{"id":32543,"date":"2026-09-17T14:25:52","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T13:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/2026\/09\/17\/solana-price-analysis-bulls-100-resistance\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T14:25:59","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T13:25:59","slug":"solana-price-analysis-bulls-100-resistance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-price-analysis-bulls-100-resistance\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Solana Break Above $100? Bulls Face a Make-or-Break Test"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Solana (SOL)<\/strong> finds itself at a critical technical crossroads. The $100<\/strong> level is acting as a major psychological resistance<\/strong>, and buyers are struggling to push through despite multiple attempts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Between conflicting on-chain signals and a fragile market structure, the next candle could change everything. Here is what the data actually reveals about the bulls’ chances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The verdict from the indicators is far from unanimous \u2014 and that is precisely what makes this analysis so compelling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SOL Under Pressure: $100 Resistance Refuses to Break<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

For several weeks now, Solana has been compressing within a tight range<\/strong> between $85 and $100, unable to post a sustained daily close above the symbolic three-figure threshold. This zone represents a historical resistance level<\/strong> that has been tested multiple times without a confirmed breakout, which only reinforces its significance in the eyes of traders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the daily chart, the price structure is printing a series of lower highs<\/em> since the local peak \u2014 a clear sign that selling pressure persists at every bounce. Trading volume has yet to confirm sufficient accumulation to absorb the sell orders stacked around the $98\u2013$100<\/strong> zone. Without a strong catalyst<\/strong> \u2014 whether macro-driven or specific to the Solana ecosystem \u2014 a rejection scenario remains entirely plausible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the liquidations front, data from CoinGlass<\/strong> shows a concentration of short positions between $100 and $105. A move above that level would mechanically trigger a short squeeze<\/em>, potentially launching SOL toward the $110\u2013$115<\/strong> zone. That is the scenario the bulls are looking to activate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On-Chain Indicators Are Sending Contradictory Signals<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The on-chain picture for Solana<\/strong> is a nuanced one. On the positive side, the number of daily active addresses remains elevated, supported by native DeFi<\/strong> activity \u2014 particularly through Raydium and Jupiter<\/a><\/strong> \u2014 and by transaction volumes that continue to outpace several competing blockchains. The ecosystem is alive and well, and that remains a fundamental argument in favor of the bulls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the other hand, data from CryptoQuant<\/strong> points to a rise in exchange inflows<\/strong> over recent days, signaling potential short-term selling pressure. When holders move their SOL onto centralized platforms, it is generally a sign of intent to sell \u2014 a bearish signal<\/strong> worth watching closely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The RSI<\/strong> on the daily timeframe is hovering around the neutral zone (45\u201350), with no clear bullish divergence in sight. The MACD<\/strong>, meanwhile, remains in negative territory but is showing a gradual convergence of its lines \u2014 a potential reversal signal if momentum picks up. The technical setup is neither clearly bullish nor clearly bearish<\/strong>: everything will come down to how price behaves around the $100 mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What Scenarios Are on the Table for SOL in the Coming Days?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Two scenarios are clearly competing on the market right now. In the bullish scenario<\/strong>, SOL manages to close above $100 on the daily with significant volume. This breakout<\/strong> would confirm a trend resumption and open the door toward the $115\u2013$120<\/strong> zone, the next resistance area identified on historical TradingView data. The potential short squeeze would amplify this move further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the bearish scenario<\/strong>, the rejection at $100 is confirmed and SOL retraces back toward the $82\u2013$85<\/strong> support zone, an area that has already served as a floor during previous corrections. A break below that level would expose the token to a deeper drop toward $70 \u2014 a level that carries real weight in the context of a broader market that remains uncertain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The macro environment also plays a key role: any decision from the Fed<\/strong> or a shift in Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a> sentiment can rapidly reshape the landscape for all altcoins, Solana included. SOL remains over 80% correlated to BTC<\/a><\/strong> over the past thirty days \u2014 a factor no serious trader can afford to ignore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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