{"id":117590,"date":"2026-02-12T12:35:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-12T12:35:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=117590"},"modified":"2026-02-12T14:19:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-12T14:19:30","slug":"bitcoin-taxas-fed-queda-dolar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-taxas-fed-queda-dolar\/","title":{"rendered":"Taxas da Fed em Mar\u00e7o e queda do D\u00f3lar: O Bitcoin vai disparar?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-dolar-dxy-ameacado-de-colapso-uma-falsa-boa-noticia-para-as-criptomoedas\">O D\u00f3lar (DXY) amea\u00e7ado de colapso: Uma falsa boa not\u00edcia para as criptomoedas?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O mercado est\u00e1 a mudar de tom. O \u00edndice Truflation, que mede a infla\u00e7\u00e3o em tempo real, mostra um arrefecimento not\u00e1vel, empurrando as probabilidades de uma descida das taxas da Fed em mar\u00e7o de 9,4% para mais de <strong>21,2%<\/strong> numa semana. O mercado come\u00e7a a precificar o primeiro pivot de 2026. Consequ\u00eancia imediata: os analistas antecipam que se a Fed passar \u00e0 a\u00e7\u00e3o, o DXY poder\u00e1 <strong>despencar 10%<\/strong> adicionais, somando-se \u00e0 sua queda de 1,4% desde o in\u00edcio do ano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No papel, \u00e9 o cen\u00e1rio ideal para um <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/bull-run\/\">Bull run.<\/a> Um d\u00f3lar fraco empurra geralmente os investidores para ativos de risco como a Bitcoin. Contudo, 2025 quebrou esta correla\u00e7\u00e3o: o mercado cripto caiu 7,8% mesmo com o d\u00f3lar a perder terreno. O culpado? A d\u00edvida americana. Com <strong>292 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> de juros pagos no T3 2025 e a China a liquidar os seus t\u00edtulos do Tesouro, o sistema financeiro enfrenta um stress de liquidez major. Se esta press\u00e3o persistir, mesmo um d\u00f3lar em queda livre poder\u00e1 n\u00e3o ser suficiente para propulsar a BTC para novos m\u00e1ximos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The world is more uncertain right now than during 9\/11, the Iraq war, and Covid. <br><br>Combined. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5JP8lAFbYJ\">pic.twitter.com\/5JP8lAFbYJ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Rand (@cryptorand) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptorand\/status\/2021674096916873643?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 11, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Com efeito, como indica Rand no X, o mundo est\u00e1 numa fase de incerteza maior que o 11 de setembro, COVID e a guerra no Iraque combinadas. Este contexto torna as coisas ainda mais complicadas de prever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-btc-o-suporte-dos-63-000-esta-em-perigo-mortal\">Bitcoin (BTC): O suporte dos 63 000 $ est\u00e1 em perigo mortal?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Tecnicamente, a <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> navega em \u00e1guas turbulentas. Negociando atualmente em torno da zona dos <strong>67 000 $ \u2013 68 000 $<\/strong>, a rainha das criptomoedas tem dificuldade em recuperar uma din\u00e2mica altista franca. A estrutura de mercado mant\u00e9m-se fr\u00e1gil ap\u00f3s a rejei\u00e7\u00e3o recente abaixo dos 72 000 $.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"751\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/BTCUSD_2026-02-12_08-04-22-1024x751-1.jpg\" alt=\"Gr\u00e1fico do Bitcoin com order block e RSI\" class=\"wp-image-117588\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/BTCUSD_2026-02-12_08-04-22-1024x751-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/BTCUSD_2026-02-12_08-04-22-1024x751-1-300x220.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/BTCUSD_2026-02-12_08-04-22-1024x751-1-768x563.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Al\u00e9m disso, o dia 14 do m\u00eas \u00e9 um famoso pivot do trader Killa. Uma queda de <strong>8%<\/strong> em m\u00e9dia ocorre na BTC ap\u00f3s os dias 14 do m\u00eas. Por outras palavras, se a BTC empurrar para o orderblock em 16H at\u00e9 sexta-feira, as probabilidades de uma rejei\u00e7\u00e3o para os 60k, ou mesmo os 52K nas pr\u00f3ximas semanas s\u00e3o muito elevadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para inverter a situa\u00e7\u00e3o e esperar um <strong>breakout<\/strong> massivo, os touros devem imperativamente reconquistar a resist\u00eancia dos <strong>72 000 $<\/strong> e libertar-se deste order block vendedor que se estende at\u00e9 <strong>79 000$.<\/strong> Os indicadores de momentum mant\u00eam-se mistos, sugerindo que a <strong>indecis\u00e3o<\/strong> ainda reina entre as baleias. Se a Fed decepcionar ou se a crise da d\u00edvida se intensificar, a correla\u00e7\u00e3o positiva entre a descida do d\u00f3lar e a subida da Bitcoin poder\u00e1 ser definitivamente quebrada para este ciclo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O mercado est\u00e1 numa encruzilhada. Por um lado, a perspetiva de uma liquidez acrescida via descida das taxas \u00e9 um combust\u00edvel poderoso. Por outro, os fundamentos macroecon\u00f3micos (d\u00edvida, vendas massivas da China) atuam como um trav\u00e3o de m\u00e3o puxado. A zona atual \u00e9 arriscada: antecipar o movimento poder\u00e1 render muito, mas o risco de <strong>fakeout<\/strong> \u00e9 real.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto \u2013 Grupo Privado ! <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/xrp-queda-traders-analise\/\">XRP em queda: Traders abandonam e preparam-se para movimento violento?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/monad-mon-comprar-analise\/\">Monad dispara: An\u00e1lise detalhada e oportunidade de compra?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/robinhood-hood-queda-analise\/\">Robinhood (HOOD) desaba 8% ap\u00f3s resultados: Onde vai parar?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Fed pode baixar as taxas em mar\u00e7o, amea\u00e7ando o d\u00f3lar. Mas ser\u00e1 que o Bitcoin vai aproveitar? Descubra a an\u00e1lise completa!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":117589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-taxas-fed-queda-dolar"},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin em Mar\u00e7o: Taxas da Fed, D\u00f3lar em queda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A Fed pode baixar as taxas em mar\u00e7o, amea\u00e7ando o d\u00f3lar. Mas ser\u00e1 que o Bitcoin vai aproveitar? 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). 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J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. 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