{"id":101682,"date":"2025-06-06T12:50:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-06T11:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=101682"},"modified":"2025-06-06T11:48:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-06T10:48:12","slug":"bitcoin-novo-ath-decisao-fed-taxas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-novo-ath-decisao-fed-taxas\/","title":{"rendered":"Decis\u00e3o da FED pode levar o Bitcoin a um novo ATH ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-impacto-potencial-da-decisao-da-fed-no-bitcoin\">O Impacto potencial da decis\u00e3o da Fed no Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>De acordo com <strong>Carlo Pruscino,<\/strong> analista da CMC Markets, &#8220;o objetivo de alta que os traders t\u00eam em mente \u00e9 de <strong>112.000 d\u00f3lares para o <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong>, este \u00e9 o limiar psicol\u00f3gico&#8221;. Uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o inesperada das taxas de juro pela Fed poderia, portanto, permitir que o Bitcoin atingisse este n\u00edvel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">La d\u00e9cision de la Fed sur les taux pourrait fortement influencer si le Bitcoin atteint 112K $ \ud83d\udca5 Selon l&#39;analyste Carlo Pruscino de CMC Markets, une r\u00e9duction surprise des taux donnerait un coup de pouce au BTC ! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Crypto?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Crypto<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> \ud83d\ude80<\/p>&mdash; Paul Gedeon \ud83d\udef8 (@0xedeon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/0xedeon\/status\/1930876823828611247?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 6, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Atualmente, o <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> est\u00e1 a ser negociado em torno de <strong>103.766 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, depois de ter ro\u00e7ado os <strong>112.000 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> a 22 de maio. No entanto, a maioria dos intervenientes no mercado espera que a Fed mantenha as suas taxas durante a reuni\u00e3o de <strong>18 de junho.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enquanto a Fed poder\u00e1 influenciar o BTC atrav\u00e9s de uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o antecipada das taxas, a <strong>expans\u00e3o<\/strong> da massa monet\u00e1ria (<strong>M2<\/strong>) j\u00e1 est\u00e1 a impulsionar os ativos de risco, com o \u00edndice <strong>MSCI ACWI<\/strong> a subir <strong>22%<\/strong> apesar de um crescimento fr\u00e1gil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por outro lado, o <strong>BCE<\/strong> reduziu as suas taxas oito vezes, o BOJ est\u00e1 a aumentar o seu balan\u00e7o, e a China est\u00e1 a endividar-se novamente para estabilizar a sua economia. Nos Estados Unidos, apesar de um discurso hawkish, a Fed est\u00e1 a injetar liquidez atrav\u00e9s de reverse repos, reinvestimentos SOMA e interven\u00e7\u00f5es nos Treasuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Um <strong>&#8220;reverse repo&#8221;<\/strong> \u00e9 uma opera\u00e7\u00e3o em que a Reserva Federal (ou um banco central) <strong>vende t\u00edtulos<\/strong> a institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras com o acordo de os <strong>recomprar mais tarde<\/strong>. Isto permite retirar temporariamente liquidez do sistema para <strong>controlar as taxas de juro.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ent\u00e3o, existe alguma possibilidade de vermos a FED a flexibilizar as suas taxas em breve?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"fatores-chave-a-observar\">Fatores-chave a observar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Tens\u00f5es comerciais<\/strong> : A decis\u00e3o da Fed ser\u00e1 influenciada pela incerteza relacionada com as pol\u00edticas comerciais da administra\u00e7\u00e3o Trump. Pruscino sublinha que, apesar da disponibilidade de dados econ\u00f3micos, as tens\u00f5es tarif\u00e1rias continuam a ser um fator crucial.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego :<\/strong> O relat\u00f3rio sobre o emprego americano de 6 de junho ser\u00e1 um indicador-chave para a decis\u00e3o da Fed e a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o a curto prazo do pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin. Um n\u00famero elevado de novos empregos poderia, de facto, atrasar qualquer redu\u00e7\u00e3o das taxas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83c\udf0e Global Liquidity Has Quietly Re-Engaged |and Markets Are Responding<br><br>A new chart from Fidelity tracking the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) against global money supply tells the real story behind the current market rally. It\u2019s not fundamentals. It\u2019s not productivity. It\u2019s\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1lDUJXRkeo\">https:\/\/t.co\/1lDUJXRkeo<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DDwcnwvnFw\">pic.twitter.com\/DDwcnwvnFw<\/a><\/p>&mdash; EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/onechancefreedm\/status\/1930665729390444959?