{"id":117507,"date":"2026-02-10T08:28:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T08:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=117507"},"modified":"2026-02-10T08:28:09","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T08:28:09","slug":"bitcoin-explosao-ouro-1972-crash-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-explosao-ouro-1972-crash-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Explos\u00e3o como o Ouro de 1972 ou queda livre como em 2022?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hecatombe-no-bitcoin-estarao-os-short-term-holders-a-capitular\">Hecatombe no Bitcoin: Estar\u00e3o os Short-Term Holders a capitular?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A volatilidade regressou em for\u00e7a aos mercados, e os danos s\u00e3o consider\u00e1veis para os novos participantes. Segundo os mais recentes dados <strong>on-chain<\/strong> partilhados pelo analista Checkmate, o https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/recente movimento baixista do <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> provocou uma onda de capitula\u00e7\u00e3o raramente vista desde o \u00faltimo <strong>Bear Market<\/strong>. Com efeito, os investidores que acumularam BTC durante os anos de 2025 e 2026 est\u00e3o atualmente a realizar perdas colossais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Last week&#39;s Bitcoin sell-off meets the criteria of a textbook capitulation event. It occurred rapidly, on heavy volume, and crystallised losses from the lowest-conviction holders.<br><br>In our latest newsletter piece, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_Checkmatey_?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@_Checkmatey_<\/a>  examines what this capitulation tells us about\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FDT7vKOG1Y\">pic.twitter.com\/FDT7vKOG1Y<\/a><\/p>&mdash; _Checkonchain (@_checkonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_checkonchain\/status\/2021059678483120457?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 10, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Os n\u00fameros s\u00e3o vertiginosos: cerca de <strong>1,5 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares em perdas<\/strong> s\u00e3o cristalizados diariamente por estas &#8220;m\u00e3os fracas&#8221; que vendem em p\u00e2nico. Este fen\u00f3meno, tecnicamente denominado <strong>Realized Loss<\/strong>, indica que estes participantes est\u00e3o a sair do mercado a um pre\u00e7o muito inferior ao seu custo de aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o, validando assim a sua perda financeira em vez de fazerem &#8220;hold&#8221; das suas posi\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"um-cenario-similar-a-2022-devemos-temer-um-novo-bear-market\">Um cen\u00e1rio similar a 2022: Devemos temer um novo Bear Market?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O aspeto mais preocupante desta corre\u00e7\u00e3o reside na sua semelhan\u00e7a com um dos epis\u00f3dios mais sombrios da hist\u00f3ria cripto. O indicador <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> Net Realised Profit\/Loss mostra uma estrutura que espelha quase perfeitamente <strong>o crash de junho de 2022<\/strong>. Para relembrar, esse per\u00edodo correspondeu ao colapso em cascata de gigantes como a Celsius e a Three Arrows Capital, arrastando o Bitcoin numa espiral infernal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Contudo, existe uma nuance importante. Contrariamente a 2022, onde o p\u00e2nico era sist\u00e9mico, a situa\u00e7\u00e3o atual parece mais relacionada com um <strong>shakeout<\/strong> das posi\u00e7\u00f5es alavancadas e com uma purga dos especuladores tardios. Os <strong>Long-Term Holders<\/strong> (detentores a longo prazo) parecem por enquanto menos impactados, sugerindo que o movimento \u00e9 uma redistribui\u00e7\u00e3o das m\u00e3os impacientes para as m\u00e3os s\u00f3lidas, em vez de uma perda de confian\u00e7a fundamental no ativo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00e3o obstante, a psicologia de mercado mant\u00e9m-se fr\u00e1gil. Se este n\u00edvel de perdas realizadas persistir, o sentimento poder\u00e1 basculer do medo para a resigna\u00e7\u00e3o, transformando uma simples <strong>corre\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> saud\u00e1vel numa revers\u00e3o de tend\u00eancia mais profunda. Uma quebra em baixa dos <strong>67 000$<\/strong> poder\u00e1 abrir caminho a uma nova vaga de vendas em p\u00e2nico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"podera-o-bitcoin-recuperar-ou-ira-mergulhar-abaixo-dos-suportes-chave\">Poder\u00e1 o Bitcoin recuperar ou ir\u00e1 mergulhar abaixo dos suportes-chave?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Face a esta viol\u00eancia vendedora, coloca-se a quest\u00e3o crucial: ter\u00e1 o mercado tocado o seu <strong>bottom<\/strong> <strong>local<\/strong>? Historicamente, tais picos de perdas realizadas marcam frequentemente pontos de capitula\u00e7\u00e3o final, onde a oferta se esgota por falta de vendedores restantes, dando lugar a um potencial <strong>rally<\/strong> de al\u00edvio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> is tracking very closely to gold\u2019s 1972 PA. <br><br>Almost a carbon copy of the structure that came right before a major macro breakout.<br><br>That\u2019s why I\u2019ve been consistently adding to my long term spot positions. <br><br>If we see any more dips into the $45K\u2013$60K range, I\u2019ll be ready to\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1yCnmHxplj\">pic.twitter.com\/1yCnmHxplj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2021006935798210590?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Por outro lado, mesmo que o trader Killa indique que uma queda nos baixos dos <strong>40K<\/strong> ainda seja poss\u00edvel, ele destaca um <strong>fractal id\u00eantico entre <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/casino\/pagamento\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> e o ouro em 1972<\/strong>. Se este cen\u00e1rio se repetir com o bitcoin em 2026, os n\u00edveis atuais s\u00e3o uma oportunidade major a aproveitar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Killa descreve que o Bitcoin atravessa atualmente uma <strong>&#8220;range-based capitulation&#8221;<\/strong>. Por outras palavras, o Bitcoin poder\u00e1 ainda lateralizar entre <strong>75 e 50 000$<\/strong> durante v\u00e1rias semanas ou meses antes de ir testar novamente os <strong>100 000$<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto \u2013 Grupo Privado ! <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/queda-bitcoin-jeff-park-blackrock\/\">Queda do Bitcoin a 5 de Fevereiro: A teoria de Jeff Park e o papel oculto da BlackRock<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/mercado-cripto-alta-bitcoin-71000\/\">Por que o mercado cripto est\u00e1 em alta hoje? Bitcoin atinge novos patamares<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/criptomoedas-semana-m-myx-bnb-xmr\/\">Top criptomoedas da semana: M e MYX disparam, BNB e XMR em queda<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin em queda? Descubra se a hist\u00f3ria se repete e o que esperar do futuro da criptomoeda. An\u00e1lise completa e previs\u00f5es.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":117506,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-explosao-ouro-1972-crash-2022"},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Ouro de 1972 ou crash de 2022? An\u00e1lise e previs\u00f5es<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin em queda? Descubra se a hist\u00f3ria se repete e o que esperar do futuro da criptomoeda. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). 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