{"id":102095,"date":"2025-06-10T15:08:37","date_gmt":"2025-06-10T14:08:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=102095"},"modified":"2025-06-10T15:08:38","modified_gmt":"2025-06-10T14:08:38","slug":"japao-ponto-fraco-ordem-economica-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/japao-ponto-fraco-ordem-economica-global\/","title":{"rendered":"Jap\u00e3o : O ponto fraco da ordem econ\u00f3mica global atual"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-japao-falha-discreta-da-economia-mundial\"><strong>O Jap\u00e3o : Falha discreta da economia mundial<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Uma <strong>crise financeira<\/strong> come\u00e7a sempre num local espec\u00edfico. Em 2008, foi o banco <strong>Lehman Brothers<\/strong> que arrastou todo o setor banc\u00e1rio americano, desencadeando uma recess\u00e3o mundial. Hoje, todos os sinais indicam que o Jap\u00e3o poder\u00e1 ser o <strong>pr\u00f3ximo elo fraco<\/strong> do sistema financeiro internacional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udca5 Que vous soyez investisseur en action ou en crypto, impossible de ne pas suivre activement le march\u00e9 de la dette.<br><br>R\u00e9cemment, le Japon a connu quelques secousses sur sa dette souveraine pourtant r\u00e9put\u00e9e extr\u00eamement stable.<br><br>Un avant-go\u00fbt de la situation fran\u00e7aise ?<br><br>\ud83d\udc47 \ud83e\uddf5 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T1E1kpbu2C\">pic.twitter.com\/T1E1kpbu2C<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Infos \u00c9conomiques (@INFOECO_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/INFOECO_\/status\/1930931663942685003?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 6, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>O cen\u00e1rio \u00e9 particularmente sombrio para a <strong>economia nip\u00f3nica<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Um r\u00e1cio d\u00edvida\/PIB pr\u00f3ximo dos <strong>250%<\/strong>, entre os mais elevados do mundo<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uma demografia em queda livre, com 30% da popula\u00e7\u00e3o com mais de 65 anos<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Um crescimento econ\u00f3mico an\u00e9mico h\u00e1 d\u00e9cadas<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o galopante que faz disparar o pre\u00e7o de produtos b\u00e1sicos como o arroz<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Mas o verdadeiro perigo situa-se no <strong>mercado obrigacionista japon\u00eas<\/strong>, que est\u00e1 atualmente sob uma press\u00e3o sem precedentes. Em maio de 2025, os rendimentos das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es governamentais a 30 anos <strong>ultrapassaram os 3%<\/strong>. Os das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es a 40 anos atingiram 3,6%, um recorde hist\u00f3rico. Esta <strong>tens\u00e3o no mercado obrigacionista<\/strong> poder\u00e1 ser a primeira pe\u00e7a de domin\u00f3 de uma longa s\u00e9rie. \u00c9 uma verdadeira bomba-rel\u00f3gio econ\u00f3mica que amea\u00e7a <strong>sangrar as carteiras <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/\">cripto<\/a><\/strong>, obrigar os bancos centrais a aumentar as suas taxas e mergulhar o mundo numa recess\u00e3o compar\u00e1vel \u00e0 de 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"yen-carry-trade-uma-arma-de-dois-gumes\"><strong>Yen carry trade : Uma arma de dois gumes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Para compreender a <strong>dimens\u00e3o do risco<\/strong>, \u00e9 preciso rever o mecanismo do &#8220;<strong>yen carry trade<\/strong>&#8221; que moldou a economia mundial nas \u00faltimas duas d\u00e9cadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durante 17 anos, as <strong>taxas de juro do Banco Central do Jap\u00e3o<\/strong> (BOJ) permaneceram pr\u00f3ximas de zero, ou mesmo negativas. Esta pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria ultraflex\u00edvel criou uma <strong>oportunidade de arbitragem massiva<\/strong> para investidores de todo o mundo:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pedir empr\u00e9stimos em ienes a taxas quase nulas<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Converter esses ienes em d\u00f3lares ou euros<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Investir essas divisas em ativos de alto rendimento (a\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas, obriga\u00e7\u00f5es de outros pa\u00edses, etc.