{"id":119165,"date":"2026-04-08T11:11:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T10:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=119165"},"modified":"2026-04-08T13:12:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T12:12:45","slug":"arthur-hayes-hyperliquid-hype-compra-venda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/arthur-hayes-hyperliquid-hype-compra-venda\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes compra Hyperliquid (HYPE) e vende outras Criptomoedas: An\u00e1lise detalhada"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"por-que-motivo-arthur-hayes-aposta-tudo-na-hyperliquid-hype\">Por que motivo Arthur Hayes aposta tudo na Hyperliquid (HYPE)?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Arthur Hayes n\u00e3o \u00e9 pessoa para fazer as coisas pela metade. O cofundador da BitMEX e CIO do fundo Maelstrom publicou a 9 de mar\u00e7o de 2026 um ensaio detalhado no seu Substack &#8220;Crypto Trader Digest&#8221; com uma conclus\u00e3o inequ\u00edvoca: a <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/exchange\/hyperliquid\/\">HYPE<\/a> \u00e9 a sua maior convic\u00e7\u00e3o de altcoin do momento e o seu objetivo s\u00e3o os <strong>150 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> at\u00e9 agosto de 2026. N\u00e3o se trata de uma declara\u00e7\u00e3o atirada ao ar, a Maelstrom acumulou massivamente na zona dos <strong>20 aos 30 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, construindo a posi\u00e7\u00e3o mais importante do portef\u00f3lio, excluindo a Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para compreender o racioc\u00ednio, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio olhar primeiro para os n\u00fameros da plataforma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The only thing we&#39;re buying right now is <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24HYPE&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$HYPE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/2041682542525608163?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-modelo-economico-que-justifica-a-aposta\">O modelo econ\u00f3mico que justifica a aposta<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Hayes posiciona a Hyperliquid como o ativo de refer\u00eancia num mercado lateral ou de baixa porque as exchanges continuam a gerar taxas independentemente da dire\u00e7\u00e3o dos pre\u00e7os. O que conta ainda mais aqui: <strong>97 % das receitas do protocolo<\/strong> s\u00e3o utilizadas para recomprar tokens HYPE no mercado. &#8220;A Hyperliquid, a DEX de perp\u00e9tuos dominante, \u00e9 o maior projeto gerador de receitas que n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma stablecoin&#8221;, escreveu. &#8220;Nenhum outro projeto em todo o mercado cripto devolve tanto dinheiro aos detentores de tokens.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para que o seu objetivo de <strong>150 <strong>d\u00f3lares<\/strong><\/strong> se materialize, o seu modelo exige que o run rate de receitas anualizadas a 30 dias passe de cerca de <strong>843 milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> em mar\u00e7o para <strong>1,4 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> at\u00e9 agosto. Este n\u00edvel j\u00e1 tinha sido alcan\u00e7ado em agosto de 2025. O seu modelo integra igualmente uma reavalia\u00e7\u00e3o do m\u00faltiplo de valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o, de <strong>12x<\/strong> os lucros atuais para cerca de <strong>25,2x<\/strong>, ainda abaixo dos m\u00faltiplos das grandes bolsas tradicionais cotadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O que \u00e9 s\u00f3lido nesta tese: Hayes n\u00e3o aposta numa expans\u00e3o global da atividade de derivados cripto. Aposta unicamente na conquista de quota de mercado \u00e0s CEX. Ele calcula que um aumento de <strong>3,97 pontos percentuais<\/strong> na quota de mercado seria suficiente para a Hyperliquid recuperar este run rate de <strong>1,4 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> anualizado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hip-3-e-hip-4-os-catalisadores-que-o-mercado-subestima\">HIP-3 e HIP-4: Os catalisadores que o mercado subestima<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O motor da pr\u00f3xima etapa, segundo Hayes, \u00e9 o HIP-3, a framework de listagem permissionless da Hyperliquid. Os utilizadores que fazem <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/staking\/\">staking<\/a> de <strong>500 000 HYPE<\/strong> podem