October 2025 shapes up to be a highly volatile month for the altcoins market. Despite a 15% decrease in market cap and record inflows to exchanges, bearish pressure is reaching alarming levels. Nevertheless, some technical signals hint at a major reversal on the horizon.
On-chain data reveals a concerning trend for altcoins holders. The 7-day moving average of incoming transactions to exchanges has exceeded 70,000 units, an unprecedented peak in 2025. This metric typically serves as a leading indicator of imminent selling pressure.
CryptoQuant’s analysis shows that similar levels have consistently preceded major corrections in Bitcoin and altcoins. Coin Bureau emphasizes: “Altcoin transactions to exchanges just hit a new yearly high, signaling either increasing selling pressure or traders preparing for the next major rotation.”
The stablecoin situation adds a worrying dimension. Available liquidity in USDT and USDC on major platforms shows signs of progressive depletion, limiting the market’s ability to absorb massive sell orders. Historically, liquidity contractions coincide with periods of low demand and increased volatility, widening spreads for traders and making speculative positions less attractive.
Despite this bearish context, the MACD crossover on the total altcoin market capitalization chart appears for the fourth time in eight years. The three previous occurrences marked the beginning of major bullish supercycles. This technical signal, though rare, doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal but indicates a potential cycle bottom.
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