{"id":115038,"date":"2025-12-08T13:04:40","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T13:04:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=115038"},"modified":"2025-12-08T13:04:41","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T13:04:41","slug":"porque-criptomoedas-nao-param-valorizar-mesmo-apos-acoes-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/porque-criptomoedas-nao-param-valorizar-mesmo-apos-acoes-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"Porque as criptomoedas n\u00e3o param de valorizar, mesmo ap\u00f3s as a\u00e7\u00f5es do Fed?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"desconexao-entre-o-balanco-da-fed-e-o-desempenho-dos-mercados\">Desconex\u00e3o entre o balan\u00e7o da Fed e o desempenho dos mercados<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Os dados partilhados por <strong>Charlie Bilello<\/strong> revelam uma anomalia importante: <strong>o S&amp;P 500 dispara 82%<\/strong> enquanto <strong>os ativos da Fed caem um quarto.<\/strong> Este desempenho contradiz a teoria segundo a qual a inje\u00e7\u00e3o de liquidez pelos bancos centrais constitui o motor principal das subidas bolsistas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: The Federal Reserve\u2019s balance sheet fell -$37 billion in November, to $6.53 trillion, to its lowest level since April 2020.<br><br>The Fed has reduced its assets by -$2.43 trillion, or -27%, during its quantitative tightening (QT) program, which ended on December 1st after\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RdmKaBMEVf\">pic.twitter.com\/RdmKaBMEVf<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1997745870088126540?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e1rios fatores explicam este fen\u00f3meno. Os <strong>d\u00e9fices or\u00e7amentais massivos injetam liquidez na economia americana<\/strong>, compensando amplamente o aperto quantitativo. As recompras de a\u00e7\u00f5es pelas empresas atingem <strong>volumes recordes,<\/strong> criando uma <strong>procura artificial<\/strong> que sustenta as valoriza\u00e7\u00f5es. Os fluxos de capitais estrangeiros, nomeadamente para as grandes capitaliza\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas, desempenham igualmente um papel determinante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A Classic Market Turn in a Not So Classic Economy<br><br>This ratio is really just telling you who\u2019s been taking the lead in the market: the real economy sectors including financials, industrials, materials versus the S&amp;P 500 as a whole. When the line turns higher, it means these old\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WV1ol9Fx0e\">https:\/\/t.co\/WV1ol9Fx0e<\/a><\/p>&mdash; EndGame Macro (@onechancefreedm) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/onechancefreedm\/status\/1997826379988046269?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>EndGame Macro<\/strong> sublinha que os mercados <strong>antecipam mais as mudan\u00e7as de pol\u00edtica futura do que as condi\u00e7\u00f5es atuais<\/strong>. Esta liquidez <strong>psicol\u00f3gica<\/strong> explica por que raz\u00e3o as a\u00e7\u00f5es progridem apesar de um balan\u00e7o da Fed em contra\u00e7\u00e3o. O mercado integra uma probabilidade de 86% de uma descida de taxas de 25 pontos base esta semana, refletindo antecipa\u00e7\u00f5es acomodat\u00edcias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para os investidores cripto, esta din\u00e2mica \u00e9 crucial. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a><\/strong> reagem tradicionalmente \u00e0s condi\u00e7\u00f5es de liquidez global. A subida das a\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas, apesar do aperto, sugere que a correla\u00e7\u00e3o hist\u00f3rica entre pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria restritiva e queda dos ativos de risco j\u00e1 <strong>n\u00e3o funciona segundo os padr\u00f5es habituais.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"tensoes-economicas-mascaradas-e-riscos-para-os-ativos-de-risco\">Tens\u00f5es econ\u00f3micas mascaradas e riscos para os ativos de risco<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Os \u00edndices bolsistas mascaram <strong>uma realidade econ\u00f3mica mais fr\u00e1gil<\/strong>. As <strong>fal\u00eancias<\/strong> de empresas atingem n\u00edveis pr\u00f3ximos dos <strong>m\u00e1ximos de quinze anos<\/strong> enquanto os atrasos de pagamento em cart\u00f5es de cr\u00e9dito e empr\u00e9stimos autom\u00f3veis se acumulam. <strong>O imobili\u00e1rio<\/strong> comercial sofre <strong>press\u00f5es importantes<\/strong> com dificuldades crescentes de refinanciamento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta <strong>diverg\u00eancia<\/strong> revela um <strong>mercado a duas velocidades<\/strong>. As megacapitaliza\u00e7\u00f5es tecnol\u00f3gicas captam a maior parte dos ganhos enquanto os setores expostos ao cr\u00e9dito e ao consumo discricion\u00e1rio sofrem. Esta concentra\u00e7\u00e3o dos desempenhos em alguns valores recorda a estrutura do mercado cripto onde <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a> dominam<\/strong> amplamente a capitaliza\u00e7\u00e3o total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O paralelismo com o mercado da<a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/\">s criptomoedas<\/a> \u00e9 