{"id":118995,"date":"2026-04-02T12:56:14","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T11:56:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=118995"},"modified":"2026-04-02T12:56:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T11:56:15","slug":"paradigm-terminal-trading-mercados-previsao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/paradigm-terminal-trading-mercados-previsao\/","title":{"rendered":"Paradigm: O gigante Crypto que est\u00e1 a preparar um terminal para mercados de previs\u00e3o"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"um-marco-para-os-mercados-de-previsao\">Um marco para os mercados de previs\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Os mercados de previs\u00e3o acabaram de atingir um marco estrutural. Segundo uma informa\u00e7\u00e3o exclusiva da Fortune, <strong>Paradigm<\/strong>, um dos fundos de capital de risco mais influentes do ecossistema cripto, est\u00e1 a desenvolver desde o final de 2025 um <strong>terminal de trading dedicado aos march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction<\/strong>. O projeto \u00e9 liderado por <strong>Arjun Balaji<\/strong>, parceiro na Paradigm, e tem como alvo exclusivo os traders profissionais e os intervenientes do <strong>market-making<\/strong>. A empresa n\u00e3o quis comentar oficialmente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Este n\u00e3o \u00e9 um movimento isolado. O volume mensal combinado de <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/previsao\/kalshi\/apostar\/\">Kalshi<\/a> e <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/previsao\/polymarket\/apostar\/\">Polymarket<\/a> ultrapassou <strong>22 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> em mar\u00e7o de 2026, com ambas as plataformas a atingirem simultaneamente recordes hist\u00f3ricos. A demanda institucional est\u00e1 presente, mas a infraestrutura profissional era escassa. A Paradigm est\u00e1 prestes a preencher essa lacuna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Paradigm is developing a prediction markets trading terminal, according to sources, with partner Arjun Balaji leading the initiative since late 2025, targeting professional traders and market makers; the firm is also considering establishing an internal market-making desk and\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QR1SaM1Yog\">pic.twitter.com\/QR1SaM1Yog<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WuBlockchain\/status\/2039361171997049228?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 1, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"um-terminal-bloomberg-para-contratos-de-eventos\">Um terminal Bloomberg para contratos de eventos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O terminal foi concebido para fornecer aos utilizadores sofisticados ferramentas semelhantes \u00e0s do Bloomberg para negociar, analisar e direcionar a liquidez atrav\u00e9s de um ecossistema crescente de plataformas de previs\u00e3o on-chain e regulamentadas. A troca continua a ser a plataforma, enquanto o terminal \u00e9 o que os profissionais utilizam para negociar de forma eficaz em v\u00e1rias plataformas simultaneamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esta \u00e9 a distin\u00e7\u00e3o chave que muitas an\u00e1lises omitem. A Paradigm n\u00e3o procura competir com a Kalshi ou a Polymarket como plataforma. O posicionamento pretendido \u00e9 o de uma <strong>camada de infraestrutura profissional<\/strong> que agrega a liquidez dessas plataformas, reduz os spreads e otimiza a execu\u00e7\u00e3o para ordens de tamanho institucional. Em mercados ainda fragmentados, onde uma ordem significativa pode provocar um slippage consider\u00e1vel, essa infraestrutura \u00e9 urgentemente necess\u00e1ria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Paradigm tamb\u00e9m considerou lan\u00e7ar um <strong>desk de market-making interno<\/strong> para os mercados de previs\u00e3o, o que tornaria a empresa um participante ativo e n\u00e3o apenas um simples construtor de infraestrutura. Em paralelo, est\u00e1 a trabalhar com investigadores para explorar a viabilidade de criar <strong>\u00edndices de mercados preditivos<\/strong>, o que consistiria em agrupar v\u00e1rios contratos de eventos num \u00fanico produto negoci\u00e1vel, \u00e0 semelhan\u00e7a do S&amp;P 500 para as a\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">new from paradigm: we are building a tool for exploring prediction market data<br><br>try it out today. I bet you&#39;ll find new markets you never knew existed <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HtDBWtFoys\">pic.twitter.com\/HtDBWtFoys<\/a><\/p>&mdash; storm (@notnotstorm) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/notnotstorm\/status\/2019111720325902820?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 4, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"kalshi-a-22-mil-milhoes-de-dolares-e-polymarket-a-20-mil-milhoes-de-dolares-a-liquidez-acompanha\">Kalshi a 22 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares e Polymarket a 20 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares: A liquidez acompanha<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A exposi\u00e7\u00e3o da Paradigm aos mercados de previs\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 nova, mas tornou-se consideravelmente mais densa. Em dezembro de 2025, a Kalshi anunciou uma <strong>capta\u00e7\u00e3o de 1 mil milh\u00e3o de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> na S\u00e9rie E a uma valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o de <strong>11 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, liderada pela Paradigm e acompanhada pela Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz e ARK Invest, dobrando assim a sua valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o em menos de dois meses. Uma ronda seguinte em mar\u00e7o de 2026 elevou a valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o da Kalshi para <strong>22 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">KALSHI SECURES $1B FUNDING AT $11B VALUATION: DETAILS\u2026<br><br>&#8211; Prediction market platform Kalshi has closed a $1 billion funding round, valuing the company at $11 billion, per TechCrunch.