{"id":9112,"date":"2025-06-12T09:29:33","date_gmt":"2025-06-12T08:29:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=9112"},"modified":"2025-06-12T09:29:35","modified_gmt":"2025-06-12T08:29:35","slug":"bitcoin-volatility-explosion-price-direction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-volatility-explosion-price-direction\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Volatility on the Verge of Exploding : Which Direction Will It Go ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-gearing-up-for-high-volatility\">Bitcoin Gearing Up for High Volatility<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While the <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> market may seem calm at the moment, on-chain data reveals a situation in <strong>full swing<\/strong>. The scarcity of supply on exchanges and over-the-counter desks, along with the tightening derivatives market, foreshadow an impending <strong>explosive price movement<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite increasing demand for Bitcoin, especially in the United States, reserves on <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/exchange\/best-cryptocurrency-exchange\/\">exchange platforms<\/a> continue to decrease. Since the beginning of 2025, balances have plummeted by <strong>14%<\/strong>, reaching only <strong>2.5 million BTC<\/strong> &#8211; a level not seen since August 2022. This phenomenon reflects increased investor confidence and a long-term accumulation behavior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image-9-1024x576.png?wsr\" alt=\"BTC chart on exchanges\" class=\"wp-image-120495\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Over-the-counter desks facilitating off-exchange trading also show signs of <strong>supply scarcity<\/strong>. Miner-associated addresses have seen their balances drop by <strong>19%<\/strong> since January, now holding only <strong>134,252 BTC<\/strong>. This widespread decline in available liquidity in the spot market could significantly amplify future price movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"derivatives-market-under-pressure\">Derivatives Market under Pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With open interest on Bitcoin futures contracts near <strong>record levels<\/strong> and funding rates turning <strong>negative<\/strong>, the derivatives market is in a <strong>tense situation<\/strong>. When real demand absorbs selling pressure despite the dominance of short positions, it creates <strong>an explosive mix<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This pattern has already occurred three times in the current cycle, each followed by a significant price surge. A fourth similar episode seems to have occurred recently, between <strong>June 6 and 8<\/strong>, when <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> surged from <strong>$104,000 to $110,000<\/strong> while funding rates were negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">In the current hour, there is a clear closing of long positions supported by aggressive short volume. This is a classic \u201csoft reversal point\u201d after an uptrend: as long as funding remains positive but open interest is declining, you should expect a short-term correction or\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/oKIdwUb5mZ\">pic.twitter.com\/oKIdwUb5mZ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1933046919514739047?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, as analyst Axel points out, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/trading\/crypto\/\">traders<\/a> are currently closing their long positions, indicating fear of a correction and volatility. However, these panic sales often indicate a <strong>bottom<\/strong> and a <strong>trend reversal point<\/strong>, as Axel suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin could, therefore, replicate the June 6th feat and strive for <strong>a new ATH<\/strong> in the coming days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the Bitcoin market may appear calm, the combination of a significantly reduced spot supply and a pressured derivatives market creates the <strong>perfect conditions<\/strong> for upcoming <strong>explosive volatility<\/strong>. Any imbalance or forced liquidation could trigger a sharp <strong>bullish price movement<\/strong>, as investors face an increasing scarcity of the asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Buy BTC on Bitget and earn $10 !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/dogecoin-surges-past-0-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Dogecoin Crosses the $0.20 Mark: How Far Can It Go ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-surge-if-bitcoin-breaks-110000\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Will XRP Explode if Bitcoin Surpasses $110,000 ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-sol-price-200-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-sol-price-200-prediction\/\">Solana (SOL) Eyes $200 : How Soon Could It Happen ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is gearing up for high volatility, with on-chain data showing a brewing storm despite the current calm. Exchange supply scarcity signals turbulence ahead. Stay tuned for the latest updates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":9111,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin Volatility Alert : Will BTC Soar or Crash Next ?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin (BTC) : Brace for Imminent Volatility Post 107,300 Dip ! Spot Offers Decline, Derivatives Tighten. Explore our Analysis Now.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Volatility Alert : Will BTC Soar or Crash Next ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) : Brace for Imminent Volatility Post 107,300 Dip ! Spot Offers Decline, Derivatives Tighten. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/author\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9112"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9112\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9126,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9112\/revisions\/9126"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9111"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}