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Polymarket predicts: Ethereum faces a 60% chance of losing its number two spot to Solana
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Polymarket predicts: Ethereum faces a 60% chance of losing its number two spot to Solana

Polymarket predicts a 60% chance Ethereum will fall from its #2 spot by 2026. Solana and Tether are challenging ETH. Read the analysis now!

Written by Charles Ledoux

Adapted by March 16, 2026 at 08:31 by Simon Dumoulin

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Polymarket Goes Wild: A Massive Turnaround for ETH?

Bettors on the decentralized platform Polymarket are crystal clear: there’s now nearly a 60% chance that Ethereum will lose its crown as Bitcoin’s runner-up by 2026. A massive statistic when you consider this probability was only 14% last January. This brutal shift in sentiment illustrates investors’ current nervousness toward an asset struggling to regain its momentum.

Technically, the trend is clearly bearish. After suffering a severe retracement that brought its price down to around $2,100, Ether is dangerously moving away from its peaks. Traders are closely monitoring support levels, fearing that a breakdown could trigger an even deeper drop before hoping for a potential bullish breakout.

Despite this selling pressure, on-chain data reveals mysterious accumulation by whales. Large wallets are taking advantage of this decline to strengthen their positions, likely betting on a future rally linked to institutional adoption and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA).

Solana and Tether Ready to Shatter the Rankings?

If Ethereum is wavering, who’s positioned to take its place? The stablecoin giant, Tether (USDT), emerges as the natural candidate. With a constantly growing market cap, fueled by massive liquidity needs, USDT is dangerously eating into ETH’s market share.

Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) continues to win over developers and traders. Thanks to its ultra-fast architecture and negligible fees, the network is attracting a growing share of DeFi activity. If Solana manages to maintain this breakneck pace during the next bull run, it could well create a surprise and shake up the hierarchy.

Yet Ethereum hasn’t said its final word. The network still hosts the majority of institutional capital and largely dominates the tokenization sector. The battle for second place promises to be epic, and volatility is likely to explode in the coming months.

How Far Can Ethereum’s (ETH) Price Go?

Facing these growing threats and an uncertain market, investors are questioning Ether’s ability to bounce back. The network’s fundamentals remain solid, but competition has never been fiercer.

If buyers regain control, could ETH’s price soar and target a new ATH? Or will we witness a historic paradigm shift in the top 3 cryptocurrencies?

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Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux

Charles Ledoux is a Bitcoin and blockchain technology specialist. A graduate of the Crypto Academy, he has been a Bitcoin miner for over a year. He has written numerous masterclasses to educate newcomers to the industry and has authored over 2,000 articles on cryptocurrency. Now, he aims to share his passion for crypto through his articles for InvestX.

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