lan\u00e7ar mercados utilizando o motor de matching e de margem da plataforma. Hayes destaca a tra\u00e7\u00e3o precoce na prata, no ouro, no Nasdaq 100 e no S&amp;P 500. &#8220;Em apenas quatro meses, os volumes do HIP-3 representam quase <strong>10 %<\/strong> das receitas totais da Hyperliquid&#8221;, escreveu. As listagens permissionless sempre foram o Santo Graal das DEX e o r\u00e1pido crescimento dos volumes prova isso mesmo. O seu modelo pressup\u00f5e que as receitas do HIP-3 aumentem <strong>160 %<\/strong> num per\u00edodo de seis meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O fim de semana do conflito iraniano forneceu, ali\u00e1s, uma prova \u00e0 escala real: os traders aflu\u00edram \u00e0 Hyperliquid para negociar perp\u00e9tuos sobre petr\u00f3leo tokenizado enquanto os mercados tradicionais estavam fechados. \u00c9 exatamente este o caso de uso que Hayes descreve, um acesso 24 horas por dia a ativos normalmente reservados ao hor\u00e1rio regular do mercado, com uma alavancagem de <strong>10x a 20x<\/strong>, onde as corretoras tradicionais oferecem apenas <strong>2x a 3x<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">there is always a bull market somewhere<br><br>can we all agree HIP-3 is the biggest innovation in crypto \/ defi of the last 2 years?<br><br>all metrics up and to the right <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CQgNsTPnuj\">pic.twitter.com\/CQgNsTPnuj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; nairolf (@0xNairolf) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/0xNairolf\/status\/2036128843212198359?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"ena-ethfi-pendle-a-rotacao-de-capital-documentada-on-chain\">ENA, ETHFI, PENDLE, a rota\u00e7\u00e3o de capital documentada on-chain<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Para financiar esta acumula\u00e7\u00e3o, Hayes efetuou arbitragens claras. A 9 de fevereiro de 2026, a Lookonchain rastreou transfer\u00eancias a partir das wallets de Arthur Hayes: <strong>8,57 milh\u00f5es de <\/strong>ENA (1,06 milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares), <strong>2,04 milh\u00f5es de ETHFI<\/strong> (954 000 d\u00f3lares) e <strong>950 000 PENDLE<\/strong> (1,14 milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares), ou seja, cerca de <strong>3,14 milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares<\/strong> vendidos em 15 minutos. Cada um destes tokens j\u00e1 tinha ca\u00eddo entre <strong>81 % e 94 %<\/strong> desde os seus respetivos m\u00e1ximos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A ETHFI tinha apagado a totalidade dos seus ganhos desde mar\u00e7o de 2024, com uma queda de <strong>94,53 %<\/strong> desde o seu ATH. A ENA estava a <strong>-86 %<\/strong> desde o seu pico de outubro, sendo negociada em torno de <strong>0,12 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>. A PENDLE perdia <strong>81 %<\/strong> desde o seu m\u00e1ximo, bloqueada abaixo dos <strong>6 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00e3o \u00e9 a primeira vez que Hayes corta posi\u00e7\u00f5es DeFi com preju\u00edzo para se reposicionar noutro lado, f\u00ea-lo em agosto de 2025 na ETH, admitiu publicamente o seu erro quando o mercado recuperou e, em seguida, voltou a esses mesmos ativos a pre\u00e7os mais elevados. Desta vez, a rota\u00e7\u00e3o vai para a HYPE, n\u00e3o para um regresso \u00e0s mesmas posi\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hype-a-150-cenario-realista-ou-objetivo-de-comunicacao\">HYPE a 150 $: Cen\u00e1rio realista ou objetivo de comunica\u00e7\u00e3o?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A quest\u00e3o merece ser colocada diretamente. Hayes det\u00e9m uma posi\u00e7\u00e3o substancial em HYPE atrav\u00e9s da Maelstrom e publicar um ensaio com um objetivo de <strong>5x<\/strong> em seis meses n\u00e3o \u00e9 neutro para o valor do seu pr\u00f3prio portef\u00f3lio. Ele pr\u00f3prio o reconhece no texto. Tamb\u00e9m vendeu a sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o em HYPE em torno dos <strong>50 a 55 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> no final de 2025 antes de voltar a comprar, depois de a equipa ter reduzido drasticamente as suas distribui\u00e7\u00f5es de tokens de <strong>20 % em novembro-dezembro<\/strong> para apenas <strong>1 %<\/strong> em janeiro-fevereiro de 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"491\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/08112112\/Capture-decran-2026-04-08-a-10.13.42-1024x491-1.jpg\" alt=\"Gr\u00e1fico