{"id":98174,"date":"2025-05-07T15:28:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T14:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=98174"},"modified":"2025-05-07T13:58:53","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T12:58:53","slug":"fomc-maio-2025-discurso-powell-impacto-bitcoin-cripto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/fomc-maio-2025-discurso-powell-impacto-bitcoin-cripto\/","title":{"rendered":"Discurso da FED \u00e9 hoje : Que impacto no mercado cripto ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-mercado-cripto-antecipa-o-discurso-de-powell\">O mercado cripto antecipa o discurso de Powell<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O mercado <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/\">cripto<\/a> est\u00e1 em suspense \u00e0 medida que o <strong>Comit\u00e9 Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC)<\/strong> do Federal Reserve (Fed) dos Estados Unidos conclui sua reuni\u00e3o de dois dias em <strong>7 de maio de 2025.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BIG WALLETS STACKING BTC BEFORE THE FOMC DECISION. <br><br>$100K TARGET LOOKS CLOSER THAN EVER IF POWELL BLINKS! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NlWty13vWR\">pic.twitter.com\/NlWty13vWR<\/a><\/p>&mdash; DustyBC Crypto (@TheDustyBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheDustyBC\/status\/1920025811899580637?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Embora uma mudan\u00e7a nas taxas de juros pare\u00e7a improv\u00e1vel, todos os olhos est\u00e3o voltados para o discurso do presidente da Fed, Jerome Powell. Seus <strong>coment\u00e1rios sobre infla\u00e7\u00e3o,<\/strong> crescimento econ\u00f4mico e a trajet\u00f3ria futura das taxas de juros poderiam desencadear movimentos significativos no <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) e em todos os ativos cripto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pouco antes deste evento crucial, o Bitcoin oscila em uma faixa estreita, entre <strong>$93.000 e $97.800<\/strong>, demonstrando a cautela dos investidores. Essa faixa estreita reflete a incerteza em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos sinais que a Fed poderia transmitir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De acordo com os dados dos mercados futuros, h\u00e1 uma probabilidade de <strong>99%<\/strong> de que as taxas sejam mantidas na faixa atual de <strong>4,25% a 4,50%<\/strong>. No entanto, n\u00e3o \u00e9 a decis\u00e3o em si, mas as <strong>nuances no discurso de Powell<\/strong> que podem mover o mercado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O contexto macroecon\u00f4mico est\u00e1 particularmente tenso. Os receios de <strong>estagfla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> &#8211; uma combina\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00f3xica de baixo crescimento econ\u00f4mico e infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente &#8211; est\u00e3o aumentando. Essas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o alimentadas por fatores como as discuss\u00f5es sobre <strong>novas tarifas alfandeg\u00e1rias<\/strong> propostas pela administra\u00e7\u00e3o Trump, que poderiam intensificar as press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias enquanto desaceleram a atividade econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nesse cen\u00e1rio, a Fed enfrenta um dilema delicado: manter as taxas altas para conter a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, correndo o risco de sufocar o crescimento, ou flexibilizar sua pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, o que poderia reacender os aumentos de pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"os-cenarios-e-suas-implicacoes-para-o-crypto\">Os cen\u00e1rios e suas implica\u00e7\u00f5es para o crypto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O tom adotado por Jerome Powell em sua coletiva de imprensa ser\u00e1 crucial. Aqui est\u00e3o os dois principais cen\u00e1rios considerados e suas implica\u00e7\u00f5es para o mercado cripto:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Today we&#39;ll have another FOMC.<br><br>The Fed is expected to keep rates the same.<br><br>The market will be eager to watch for any dovish or hawkish changes in their tone which has been pretty mixed recently. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tFwaeCBQSE\">pic.twitter.com\/tFwaeCBQSE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaanCrypto\/status\/1920011214736048218?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Um discurso dovish (acomodat\u00edcio)<\/strong> : Se Powell adotar um tom otimista, sugerindo que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 sob controle ou que um corte nas taxas poderia ocorrer mais cedo do que o previsto, os ativos de risco, incluindo criptomoedas, poderiam se beneficiar. Tal discurso indicaria um ambiente monet\u00e1rio mais favor\u00e1vel ao investimento especulativo. Nesse caso, o Bitcoin poderia quebrar a resist\u00eancia dos <strong>$97.000<\/strong>, potencialmente em dire\u00e7\u00e3o aos <strong>$100.000<\/strong>, um n\u00edvel psicol\u00f3gico importante. As altcoins, muitas vezes mais vol\u00e1teis, podem ampliar esse movimento, com aumentos significativos para ativos como Ethereum (ETH) ou Solana (SOL).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>An\u00e1lise<\/strong> : Historicamente, per\u00edodos de flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o monet\u00e1ria (como em 2020 com taxas pr\u00f3ximas de zero) coincidiram com grandes ralis no mercado cripto. Um discurso dovish tamb\u00e9m poderia enfraquecer o d\u00f3lar americano, refor\u00e7ando o apelo do Bitcoin como reserva de valor alternativa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Um discurso hawkish (restritivo)<\/strong> : Por outro lado, se Powell enfatizar a necessidade de manter uma pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria r\u00edgida para combater uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente, o mercado poder\u00e1 sofrer. Uma postura firme aumentaria a press\u00e3o sobre os ativos de risco, incluindo criptomoedas. O Bitcoin poderia ent\u00e3o voltar para seu suporte em <strong>$92.000<\/strong>, ou at\u00e9 testar n\u00edveis mais baixos em torno de <strong>$90.000<\/strong> se as vendas se intensificarem. As altcoins, mais sens\u00edveis \u00e0s varia\u00e7\u00f5es do sentimento de mercado, poder\u00e3o sofrer corre\u00e7\u00f5es mais acentuadas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>An\u00e1lise<\/strong> : Uma postura hawkish da Fed manteria um ambiente de taxas altas, tornando ativos tradicionais como t\u00edtulos mais atraentes em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s criptos, vistas como especulativas. Isso tamb\u00e9m poderia fortalecer o d\u00f3lar, exercendo press\u00e3o adicional sobre o BTC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Fed is quietly shifting gears again<br><br>They\u2019re supposed to let $25B\/month in Treasuries roll off<br>But they just BOUGHT $34.8B in two days<br><br>That\u2019s not QT\u2026 it\u2019s stealth QE <br><br>Prepare accordingly. