{"id":117742,"date":"2026-02-18T17:42:44","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T17:42:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=117742"},"modified":"2026-02-18T17:42:45","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T17:42:45","slug":"bitcoin-queda-54k-analise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-queda-54k-analise\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Por que o BTC precisa cair para 54 mil d\u00f3lares antes da explos\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"uma-pressao-vendedora-que-sufoca-o-mercado\">Uma press\u00e3o vendedora que sufoca o mercado<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O mercado <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/\">crypto<\/a> encontra-se atualmente numa situa\u00e7\u00e3o de impasse. Por um lado, os investidores esperam uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o imediata, por outro, os dados <strong>on-chain<\/strong> contam uma hist\u00f3ria bem mais cautelosa. Ki Young Ju, figura respeitada da an\u00e1lise crypto, partilhou recentemente uma constata\u00e7\u00e3o inequ\u00edvoca: estamos num ciclo <strong>bearish<\/strong> bem definido, e n\u00e3o numa simples corre\u00e7\u00e3o passageira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin is not pumpable right now.<br><br>In 2024, $10B in cash could create $26B in BTC book value. In 2025, $308B flowed in, yet the market cap fell $98B. Selling pressure is too heavy for any multiplier effect.<br><br>MSTR and DATs won&#39;t work until it becomes pumpable again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/T8NZHio4H9\">pic.twitter.com\/T8NZHio4H9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/2020908389132324938?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>O problema fundamental reside no desequil\u00edbrio dos fluxos de capital. Atualmente, a <strong>press\u00e3o vendedora<\/strong> (selling pressure) supera totalmente as entradas de novos capitais. Em termos claros, h\u00e1 mais baleias e institucionais que procuram reduzir a sua exposi\u00e7\u00e3o ou realizar lucros do que novos participantes dispostos a comprar a pre\u00e7os elevados. Este fen\u00f3meno de &#8220;desalavancagem institucional&#8221; impede qualquer tentativa de <strong>breakout<\/strong> ascendente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para Ki Young Ju, a aus\u00eancia de interesse comprador significativo nestes n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o \u00e9 um sinal de alerta. Enquanto este desequil\u00edbrio persistir, imaginar um retorno imediato ao <strong>ATH<\/strong> \u00e9 mais uma ilus\u00e3o do que uma an\u00e1lise racional. O mercado precisa de &#8220;respirar&#8221;, e paradoxalmente, isso poder\u00e1 significar uma queda adicional para sanear as posi\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"porque-e-que-o-nivel-dos-54-000-e-crucial\">Porque \u00e9 que o n\u00edvel dos 54 000 $ \u00e9 crucial?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O analista da CryptoQuant aponta para um n\u00edvel t\u00e9cnico e psicol\u00f3gico preciso: os <strong>54 000 $<\/strong>. Este valor n\u00e3o foi escolhido ao acaso. Corresponde frequentemente a zonas de suporte principais baseadas no <strong>&#8220;Realized Price&#8221;<\/strong> (pre\u00e7o realizado) das coortes de investidores. Historicamente, os verdadeiros fundos de mercado (bottoms) formam-se quando o pre\u00e7o do Bitcoin vem testar, ou mesmo atravessar em baixa, o pre\u00e7o m\u00e9dio de compra dos detentores.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"583\" src=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1.png\" alt=\"Pre\u00e7o m\u00ednimo do mercado em baixa para Bitcoin com linha violeta para o pre\u00e7o realizado\" class=\"wp-image-117740\" srcset=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/02\/newplot-5-1024x583-1-768x437.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Fonte: Checkonchain<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Atualmente, o <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> ainda n\u00e3o mostrou os sinais de uma <strong>capitula\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> total. A capitula\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 esse momento de p\u00e2nico onde os \u00faltimos detentores incertos vendem com preju\u00edzo, transferindo os seus ativos para m\u00e3os mais s\u00f3lidas (as &#8220;Diamond Hands&#8221;). Sem este evento de purga, o mercado permanece em suspenso, incapaz de construir uma base s\u00f3lida para o pr\u00f3ximo <strong>rally<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se o BTC descesse aos <strong>54 000 $<\/strong>, isso representaria uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o dolorosa mas potencialmente salvadora. Este n\u00edvel poderia atuar como um \u00edman de liquidez, desencadeando as ordens de compra massivas necess\u00e1rias para inverter a tend\u00eancia. Ki Young Ju adverte que este processo de cura poder\u00e1 demorar meses. A paci\u00eancia \u00e9, portanto, essencial para os traders que vigiam os gr\u00e1ficos em busca de um ponto de entrada \u00f3timo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"os-institucionais-e-os-etf-o-motor-avariado\">Os institucionais e os ETF: o motor avariado?