FOMC and Macro: Will the Fed Reignite the Bull Run?
This is the event every crypto whale is watching. As the market attempts to digest recent selling pressure, all eyes turn to the United States and the Federal Reserve. Monetary policy decisions (FOMC) often act as a binary catalyst: a violent breakout or a brutal rejection.
If the discourse proves accommodating (dovish), we could witness a liquidity injection favoring risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, a strict stance could accentuate the current bearish sentiment and push prices toward new support levels. However, during bearish phases, good news very often forms local tops. It will therefore be all the more important to monitor Bitcoin’s movements before the meeting.
Token Deluge: Is Supply Shock Threatening Altcoins?
Beyond macroeconomics, the very structure of the market is being tested by major token unlock events scheduled for this week. Leading protocols (such as Jupiter or Sui according to the current calendar) are preparing to release millions of dollars worth of tokens onto the market.
This week of January 26, 2026, token unlocks crypto generate potential selling pressure on several projects. The most impactful remains Bitget Token (BGB) with a massive cliff unlock of 140 million tokens on January 26, valued around $508-528 million (price $3.60), representing ~7-10% of circulating supply – a major event being closely monitored.
GateToken (GT) follows with ~6.67 million GT unlocked on January 26 at 03:00 UTC, worth $64-67 million (5.79% of its market cap ~$1.11 billion). Among others to watch at the end of January: SIGN ($11.7M, 17.7% of supply, scheduled for the 28th), JUP ($10M, 1.7%, on the 28th), and TREE ($8.2M but 39.4% in cliff, on the 29th), which risks high volatility. These unlocks brutally increase supply.
Bitcoin: Can Current Support Trigger the Rebound?
The question burning on every investor’s lips is simple: is the purge over? Technically, the market is testing crucial demand zones. If Bitcoin manages to transform its current resistance into support, the path toward a new rally could open up quickly.
As Killa indicates, Bitcoin has formed a CME gap at $89,000, a gap that “should be filled this week,” according to him. It will therefore be necessary to monitor Bitcoin’s rebound this Tuesday before, or during the FOMC. The support at $85,000 is the ideal place to position if these levels are revisited.
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