{"id":3244,"date":"2025-04-11T11:25:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T10:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=3244"},"modified":"2025-04-11T11:29:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-11T10:29:54","slug":"toncoin-ton-ready-major-breakout-after-recent-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/toncoin-ton-ready-major-breakout-after-recent-rebound\/","title":{"rendered":"Is TON Coin (TON) ready for a major breakout after recent rebound ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"can-toncoin-ton-explode-after-its-slight-rebound\"><strong>Can Toncoin (TON) Explode After Its Slight Rebound ?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">crypto market<\/a> is rarely short of surprises, and <strong>Toncoin (TON),<\/strong> the native token of The Open Network, is no exception. After a period of significant bearish pressure that saw the token lose over <strong>30%<\/strong> of its value in a few days, TON is showing signs of life with a modest <strong>rebound<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But is this recovery a sign of an imminent <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto-bullrun\/\">bullish<\/a> turnaround, or just a pause in a persistent downtrend? Let&#8217;s analyze the current dynamics, holder behaviors, and technical indicators to gain clarity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hope-crushed-by-whales\"><strong>Hope Crushed by Whales<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Just a week ago, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/toncoin-ton-set-soar-breakout-imminent\/\">Toncoin<\/a> seemed poised for a comeback. By the end of March, the token had broken the local resistance of <strong>$3.95<\/strong>, forming higher lows, a classic sign of a bullish trend. Holders hoped for a continuation towards the <strong>$4.8<\/strong> mark, but these hopes were dashed by a wave of <strong>massive selling.<\/strong> On-chain data reveals increased activity from whales, these large holders capable of swaying the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24TON&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$TON<\/a> is trading within this 1h symmetrical triangle. <br><br>\ud83d\udcc8Bullish &#8211; $3,43<br>\ud83d\udcc9Bearish &#8211;  $2,55 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RDABXA0xSb\">pic.twitter.com\/RDABXA0xSb<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Szymanski (@Szymansk_ii) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Szymansk_ii\/status\/1909984846740336824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 9, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In just eight days, <strong>TON <\/strong>plummeted by <strong>26.6%<\/strong>, dropping below key <strong>support <\/strong>levels like <strong>$3.5<\/strong>. It is now forming a triangle pattern. This rapid correction caught investors off guard, especially as daily transaction volumes surged, signaling a distribution movement. Whales seem to have taken advantage of the brief rise to <strong>liquidate their positions<\/strong>, leaving small holders facing significant losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"holders-under-pressure-between-capitulation-and-accumulation\"><strong>Holders Under Pressure : Between Capitulation and Accumulation<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On-chain indicators paint a mixed picture. The <strong><em>Spent Output Profit Ratio<\/em><\/strong> (SOPR), which measures whether tokens are sold at a profit or loss, indicates that the majority of recent transactions are done at a <strong>loss<\/strong>. This signal suggests that some holders, trapped by the fall, are succumbing to <strong>panic<\/strong> and selling to limit their losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-2-1024x576-1.jpg\" alt=\"TON's SOPR chart\" class=\"wp-image-3270\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-2-1024x576-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-2-1024x576-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-2-1024x576-1-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>However, it&#8217;s not all gloomy. In February and March, data showed an accumulation phase, with long-term holders strengthening their positions as the price declined. This behavior has shifted recently: the <strong><em>Net Position Change<\/em><\/strong> of holders is decreasing, indicating that <strong>selling pressure dominates<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-1-1024x576-2.jpg\" alt=\"TON's holder position changes chart\" class=\"wp-image-3272\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-1-1024x576-2.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-1-1024x576-2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/image-1-1-1024x576-2-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This distribution phase, combined with whale pressure, keeps TON in a fragile position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet, one detail is intriguing: despite the decline, the number of active addresses on the network remains relatively stable. This could indicate that the <strong>TON ecosystem<\/strong> retains a solid base of <strong>loyal users<\/strong>, potentially ready to absorb selling pressure if conditions improve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-fragile-technical-structure\"><strong>A Fragile Technical Structure<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Technically, TON&#8217;s situation remains precarious. After breaking its bullish structure at the end of March, the token plunged by <strong>32%<\/strong> in five days, invalidating the <strong>$3.5<\/strong> support. The <em>Chaikin Money Flow<\/em> (CMF), an indicator of capital flows, shows a negative value of <strong>(-0.14)<\/strong>, confirming strong selling pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"676\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/TONUSDT_2025-04-11_09-41-29-1024x676-1.jpg\" alt=\"TON's 1D price chart\" class=\"wp-image-3274\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/TONUSDT_2025-04-11_09-41-29-1024x676-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/TONUSDT_2025-04-11_09-41-29-1024x676-1-300x198.