DeFi Recovery Creates Favorable Winds for AAVE

The positive momentum in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector could be a major catalyst for AAVE price in the coming months. As the DeFi token recently surpassed the $300 mark, analysts believe crossing the psychological threshold of $400 is now within reach.

Recent statements from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, hinting at possible interest rate cuts, have been well received by the DeFi sector and consequently by the AAVE token. Stock and crypto markets reacted positively, with Ethereum sitting just 3.1% below its all-time high.

Favorable Conditions for AAVE

As a cornerstone of DeFi infrastructure, AAVE is expected to benefit from rising Ethereum prices and lower borrowing costs. These elements could attract more capital to the lending and staking markets managed by the platform. A sustainable DeFi recovery therefore seems possible in the coming months.

While technical signals are generally positive for AAVE, investors should remain vigilant about potential profit-taking risks.

The AAVE weekly chart shows an ongoing bullish trend, with an encouraging rebound since the beginning of 2025. Technical indicators such as OBV signal increased buying pressure. However, technical resistance at $417 and $527 should be taken into account.

Source: AAVE/USDT

A Warning About Selling Pressure

The portion of AAVE’s supply currently in profit is extremely high, reaching 97.4% at the last measurement. This level exceeds what was observed during the December 2024 correction, which could generate significant selling pressure.

AAVE pct supply in profit chart

The combination of Ethereum’s solid performance and demand for DeFi products could create a virtuous cycle for AAVE. However, traders and investors should be aware of the risk of corrections related to profit-taking. Support levels around $300 and $280 will be crucial in case of a pullback. Despite the bullish outlook, caution is advised to make the most of this rally.

AAVE cost basis ditribution chart

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