{"id":117758,"date":"2026-02-19T09:08:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T09:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=117758"},"modified":"2026-02-19T08:13:22","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T08:13:22","slug":"bitcoin-traders-aposta-crash-40000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-traders-aposta-crash-40000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Por que os traders apostam num crash para os 40.000 d\u00f3lares?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-suporte-chave-dos-60-000-esta-em-perigo\">O suporte-chave dos 60 000 $ est\u00e1 em perigo?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) atravessa uma zona de turbul\u00eancia. A negociar atualmente em torno dos <strong>67 100 $<\/strong>, a rainha das criptomoedas tem dificuldade em tranquilizar os investidores ap\u00f3s uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o severa desde os m\u00e1ximos de outubro. Mas \u00e9 na sombra do mercado de derivados que a preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o cresce: a op\u00e7\u00e3o de venda (put) a <strong>40 000 $<\/strong> tornou-se a segunda posi\u00e7\u00e3o mais importante em termos de interesse em aberto para o vencimento de fevereiro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">$40k <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a> Put Becomes Second Largest Bet Ahead of February Expiry<br><br>A <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Bitcoin<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BTC<\/a>) $40,000 put option has emerged as the second-largest stri&#8230;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm\">https:\/\/t.co\/SAau3w9kqm<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fY1iL4kKu7\">pic.twitter.com\/fY1iL4kKu7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CoinNoob (@coin247dotnet) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coin247dotnet\/status\/2024393576608591950?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 19, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Este posicionamento agressivo em pre\u00e7os de exerc\u00edcio (strikes) t\u00e3o baixos testemunha uma procura crescente por <strong>prote\u00e7\u00e3o contra a queda<\/strong> (downside protection). Os traders institucionais parecem recear um evento de liquidez major ou uma capitula\u00e7\u00e3o final que poderia arrastar o pre\u00e7o bem abaixo dos suportes atuais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-suporte-chave-dos-60-000-esta-em-perigo\">O suporte-chave dos 60 000 $ est\u00e1 em perigo?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A estrutura t\u00e9cnica do <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/casino\/pagamento\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> fragilizou-se. Ap\u00f3s ter perdido cerca de 50% do seu valor desde o seu ATH hist\u00f3rico acima dos 120 000 $, o BTC testa a resist\u00eancia dos seus detentores. A acumula\u00e7\u00e3o massiva de puts a 40 000 $ sugere que as grandes carteiras n\u00e3o descartam um cen\u00e1rio cat\u00e1strofe onde o suporte psicol\u00f3gico dos <strong>60 000 $<\/strong> cederia brutalmente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De um ponto de vista t\u00e9cnico, a perda da zona dos 65 000 $ \u2013 66 000 $ poderia abrir o al\u00e7ap\u00e3o para os 52 000 $, um n\u00edvel frequentemente citado como zona de recarregamento a longo prazo (MVRV). O analista Ali Martinez sublinhou ali\u00e1s recentemente uma queda dr\u00e1stica de <strong>72% das transa\u00e7\u00f5es de baleias<\/strong>, um sinal de que os grandes atores permanecem afastados, deixando o mercado sem rede de seguran\u00e7a imediata.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Contudo, \u00e9 preciso matizar: no mercado de op\u00e7\u00f5es, uma forte concentra\u00e7\u00e3o de puts nem sempre significa que o pre\u00e7o vai atingir esse n\u00edvel. Estas posi\u00e7\u00f5es servem frequentemente de <strong>&#8220;cobertura&#8221;<\/strong> (hedge) para carteiras longas. Se o pre\u00e7o se mantiver, estas op\u00e7\u00f5es expirar\u00e3o sem valor, o que poderia paradoxalmente aliviar a press\u00e3o vendedora uma vez passado o vencimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"cenario-capitulacao-final-ou-armadilha-para-os-bears\">Cen\u00e1rio: Capitula\u00e7\u00e3o final ou armadilha para os bears?