Bitcoin: Is the 4-Year Cycle Really Broken?
The crypto market is experiencing a marked phase of turbulence, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling back below $68,000 amid geopolitical tensions. This drop has reinforced a globally bearish sentiment, prompting some major analysts to question BTC’s famous 4-year cycle.
However, Anthony Scaramucci adopts a very different reading. According to him, this retracement is primarily explained by massive profit-taking from historical investors, particularly after testing the $100,000 zone. A classic phenomenon in crypto cycles, far from a profound structural change.
Despite the arrival of institutional capital via ETFs, the market’s cyclical DNA remains intact. Cascading liquidations and trading algorithms have amplified short-term volatility, but this phase could simply represent a transition before a major new impulsive movement.
Accumulation in 2026: The Next Bull Run in Preparation?
According to Scaramucci, investors will need to exercise patience. The year 2026 could remain marked by strong volatility, with a hesitant market and erratic movements. The real rally wouldn’t be expected until the fourth quarter, a period historically conducive to bullish impulses.
Until then, Bitcoin will need to defend key levels, particularly the $67,000 zone. A break could open the way to a return toward $60,000, reinforcing the correction phase. But this consolidation could also serve as a base for progressive accumulation by institutional investors.
In this context, periods of extreme fear become strategic. History shows that fear phases often precede the most powerful rebounds. If the scenario confirms, the coming months could represent a key opportunity before a new bull run and a potential return toward a new ATH.
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