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Embolsar a diferen\u00e7a entre o custo do empr\u00e9stimo (pr\u00f3ximo de zero) e o rendimento dos investimentos (5% ou mais)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Este mecanismo, aparentemente sem risco, foi explorado massivamente pelos hedge funds, bancos e fundos de investimento de todo o mundo. Milhares de milh\u00f5es de ienes foram assim emprestados para serem investidos no estrangeiro. Isto criou uma <strong>bolha artificial mundial<\/strong> com um efeito de alavancagem consider\u00e1vel. Mas em 2024, o BOJ assinalou o fim da recrea\u00e7\u00e3o ao <strong>aumentar as suas taxas diretoras para 0,25%<\/strong>. \u00c9 um n\u00edvel que pode parecer irris\u00f3rio, mas que representa a taxa mais alta desde 2007.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-refugio-definitivo-face-a-tempestade\"><strong>Bitcoin: Ref\u00fagio definitivo face \u00e0 tempestade<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c9 neste contexto que a <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> e as <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/\">criptomoedas<\/a> emergem como uma <strong>alternativa cred\u00edvel ao sistema financeiro tradicional<\/strong>. Cada vez mais atores econ\u00f3micos, incluindo no Jap\u00e3o, est\u00e3o a voltar-se para estes ativos digitais como <strong>ref\u00fagio contra a instabilidade do sistema<\/strong> baseado na d\u00edvida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e1rios desenvolvimentos recentes ilustram esta tend\u00eancia:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A <strong>empresa japonesa Metaplanet<\/strong> adota a mesma estrat\u00e9gia que Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), contraindo empr\u00e9stimos para comprar mais Bitcoin<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No final de 2024, o legislador japon\u00eas Satoshi Hamada prop\u00f4s que o pa\u00eds constitu\u00edsse uma reserva nacional de Bitcoin para se proteger contra riscos econ\u00f3micos<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Em mar\u00e7o de 2025, o Government Pension Investment Fund do Jap\u00e3o, o maior fundo de pens\u00f5es do mundo com 1.430 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares de ativos sob gest\u00e3o, evocou a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de uma estrat\u00e9gia Bitcoin<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Estas iniciativas n\u00e3o est\u00e3o isoladas. Inscrevem-se num movimento mais amplo de questionamento do sistema financeiro tradicional. O fim do dinheiro gratuito marca o in\u00edcio de um novo modelo econ\u00f3mico, com uma <strong>nova ordem monet\u00e1ria<\/strong> onde as criptomoedas poder\u00e3o desempenhar um papel central.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Num mundo onde as moedas fiduci\u00e1rias s\u00e3o desvalorizadas por <strong>pol\u00edticas monet\u00e1rias expansionistas<\/strong> e onde as d\u00edvidas soberanas atingem n\u00edveis insustent\u00e1veis, a <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> surge como uma &#8220;<strong>arca de No\u00e9 digital<\/strong>&#8221; &#8211; um ref\u00fagio contra a tempestade financeira que se avizinha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Compre as suas BTC na Bitget de forma simples<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sobre o mesmo assunto :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-fundo-100000-trump-vs-musk\/\">Batalha Trump vs. Musk : Bitcoin atingiu o seu fundo nos 100.000 $ ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/adocao-rapida-bitcoin-empresas-acumulam-btc\/\">Ado\u00e7\u00e3o r\u00e1pida do Bitcoin : Empresas acumulam milhares de BTC<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-btc-superar-108000-crescimento\/\">Bitcoin (BTC) vai superar os 108.000$ ? Previs\u00e3o de crescimento<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O Jap\u00e3o, outrora considerado est\u00e1vel, revela agora vulnerabilidades sistem\u00e1ticas preocupantes. Com taxas ultra baixas e uma bolha obrigacionista silenciosa, o pa\u00eds pode ser o ponto de partida da pr\u00f3xima crise global. Quais ativos se revelar\u00e3o seguros nestes tempos incertos? \u200b<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":102094,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Jap\u00e3o : Ponto fraco da ordem econ\u00f3mica global em 2025<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Entenda porque o Jap\u00e3o \u00e9 considerado o ponto fraco da ordem econ\u00f3mica global e o impacto para 2025. 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