between $78,000 and $81,000 as the market digests the compression in <strong>MicroStrategy<\/strong>&#8216;s mNAV and awaits upcoming macro data. The <strong>bearish<\/strong> scenario: a break below $75,604 invalidates the current bullish structure and reopens the door to a retest of the $68,000 zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also worth noting: <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/exchange\/deribit\/\">options positioning around key strikes on <strong>Deribit<\/strong><\/a> adds an additional layer of potential volatility to monitor into the next expiries. With a market cap now exceeding $1.5 trillion, <strong>BTC<\/strong> is no longer the speculative asset it once was \u2014 the asymmetric returns of buying at $79,500 are simply not what they were twelve months ago. The risk\/reward ratio now demands a rigorous technical read.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"related-articles\">\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"related-articles\">Related articles :<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/broker\/goliaths\/\">Goliath&#8217;s review: Is social trading for everyone? Our comprehensive analysis<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/broker\/moomoo\/\">Moomoo Review 2026 : Trusted Broker or Scam ? In-Depth Analysis<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/broker\/rannforex\/review\/\">RannForex Review : The Best Low-Cost Broker in 2026 ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\", \"@graph\": [{\"@type\": \"Organization\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#organization\", \"name\": \"InvestX\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\", \"logo\": {\"@type\": \"ImageObject\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#logo\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/logo.png\", \"width\": 600, \"height\": 60, \"caption\": \"InvestX\"}, \"sameAs\": [\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/investx_fr\", \"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/investx\", \"https:\/\/t.me\/investxpro\"], \"description\": \"M\u00e9dia francophone de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence sur les cryptomonnaies, le trading et la finance digitale.\"}, {\"@type\": \"WebSite\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#website\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\", \"name\": \"InvestX\", \"publisher\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#organization\"}, \"potentialAction\": {\"@type\": \"SearchAction\", \"target\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/?s={search_term_string}\", \"query-input\": \"required name=search_term_string\"}}, {\"@type\": \"WebPage\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#webpage\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/\", \"name\": \"Bitcoin at $79,500: Can BTC Break Above $80,000?\", \"description\": \"\", \"inLanguage\": \"en\", \"isPartOf\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#website\"}, \"breadcrumb\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#breadcrumb\"}, \"primaryImageOfPage\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#primaryimage\"}}, {\"@type\": \"BreadcrumbList\", \"itemListElement\": [{\"@type\": \"ListItem\", \"position\": 1, \"name\": \"Home\", \"item\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/\"}, {\"@type\": \"ListItem\", \"position\": 2, \"name\": \"Actualit\u00e9 Crypto\", \"item\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/category\/actu-crypto\/\"}, {\"@type\": \"ListItem\", \"position\": 3, \"name\": \"Bitcoin at $79,500: Can BTC Break Above $80,000?\"}], \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#breadcrumb\"}, {\"@type\": \"Person\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/auteurs\/lea#person\", \"name\": \"L\u00e9a\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/auteurs\/lea\", \"worksFor\": {\"@type\": \"Organization\", \"name\": \"InvestX\", \"url\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\"}}, {\"@type\": \"NewsArticle\", \"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#article\", \"isPartOf\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#webpage\"}, \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/08\/28\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000\/#webpage\"}, \"headline\": \"Bitcoin at $79,500: Can BTC Break Above $80,000?\", \"description\": \"\", \"articleBody\": \"Bitcoin at $79,500: Can BTC Break Above $80,000?\\n\\nBitcoin is going nowhere fast. For several sessions now, the BTC price has been grinding sideways in a narrow range between $78,000 and $81,000, unable to commit in either direction. A high of $81,000 was briefly touched on August 25, followed by an immediate pullback \u2014 and the question keeps coming back: does this rally still have fuel left in the tank?\\n\\nWhat makes the situation particularly interesting is that the pressure is not coming from th\", \"wordCount\": 547, \"inLanguage\": \"en\", \"datePublished\": \"2026-08-28T10:37:38.430564Z\", \"dateModified\": \"2026-08-28T10:37:38.430564Z\", \"articleSection\": \"Actualit\u00e9 Crypto\", \"publisher\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr#organization\"}, \"author\": {\"@id\": \"https:\/\/investx.fr\/auteurs\/lea#person\"}, \"about\": [{\"@type\": \"Thing\", \"name\": \"Bitcoin\", \"sameAs\": \"https:\/\/www.wikidata.org\/wiki\/Q131723\"}, {\"@type\": \"Thing\", \"name\": \"Defi\", \"sameAs\": \"https:\/\/www.wikidata.org\/wiki\/Q86697873\"}], \"isAccessibleForFree\": true}]}<\/script>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is stuck in a tight range. Arthur Hayes warns about MicroStrategy&#8217;s model. Can BTC break above $80,000? Key levels and scenarios explained.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":29883,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-break-80000"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Break $80,000?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is stuck in a tight range. Arthur Hayes warns about MicroStrategy&#039;s model. Can BTC break above $80,000? 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