<br><br>&#8211; The round was led by Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, with participation from Andreessen\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IML3A3DWcu\">pic.twitter.com\/IML3A3DWcu<\/a><\/p>&mdash; BSCN (@BSCNews) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BSCNews\/status\/1991735657572757694?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 21, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Do lado rival, a Polymarket est\u00e1 em negocia\u00e7\u00f5es para captar fundos a uma valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o de cerca de <strong>20 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, segundo o Wall Street Journal. Um novo fundo de capital de risco totalmente dedicado aos mercados de previs\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m surgiu, apoiado pelos CEOs das duas plataformas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Estes n\u00fameros revelam algo importante sobre o momento que este setor est\u00e1 a atravessar: a liquidez institucional nunca acompanha a infraestrutura, \u00e9 a infraestrutura que atrai a liquidez. A cria\u00e7\u00e3o de um terminal profissional, de um desk de market-making e potencialmente de \u00edndices negoci\u00e1veis representa precisamente esta fase de matura\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Intercontinental Exchange, a empresa-m\u00e3e da Bolsa de Valores de Nova Iorque, investiu at\u00e9 <strong>2 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> na Polymarket e tornou-se distribuidor global dos dados de eventos da plataforma para investidores institucionais. Quando a NYSE se envolve, o sinal \u00e9 claro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"os-mercados-preditivos-vao-redefinir-o-trading-cripto-este-ano\">Os mercados preditivos v\u00e3o redefinir o trading cripto este ano?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O risco regulat\u00f3rio continua a ser o fator inc\u00f3gnita nesta equa\u00e7\u00e3o. Um projeto de lei chamado &#8220;Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026&#8221; visa proibir certas plataformas sob a jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o da CFTC de listar eventos espec\u00edficos, sendo uma das principais preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es a preven\u00e7\u00e3o de insider trading por parte de respons\u00e1veis governamentais. O governador da Calif\u00f3rnia, Gavin Newsom, j\u00e1 assinou um decreto executivo que pro\u00edbe os funcion\u00e1rios do Estado de apostarem nos mercados de previs\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Startups de mercados de previs\u00e3o atra\u00edram <strong>3,7 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> de novos capitais, criando jovens bilion\u00e1rios na Polymarket e Kalshi \u00e0 medida que os volumes dispararam. N\u00e3o se trata de uma bolha especulativa desconectada dos fundamentos. \u00c9 um setor financeiro que est\u00e1 a construir as suas infraestruturas institucionais, exatamente como os march\u00e9s crypto fizeram entre 2020 e 2023 com os ETF e os desks de trading dos bancos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A nossa leitura: o terminal da Paradigm n\u00e3o \u00e9 um produto para o grande p\u00fablico, e esse n\u00e3o \u00e9 o objetivo. \u00c9 uma infraestrutura que permitir\u00e1 que os capitais dos fundos, desks de trading e market-makers se dirijam a estes mercados com a precis\u00e3o e a velocidade que exigem. Se os \u00edndices forem criados, a exposi\u00e7\u00e3o ao setor tornar\u00e1-se acess\u00edvel atrav\u00e9s de um \u00fanico produto negoci\u00e1vel, o que constituiria o verdadeiro gatilho para um aumento de volumes compar\u00e1vel ao que os ETFs de Bitcoin produziram nas exchanges em 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fontes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/notnotstorm\">Notnotstorm<\/a> no X<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WuBlockchain\">WuBlockchain<\/a> no X<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BSCNews\">BSCNews<\/a> no X<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/xrp-rlusd-ripple-treasury-financas\/\">XRP e RLUSD: A revolu\u00e7\u00e3o da finan\u00e7a empresarial com Ripple treasury<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-queda-67000\/\">Bitcoin abaixo dos 67.000$: O que causou a queda?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/petroleo-alta-bitcoin-queda-analise\/\">Petr\u00f3leo em alta e Bitcoin em queda: O Bitcoin chegar\u00e1 aos 45.000$?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Paradigm, gigante do mundo crypto, prepara um terminal de trading profissional para mercados de previs\u00e3o. Saiba mais!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":118994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Paradigm terminal","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Paradigm: Terminal Crypto para mercados de previs\u00e3o","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"A Paradigm, gigante do mundo crypto, prepara um terminal de trading profissional para mercados de previs\u00e3o. Saiba mais!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/paradigm-terminal-trading-mercados-previsao"},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-118995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Paradigm: Terminal Crypto para mercados de previs\u00e3o<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A Paradigm, gigante do mundo crypto, prepara um terminal de trading profissional para mercados de previs\u00e3o. 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Passionn\u00e9 par la blockchain depuis 2019, j'ai publi\u00e9 plus de 1 200 articles et guides sur les cryptomonnaies, la DeFi et la blockchain, reconnus pour leur fiabilit\u00e9 et leur clart\u00e9.\\u2028 Sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9 dans le trading on-chain et l'analyse des mouvements de baleines, je d\u00e9crypte les flux blockchain pour anticiper les tendances avant qu'elles ne deviennent \u00e9videntes. L'un de mes articles a \u00e9t\u00e9 cit\u00e9 par \u00c9ric Larchev\u00eaque, cofondateur de Ledger, t\u00e9moignant de la qualit\u00e9 et de la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de mes analyses.\\u2028 Mon objectif reste inchang\u00e9 : rendre la crypto compr\u00e9hensible pour tous, des d\u00e9butants aux investisseurs confirm\u00e9s. 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