impressionante. Tal como as altcoins seguem geralmente Bitcoin, as pequenas capitaliza\u00e7\u00f5es bolsistas seguem os gigantes tecnol\u00f3gicos. Quando estes \u00faltimos exibem valoriza\u00e7\u00f5es esticadas apesar das tens\u00f5es econ\u00f3micas subjacentes, o risco sist\u00e9mico aumenta para o conjunto dos ativos de risco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Fed encontra-se numa posi\u00e7\u00e3o delicada. Baixar as taxas <strong>poderia alimentar ainda mais as bolhas sectoriais<\/strong>, enquanto manter uma pol\u00edtica restritiva arrisca precipitar uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o brutal nos segmentos econ\u00f3micos j\u00e1 fragilizados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mudanca-de-direcao-na-fed-e-impacto-nos-mercados-cripto\">Mudan\u00e7a de dire\u00e7\u00e3o na Fed e impacto nos mercados cripto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kevin Hassett<\/strong> surge como o <strong>favorito para substituir Jerome Powell<\/strong> \u00e0 frente da Fed. Conhecido pelas suas posi\u00e7\u00f5es acomodat\u00edcias, Hassett poder\u00e1 adotar uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria mais suave, reavivando as antecipa\u00e7\u00f5es inflacionistas. O rendimento das obriga\u00e7\u00f5es do Tesouro a 10 anos j\u00e1 aumenta em antecipa\u00e7\u00e3o desta mudan\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Os investidores preveem duas descidas adicionais de <strong>25 pontos base em 2026,<\/strong> provavelmente em mar\u00e7o e junho. Se Hassett assumir fun\u00e7\u00f5es j\u00e1 em fevereiro, a viragem acomodat\u00edcia poder\u00e1 acelerar-se. Esta perspetiva divide os analistas. Alguns veem nela <strong>um catalisador altista<\/strong> para os ativos de risco, <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/\">cripto<\/a> inclu\u00eddo, enquanto outros receiam um regresso da infla\u00e7\u00e3o descontrolada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Quanto a ele, <strong>James Thorne<\/strong> critica abertamente a Fed, qualificando-a de estrutura sobredimensionada e em <strong>atraso constante sobre as evolu\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado.<\/strong> O secret\u00e1rio do Tesouro Scott Bessent partilha estas reservas, comparando os decisores da Fed a controladores a\u00e9reos cujos erros repetidos esvaziavam os avi\u00f5es de passageiros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta <strong>perda de credibilidade da Fed<\/strong> complica as antecipa\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado. Para os traders cripto, a incerteza sobre a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria futura cria simultaneamente oportunidades e riscos acrescidos. A volatilidade dever\u00e1 aumentar em todos os mercados, Bitcoin e Ethereum inclu\u00eddos, \u00e0 medida que as especula\u00e7\u00f5es sobre a dire\u00e7\u00e3o da Fed se intensificam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Acumule os seus ETH, BTC e outras altcoins numa <strong>wallet <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Ledger<\/a> a metade do pre\u00e7o.<\/strong> A oferta Black Friday termina em breve, aproveite aqui:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a class=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"744\" height=\"418\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/image-65.png?wsr\" alt=\"Um smartphone com uma ledger nano x sobre fundo preto para uma oferta black friday\" class=\"wp-image-115078\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/image-65.png 744w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/12\/image-65-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 744px) 100vw, 744px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sobre o mesmo tema:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/analise-preco-xrp-qual-rumo-para-token-ripple-hoje\/\">An\u00e1lise do pre\u00e7o do XRP: Qual o rumo para o token Ripple hoje?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/polemica-sobre-insider-trading-polymarket-estrategia-revelada\/\">Pol\u00e9mica sobre insider trading na Polymarket: Estrat\u00e9gia revelada<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-porque-que-ressalto-como-2021-esta-caminho\/\">Bitcoin: Porque \u00e9 que um ressalto como em 2021 est\u00e1 a caminho<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O S&#038;P 500 registou um aumento impressionante de 82% em tr\u00eas anos, apesar da redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 27% no balan\u00e7o da Fed. Este desacoplamento entre liquidez tradicional e desempenho do mercado levanta quest\u00f5es importantes para os investidores de criptomoedas em Portugal. Os ativos digitais, normalmente correlacionados com os mercados de a\u00e7\u00f5es, s\u00e3o afetados diretamente por esta din\u00e2mica paradoxal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":115036,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-115038","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Por que as a\u00e7\u00f5es subiram apesar da Fed?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"InvestX.pt analisa o impacto da liquidez e expectativas de mercado nas criptomoedas, em alta apesar do aperto da Fed.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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