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O sentimento de mercado est\u00e1 atualmente no medo extremo, um indicador contr\u00e1rio cl\u00e1ssico. Historicamente, quando a multid\u00e3o e as op\u00e7\u00f5es apostam massivamente num crash, o mercado tem tend\u00eancia a surpreender no sentido inverso para infligir uma &#8220;Max Pain&#8221; (dor m\u00e1xima) aos vendedores a descoberto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se o Bitcoin conseguir reconquistar os <strong>70 000 $<\/strong> antes do fim da semana, esta muralha de puts a 40 000 $ tornar-se-\u00e1 obsoleta, for\u00e7ando potencialmente os market makers a recomprar spot para cobrir as suas posi\u00e7\u00f5es, alimentando assim um ressalto t\u00e9cnico. Inversamente, um fecho semanal abaixo dos 65 000 $ validaria o cen\u00e1rio baixista, transformando o medo em p\u00e2nico real.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> <br><br>Capitulation in April. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7\">https:\/\/t.co\/LvFaubE1d7<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2024159049734918167?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Segundo o trader Killa, uma &#8220;capitula\u00e7\u00e3o&#8221; dever\u00e1 decorrer at\u00e9 abril, levando o Bitcoin entre os <strong>47 e 54 000$.<\/strong> Acrescenta nomeadamente que tens\u00f5es sob o signo de guerras mundiais poderiam surgir &#8220;muito em breve&#8221;. A tens\u00e3o est\u00e1 portanto ainda bem presente nos mercados e as apostas das baleias mostram-no.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto \u2013 Grupo Privado ! <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/mercado-cripto-baixa-bitcoin-altcoins\/\">Por que est\u00e1 o mercado cripto em baixa hoje? An\u00e1lise da queda do Bitcoin e altcoins<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/wlfi-sobe-acordo-apex-trump\/\">WLFI dispara 10%: Acordo Apex impulsiona token Trump<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-queda-54k-analise\/\">Bitcoin: Por que o BTC precisa cair para 54 mil d\u00f3lares antes da explos\u00e3o<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin em queda? Traders preparam-se para um crash a 40.000$. Descubra a an\u00e1lise e as estrat\u00e9gias por tr\u00e1s desta aposta.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":117757,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin crash","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin: Crash a 40.000$? Traders apostam forte! An\u00e1lise","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin em queda? Traders preparam-se para um crash a 40.000$. Descubra a an\u00e1lise e as estrat\u00e9gias por tr\u00e1s desta aposta.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-traders-aposta-crash-40000"},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Crash a 40.000$? Traders apostam forte! An\u00e1lise<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin em queda? Traders preparam-se para um crash a 40.000$. 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Je suis \u00e9galement form\u00e9 au trading et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse technique depuis plus d\u2019un an sur le march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies, mais \u00e9galement sur le forex et les m\u00e9taux pr\u00e9cieux comme l\u2019or ou le silver. J\u2019ai obtenu un dipl\u00f4me de la Crypto Academy sur les fondamentaux techniques du Bitcoin et poss\u00e8de une exp\u00e9rience de plus de 5 ans dans le journalisme et l\u2019\u00e9criture d\u2019articles p\u00e9dagogiques. J\u2019ai notamment \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 10 000 articles et news.J\u2019ai \u00e9galement pu interviewer de nombreux fondateurs et cr\u00e9ateurs de projets dans la crypto comme Marc Lebreton (chef marketing de la blockchain SUI), EJ Ayala (Coinbase US et Draftkings), et d\u2019autres projets comme Polyhedra (Eric Vreeland), Usual (Adli Takkal Bataille), ou encore Humanity Protocol (Jade Gu). J\u2019ai plong\u00e9 dans la cryptomonnaie il y a plus de 3 ans et continue de mettre tout en \u0153uvre pour fournir du contenu de qualit\u00e9, avec de l\u2019expertise et la neutralit\u00e9 attendue d\u2019un journaliste. Retrouvez moi aussi sur X pour des analyses et sur Linkedin pour me contacter.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/charles-ledoux-508392239\/","https:\/\/x.com\/charl3li"],"url":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/editor\/charles-ledoux\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117758"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117758\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117759,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117758\/revisions\/117759"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}