di\u00e1rio HYPE\/USDT na KuCoin de agosto de 2025 a abril de 2026 \u2014 Pre\u00e7o atual 33,237 USDT (+8,26%) \u2014 Volume 184,97K HYPE \u2014 EMA 20 em 30,567 \/ EMA 50 em 29,804 \/ EMA 100 em 30,510 \/ EMA 200 em 32,173 \u2014 Tend\u00eancia de alta desde o ATH em 59,410 USDT em setembro de 2025, seguida por uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o acentuada at\u00e9 o m\u00ednimo em 20,503 USDT em janeiro de 2026\" class=\"wp-image-119163\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/08112112\/Capture-decran-2026-04-08-a-10.13.42-1024x491-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/08112112\/Capture-decran-2026-04-08-a-10.13.42-1024x491-1-300x144.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/04\/08112112\/Capture-decran-2026-04-08-a-10.13.42-1024x491-1-768x368.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>O pr\u00f3prio cen\u00e1rio bear de Hayes estabelece um piso. Mesmo no seu teste de stress mais pessimista, com o m\u00faltiplo de valoriza\u00e7\u00e3o bloqueado em <strong>12x<\/strong> e as distribui\u00e7\u00f5es da equipa no m\u00e1ximo, o seu modelo produz um pre\u00e7o-alvo de <strong>58 d\u00f3lares<\/strong>, ou seja, cerca de <strong>75 % de subida<\/strong> desde os n\u00edveis de <strong>30 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para os investidores em cripto que acompanham este dossi\u00ea a partir das exchanges, a tese sustenta-se nos fundamentos: um modelo de buyback agressivo, uma verdadeira tra\u00e7\u00e3o nos mercados de <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-altcoins-alta-mercado-crypto\/\">RWA<\/a> e uma plataforma que capta volumes org\u00e2nicos onde os seus concorrentes compram os deles. O objetivo de <strong>150 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> \u00e9 ambicioso, mas o piso do cen\u00e1rio pessimista permanece nitidamente acima do pre\u00e7o de entrada da Maelstrom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">My essay on why <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24HYPE&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$HYPE<\/a> is going to $150 by August 2026. <br><br> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/M1la2HpdzT\">https:\/\/t.co\/M1la2HpdzT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/2030972350074908920?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 9, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fontes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoHayes\">CryptoHayes<\/a> no X<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fr.tradingview.com\/chart\/emC63rri\/?symbol=COINBASE%3AAPTUSDC\">TradingView<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/0xNairolf\">0xNairolf<\/a> no X<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Artigos Relacionados:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-altcoins-alta-mercado-crypto\/\">Por que o Bitcoin e as Altcoins est\u00e3o em alta? An\u00e1lise do mercado Crypto<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/zcash-zec-dispara-500-dolares\/\">Zcash (ZEC) dispara: Ser\u00e1 que chega aos 500 D\u00f3lares?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-analise-80000-dolares\/\">Bitcoin: A ascens\u00e3o explosiva e a corrida para os 80.000$<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Descubra a estrat\u00e9gia de Arthur Hayes, cofundador da BitMEX, com Hyperliquid (HYPE). Saiba por que ele est\u00e1 a comprar e quais criptos vendeu. An\u00e1lise completa!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":119164,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Hyperliquid HYPE","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Arthur Hayes aposta em Hyperliquid (HYPE): Oportunidade ?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Descubra a estrat\u00e9gia de Arthur Hayes, cofundador da BitMEX, com Hyperliquid (HYPE). Saiba por que ele est\u00e1 a comprar e quais criptos vendeu. An\u00e1lise completa!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"noticias-cripto\/arthur-hayes-hyperliquid-hype-compra-venda"},"categories":[44,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119165","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Arthur Hayes aposta em Hyperliquid (HYPE): Oportunidade ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Descubra a estrat\u00e9gia de Arthur Hayes, cofundador da BitMEX, com Hyperliquid (HYPE). Saiba por que ele est\u00e1 a comprar e quais criptos vendeu. 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