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Outro fator-chave desta an\u00e1lise baseia-se no comportamento dos institucionais, nomeadamente atrav\u00e9s dos <strong>ETF Bitcoin Spot<\/strong>. Ap\u00f3s terem impulsionado o mercado nas fases anteriores, estes fluxos parecem ter-se esgotado ou j\u00e1 n\u00e3o s\u00e3o suficientes para compensar as vendas. A an\u00e1lise da CryptoQuant sugere que sem um ressurgimento massivo de liquidez institucional, o <strong>momentum<\/strong> permanecer\u00e1 baixista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O mercado crypto j\u00e1 n\u00e3o pode contar unicamente com o &#8220;hype&#8221; dos investidores particulares (retail). A estrutura atual do mercado exige volumes massivos para mover o ponteiro. A aus\u00eancia de &#8220;buying interest&#8221; (interesse comprador) neste momento confirma que as grandes carteiras aguardam n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7o mais atrativos para se reposicionarem. N\u00e3o far\u00e3o <strong>FOMO<\/strong> nos n\u00edveis atuais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta fase de &#8220;limpeza&#8221; \u00e9 t\u00edpica dos ciclos de mercado. Separa os projetos s\u00f3lidos e os investidores convictos dos especuladores de curto prazo. Se a previs\u00e3o de Ki Young Ju se concretizar, os pr\u00f3ximos meses ser\u00e3o um teste de resist\u00eancia para todo o ecossistema, mas poder\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m oferecer uma das melhores oportunidades de acumula\u00e7\u00e3o do ano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Face a esta an\u00e1lise, a quest\u00e3o para qualquer investidor \u00e9 saber como reagir. Deve vender agora para recomprar mais abaixo, ou fazer DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) esperando que o suporte aguente? Se os 54 000 $ forem tocados, constituir\u00e1 isso o ponto de partida do pr\u00f3ximo <strong>Bull run<\/strong> ou simplesmente uma etapa rumo a m\u00ednimos ainda mais profundos? A resposta depender\u00e1 da rea\u00e7\u00e3o dos volumes compradores uma vez atingido este limiar cr\u00edtico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I predicted the top, now its time to predict the bottom.<br><br>Based on diminishing returns\/retracements &amp; fractal analysis, I believe this time we wont bottom where most expect.   <br><br>I expect <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> to bottom in August. You heard it here first. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jOd1Wn8XZy\">pic.twitter.com\/jOd1Wn8XZy<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2023980072110059882?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Para muitos traders, como Killa, uma descida entre <strong>47 e 54 000$<\/strong> \u00e9 uma oportunidade geracional para DCA a longo prazo. Segundo este \u00faltimo, o <strong>bottom dever\u00e1 chegar at\u00e9 agosto<\/strong> deste ano com um primeiro ponto baixo entre mar\u00e7o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto \u2013 Grupo Privado ! <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/xrp-4-sinais-bottom-112-explosao\/\">XRP: 4 sinais cruciais apontam para um bottom em 1,12$ e explos\u00e3o iminente<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/previsoes-xrp-solana-dogecoin\/\">Previs\u00f5es de pre\u00e7o XRP, Solana e Dogecoin: Onde v\u00e3o chegar?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/deepseek-previsao-xrp-dogecoin-shiba-2026\/\">IA Deepseek preve pre\u00e7os de XRP, Dogecoin e Shiba Inu at\u00e9 2026<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ser\u00e1 que o Bitcoin precisa corrigir para os 54.000$? Descubra a an\u00e1lise e as previs\u00f5es de especialistas sobre o futuro do BTC.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":117741,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin: Queda para 54k$ antes da subida? An\u00e1lise e previs\u00f5es","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Ser\u00e1 que o Bitcoin precisa corrigir para os 54.000$? Descubra a an\u00e1lise e as previs\u00f5es de especialistas sobre o futuro do BTC.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-queda-54k-analise"},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Queda para 54k$ antes da subida? An\u00e1lise e previs\u00f5es<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ser\u00e1 que o Bitcoin precisa corrigir para os 54.000$? 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