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Num tweet de 1 de junho de 2025, o especialista macro @onechancefreedm revela que a liquidez global, em alta de <strong>+8% num ano<\/strong>, est\u00e1 a relan\u00e7ar os mercados, incluindo o <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mas @onechancefreedm sublinha que esta recupera\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 org\u00e2nica. N\u00e3o \u00e9 um sucesso da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, mas uma <strong>&#8220;ilus\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria&#8221;<\/strong>, onde o capital procura rendimento e velocidade. Os mercados sobem, apesar de valoriza\u00e7\u00f5es tensas, gra\u00e7as a estes fluxos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Em resumo, o mercado do Bitcoin permanece <strong>dependente das decis\u00f5es da Fed<\/strong> e dos eventos econ\u00f3micos globais que poderiam influenciar o pre\u00e7o da criptomoeda. Uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o inesperada das taxas poderia impulsionar o BTC para novos m\u00e1ximos, mas <strong>surpresas<\/strong> do lado do <strong>emprego<\/strong> ou das <strong>tens\u00f5es comerciais<\/strong> tamb\u00e9m poderiam atrasar esta possibilidade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Desde 1 de junho de 2025, a massa monet\u00e1ria global est\u00e1 a crescer a +8% ao ano, contra uma contra\u00e7\u00e3o acentuada em 2022 (-4%). Historicamente, tal acelera\u00e7\u00e3o de M2 impulsiona os ativos de risco. Vimos isso em <strong>2016-2017<\/strong> (+14%, rally das equities) e <strong>2020-2021<\/strong> (+22%, bull run generalizado).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Em resumo hoje:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Equities globais<\/strong>: O ACWI salta de 723 para 884, ou seja, +22%, apesar de um crescimento econ\u00f3mico fr\u00e1gil.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inje\u00e7\u00f5es de liquidez<\/strong>: O BCE reduziu as suas taxas oito vezes, o BOJ est\u00e1 a aumentar o seu balan\u00e7o, e a China est\u00e1 a endividar-se novamente para estabilizar a sua economia. Nos Estados Unidos, apesar de um discurso hawkish, a Fed injeta liquidez atrav\u00e9s de reverse repos, reinvestimentos SOMA e interven\u00e7\u00f5es nos Treasuries.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Impacto<\/strong>: Esta liquidez favorece as equities, as criptos (Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins) e a d\u00edvida emergente de alto rendimento, impulsionada por um d\u00f3lar dominante face ao diferencial Fed\/BCE.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Duas quest\u00f5es cruciais emergem, portanto:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A Fed seguir\u00e1 o <strong>afrouxamento<\/strong> global ou manter\u00e1 a sua firmeza, arriscando uma press\u00e3o sobre o d\u00f3lar?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Esta <strong>expans\u00e3o de M2<\/strong> \u00e9 duradoura ou tempor\u00e1ria, ligada a rea\u00e7\u00f5es pol\u00edticas e monet\u00e1rias?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Os <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/\">investidores em cripto<\/a> dever\u00e3o, portanto, permanecer atentos aos sinais enviados pelo banco central americano nas pr\u00f3ximas semanas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Compre BTC agora na Bitget<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sobre o mesmo assunto :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/trump-musk-bitcoin-queda-abaixo-102000\/\">Conflito entre Trump e Musk faz Bitcoin cair abaixo dos $102.000<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/mercado-cripto-em-queda-hoje-motivos\/\">Mercado cripto em queda hoje : Descobre os motivos por tr\u00e1s da corre\u00e7\u00e3o<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/ethereum-nova-politica-impulsionar-preco-eth\/\">Nova pol\u00edtica do Ethereum pode levar a ETH a novos m\u00e1ximos ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Reserva Federal dos Estados Unidos pode afetar significativamente o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin com uma poss\u00edvel redu\u00e7\u00e3o antecipada das taxas. Saiba mais sobre o impacto dessa decis\u00e3o crucial atrav\u00e9s da an\u00e1lise de um especialista.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":101678,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-101682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin perto de novo ATH ap\u00f3s decis\u00e3o da FED ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O Bitcoin poder\u00e1 atingir um novo ATH ap\u00f3s a decis\u00e3o da FED sobre as taxas ? 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/charles-ledoux-508392239\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/charl3li\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/investx.fr\\\/pt\\\/editor\\\/charles-ledoux\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin perto de novo ATH ap\u00f3s decis\u00e3o da FED ?","description":"O Bitcoin poder\u00e1 atingir um novo ATH ap\u00f3s a decis\u00e3o da FED sobre as taxas ? 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. 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