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SU4mR9nXnB\">pic.twitter.com\/SU4mR9nXnB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/QuintenFrancois\/status\/1919988838270710208?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Apesar de uma ret\u00f3rica publicamente firme, algumas a\u00e7\u00f5es recentes da Fed enviam sinais contradit\u00f3rios. A desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o do <strong>aperto quantitativo (QT)<\/strong>, a redu\u00e7\u00e3o moderada do balan\u00e7o da Fed e recompras discretas de t\u00edtulos do Tesouro sugerem que uma mudan\u00e7a para uma pol\u00edtica mais acomodat\u00edcia pode estar se delineando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Essas medidas, embora sutis, s\u00e3o interpretadas por alguns analistas como <strong>prepara\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong> <strong>para uma flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o futura<\/strong>, potencialmente j\u00e1 no segundo semestre de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para o mercado cripto, esses sinais, mesmo impl\u00edcitos, podem limitar as press\u00f5es baixistas. Os investidores institucionais, cada vez mais presentes no ecossistema cripto, est\u00e3o atentos a esses ind\u00edcios para ajustar suas estrat\u00e9gias. Por exemplo, <strong>a crescente ado\u00e7\u00e3o dos <a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/etf-bitcoin-em-um-ano-balanco-perspetivas-para-2025\/\">ETFs Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> \u00e0 vista nos Estados Unidos mostra que o BTC est\u00e1 cada vez mais sendo percebido como um ativo de diversifica\u00e7\u00e3o, mesmo em um contexto de taxas elevadas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"o-que-esperar-apos-o-discurso\">O que esperar ap\u00f3s o discurso ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>O discurso de Jerome Powell, agendado para 7 de maio de 2025 \u00e0s 14h30 (hor\u00e1rio de Nova Iorque), agir\u00e1 como um <strong>catalisador importante<\/strong> para o mercado cripto. Espera-se uma maior volatilidade nas horas seguintes ao an\u00fancio, com ajustes r\u00e1pidos nas posi\u00e7\u00f5es dos traders. Aqui est\u00e3o alguns pontos-chave a serem observados :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Palavras-chave no discurso<\/strong> : Qualquer men\u00e7\u00e3o a &#8220;infla\u00e7\u00e3o controlada&#8221; ou &#8220;pausa no aperto&#8221; poderia desencadear um rally. Por outro lado, termos como &#8220;infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente&#8221; ou &#8220;vigil\u00e2ncia aumentada&#8221; poderiam impactar o mercado negativamente.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rea\u00e7\u00f5es de outros mercados<\/strong> : Uma queda nos \u00edndices de a\u00e7\u00f5es (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq) ou um aumento nos rendimentos dos t\u00edtulos do Tesouro a 10 anos poderiam sinalizar um sentimento baixista, impactando as criptos.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Volumes de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> : Um aumento nos volumes nas plataformas como Binance ou Coinbase ap\u00f3s o discurso indicar\u00e1 a magnitude da rea\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Em resumo, o mercado de criptomoedas est\u00e1 em uma encruzilhada, pendente das palavras de Jerome Powell. Seu discurso poder\u00e1 n\u00e3o apenas <strong>definir a tend\u00eancia do Bitcoin<\/strong> para o segundo trimestre de 2025, mas tamb\u00e9m influenciar a din\u00e2mica geral dos ativos cripto. Em um contexto macroecon\u00f4mico complexo, marcado por riscos de <strong>estagfla\u00e7\u00e3o e incertezas geopol\u00edticas<\/strong>, a <strong>Fed<\/strong> desempenha um papel central na psicologia dos mercados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <strong>volatilidade<\/strong> \u00e9 esperada nos mercados no momento do an\u00fancio e nas horas subsequentes, com os investidores ajustando suas posi\u00e7\u00f5es <strong>com base nas novas<\/strong> <strong>informa\u00e7\u00f5es<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/go-weex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Weex: Ganhe 50 USDT em alguns cliques !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sobre o mesmo assunto :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/fed-taxas-juro-impacto-criptomoedas\/\">Fed decide taxas de juro amanh\u00e3 : qual o impacto nas criptomoedas ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/mercado-cripto-queda-turbulencia-hoje-btc-ray\/\">Mercado cripto em queda : o que est\u00e1 por tr\u00e1s da turbul\u00eancia hoje ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/correcao-inversao-indicadores-mercado-cripto-criptomoedas\/\">Corre\u00e7\u00e3o ou invers\u00e3o ? Indicadores-chave do mercado cripto desta semana<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O mercado de criptomoedas aguarda ansiosamente o discurso de Jerome Powell p\u00f3s-FOMC. Com a incerteza da estagfla\u00e7\u00e3o e expectativas de flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o, a quest\u00e3o que persiste \u00e9: o Bitcoin ir\u00e1 decolar ou desabar? Descubra nesta an\u00e1lise exclusiva!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":98173,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98174","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Discurso da Fed \u00e9 hoje : Que impacto para as criptos ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O discurso de Powell ap\u00f3s o FOMC pode abalar o Bitcoin e o mercado cripto. 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