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/TONUSDT_2025-04-11_09-41-29-1024x676-1-768x507.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<p>Currently at $2.9, TON is heading towards a retest of its previous low at $2.4. If the latter breaks, then TON will likely move down towards at least $1.84.<\/p>\n\n\n<p>Another aspect to watch is the volatility. After weeks of compression, the <strong>Bollinger Bands<\/strong> on the 12-hour chart indicate a possible <strong>imminent expansion.<\/strong> The direction of this expansion, whether <strong>bullish or bearish<\/strong>, will largely depend on the overall crypto market sentiment and <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"towards-an-explosion-or-prolonged-consolidation\"><strong>Towards an Explosion or Prolonged Consolidation ?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Toncoin does not exist in isolation. The recent weakness in the crypto market, with Bitcoin flirting with critical support levels, weighs on <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/top-3-altcoins-buy-market-rebound\/\">altcoins<\/a> like TON. A recovery in the crypto king could provide a <strong>tailwind<\/strong>, enabling TON to regain ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Top entities by users on TON in the last 7 days:<br><br>\ud83d\udc8e <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4eQR4WXUXl\">https:\/\/t.co\/4eQR4WXUXl<\/a> \u2013 83,934<br>\ud83d\udc8e Wallet in Telegram \u2013 34,279<br>\ud83d\udc8e Binance \u2013 25,713<br>\ud83d\udc8e Fragment \u2013 25,168<br>\ud83d\udc8e Bybit \u2013 18,484 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sS5kWc97pp\">pic.twitter.com\/sS5kWc97pp<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Nansen \ud83e\udded (@nansen_ai) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nansen_ai\/status\/1910218730434637879?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 10, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the fundamental side, The Open Network continues to attract interest. Backed by an active community and heavyweight investments, particularly from <strong>Silicon Valley VCs<\/strong>, TON enjoys increasing adoption. Integration with <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/rich-app-new-hamster-kombat-doge-telegram\/\">Telegram<\/a><\/strong>, with its hundreds of millions of users, remains a major advantage. If the network can capitalize on this momentum, it could attract new capital, even in a bearish context.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, can Toncoin explode after this slight rebound? In the short term, signals remain <strong>mixed<\/strong>. Whale selling pressure and <strong>holder capitulation<\/strong> are hindering the bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For investors, caution is advised. A return above <strong>$3.5<\/strong> would be an initial <strong>encouraging sign<\/strong>, but a true explosion would require a breakthrough past <strong>$4<\/strong>, backed by significant buying volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the long run, TON&#8217;s strong fundamentals and growing adoption could set the stage for a sustainable rally, provided that whales stop exerting downward pressure on the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.weex.com\/newbieActivities?id=520&amp;type=BEGINNER_TASK&amp;vipCode=ku3x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Buy TON on Weex and receive $10 after your KYC !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereums-decline-continues-best-time-invest-eth\/\">Ethereum\u2019s decline continues : Is now the best time to invest in ETH ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/shiba-inu-teases-announcement-whats-for-crypto-investors\/\">Shiba Inu teases major Announcement : What\u2019s in store for crypto investors ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/trade-war-recession-volatility-global-financial-crisis-approaching\/\">Trade War, Recession, and Volatility : Is a Global Financial Crisis Looming ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toncoin (TON) is attempting to recover after a sharp decline. Is this slight rebound the precursor to a bullish breakout, or just a temporary respite before another downward trend? Let&#8217;s delve into the data to shed light on the future of this promising crypto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":3240,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[11,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is Toncoin (TON) ready to surge after recent rebound ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Toncoin (TON) facing pressure: Failed recovery and bearish sentiment. What are holders doing? 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. 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