{"id":5637,"date":"2025-05-06T11:10:04","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T10:10:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=5637"},"modified":"2025-05-06T11:10:05","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T10:10:05","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Forecast : $100K Breakout or $86K Crash Ahead ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-at-a-crossroads-market-update\">Bitcoin at a Crossroads : Market Update<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For several weeks, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> had been steadily climbing, driven by a generally bullish sentiment in the markets. However, since this weekend, this momentum seems to be <strong>waning<\/strong> as the price tests a well-defined resistance \u2014 a technical limit structured by both a historical trend channel and significant volumes traded at this level.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"684\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price in 1D\" class=\"wp-image-5661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1-768x513.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>For investors and traders, understanding these <strong>technical resistances<\/strong> is essential to anticipate trend reversals, especially in such a volatile market as <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/\">cryptocurrencies<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"three-technical-signals-questioning-further-upside\">Three Technical Signals Questioning Further Upside<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Technical analysis of <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-surge\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> reveals three major factors shaping a short-term reversal dynamic:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Top Channel Resistance: A Structural Ceiling<\/strong><br>Since late 2024, BTC has been moving within an ascending channel. The recent price rejection right at the upper level of this channel is a classic signal of a ceiling. Such configurations often act as natural reversal points in chart analyses.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 2024 Point of Control (PoC): <br><\/strong>The &#8220;Point of Control&#8221; (red line on the chart) \u2014 the price level with the most <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/\">traded<\/a> volumes over a given period \u2014 is currently acting as a barrier. This level, derived from a range seen in November 2024, attracts selling orders and becomes a battleground between bulls and bears.<br>In the French context, it equates to a classic psychological resistance on regulated markets, similar to moving averages on CAC 40 stocks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Activation of a Bearish Harmonic Pattern &#8220;Shark&#8221;:<br><\/strong>A Shark harmonic pattern has just been activated in the current resistance zone. These patterns, widely used by seasoned technical analysts, rely on Fibonacci relationships to anticipate trend reversals. A bearish confirmation would occur upon breaking the support at <strong>$91,648<\/strong>, a level that is still holding (for now).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bearish-target-for-bitcoin-are-86000-in-sight\">Bearish Target for Bitcoin : Are $86,000 in Sight ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If the <strong>$91,600<\/strong> support breaks with sufficient volume, the scenario of a correction down to <strong>$86,000<\/strong> becomes plausible. This would correspond to a natural retracement after a swift rise, leaving little technical support below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In essence, the market could trigger a wave of <strong>stop-loss liquidations<\/strong>, initiating a deeper corrective move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin ira tr\u00e8s bient\u00f4t aux 91,000$&#8230;\u23f3 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CE8dlwxSLo\">pic.twitter.com\/CE8dlwxSLo<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Philippe | Crypto Zoral \ud83d\udca5 (@Zoralytb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Zoralytb\/status\/1919410281362382855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Zoral, a drop below <strong>$86,000<\/strong> would instead indicate a <strong>new low<\/strong> in the following weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin&#39;s daily RSI failed to get above 70 \u2013 a key trigger required for a bullish impulse<br><br>Failure at 70 the last time led to the most vicious leg down of the last bear market<br><br>In fact, the entire 2022 bear market remained below 70<br><br>In 2023, two local &quot;tops&quot; did make it above 70,\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gtbOzCFi8d\">pic.twitter.com\/gtbOzCFi8d<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tony &quot;The Bull&quot; Severino, CMT (@TonyTheBullCMT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TonyTheBullCMT\/status\/1919379318003638500?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Another indicator pointing towards a retracement is the daily RSI struggling to breach the 70 threshold. As Tony The Bull demonstrates on X, when the RSI fails to surpass this level, it often leads to a strong correction or a bear market:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cBitcoin&#8217;s daily RSI has not exceeded 70, a key element for a bullish impulse. This latest failure at 70 resulted in the sharpest decline of the last bear market. In fact, the entire 2022 bear market stayed below 70.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, BTC shows a bullish RSI divergence and is expected to bounce in its demand zone between <strong>$71,000 and $73,000.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-to-watch-for-in-bitcoin-price-evolution-this-week\">What to Watch for in Bitcoin Price Evolution this Week ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are the key levels to monitor for BTC this week:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$95,200<\/strong>: Technical resistance level to break to reignite the bullish momentum<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$91,600<\/strong>: Immediate support to watch on 4H and daily closes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$86,000<\/strong>: Potential target if the support breaks and a vital zone to maintain the upward trend<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>As long as Bitcoin remains below the upper channel zone, the probability of a correction remains high. Bulls will need to regain control quickly to avoid a scenario of prolonged consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, as long as BTC stays in the <strong>green zone<\/strong> on the graph above, hopes for a <strong>new high<\/strong> are still alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-technical-analysis-key-takeaways\">Bitcoin Technical Analysis : Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin is facing a high-value technical resistance<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Three indicators confirm a possible local peak<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A break of <strong>$91,600<\/strong> could trigger a rapid drop towards <strong>$86,000<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>For analysts and institutional <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">investors<\/a>, this setup calls for special attention. Risk management becomes crucial: adjusting stops, taking partial profits, or implementing hedging positions through BTC options can be strategically relevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Buy your BTC on Bitget and get $10 !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum-price-skyrocket-coming-days-eth\/\">Why Ethereum (ETH) Price Could Skyrocket in the Coming Days<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-reversal-technical-pullback-key-signals\/\">Crypto Reversal or Technical Pullback ? Key Signals to Watch Now<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/pi-network-break-1-this-week-pi\/\">Pi Network Poised to Break $1 This Week : Major Milestone Ahead<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the cryptocurrency market regains momentum, recent developments in Bitcoin (BTC) indicate a potential local peak. Three key technical signals reveal that the leading crypto is hitting a significant resistance level, paving the way for a short-term correction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":5630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Forecast : Will BTC Hit $100K or Drop to $86K ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces a key decision point : will it soar to $100K or crash to $86K ? Discover the latest forecast. 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Uncover more now !","og_site_name":"InvestX \u2013 Crypto News, Trading Guide, Price Analysis &amp; Forecasts","article_published_time":"2025-05-06T10:10:04+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-05-06T10:10:05+00:00","og_image":[{"width":840,"height":560,"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/cover-bitcoinfile.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Charles Ledoux","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@charl3li","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Charles Ledoux","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/"},"author":{"name":"Charles Ledoux","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/a99817b9d097ee5a69e24946de94c23a"},"headline":"Bitcoin Price Forecast : $100K Breakout or $86K Crash Ahead ?","datePublished":"2025-05-06T10:10:04+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-06T10:10:05+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/"},"wordCount":664,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/cover-bitcoinfile.jpeg","articleSection":["Bitcoin","News"],"inLanguage":"en-US","copyrightYear":"2025","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/","url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/","name":"Bitcoin Forecast : Will BTC Hit $100K or Drop to $86K ?","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/cover-bitcoinfile.jpeg","datePublished":"2025-05-06T10:10:04+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-06T10:10:05+00:00","description":"Bitcoin faces a key decision point : will it soar to $100K or crash to $86K ? Discover the latest forecast. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5637","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5637"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5637\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5666,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5637\/revisions\/5666"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5637"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}