As 2025 ended bearishly for Solana, this early 2026 brings a potential turnaround. With top technical fundamentals and the explosive rise of memecoins like BONK, can SOL finally catch up and outperform the market? An analysis of a divergence that could be costly for sellers.
The picture for Solana in 2025 is mixed. On the price front, SOL ended the year as the worst-performing asset in the top 10, with a decline of 34.16%, far behind more resilient competitors. A disappointment for investors, but a reading based solely on the chart remains incomplete.
Behind the scenes, the fundamentals have never been stronger. On-chain data shows a 34% increase in transactions per second (TPS) year-over-year, placing Solana well ahead of other Layer 1 networks. Real network usage is growing strongly, despite still bearish market sentiment.
This disconnect between network activity and valuation creates a classic inefficiency. Historically, when fundamentals and price diverge to this extent, a catch-up movement (mean reversion) often eventually asserts itself, sometimes brutally.
Added to these fundamentals is now a powerful hype engine: The return of memecoins. In early 2026, the sector’s market cap surged 30% in one week, with BONK leading the charge, posting +58% over the period.
This dynamic is directly reflected on Solana. The network’s launchpad volumes reached $228 million, with nearly 73% tied to the BONK ecosystem. Solana now accounts for approximately 15% of total memecoin market capitalization, attracting massive speculative liquidity.
The current setup is therefore clear: Solid fundamentals + speculative catalyst. If liquidity continues to flow from memecoins into the token SOL, psychological resistances could give way. The question is no longer whether Solana works, but when the market will decide to revalue these fundamentals with, on the horizon, a possible return to all-time highs.
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