The SOL is showing two bearish technical patterns on its daily chart, hinting at a potential drop below the $100 mark. This looming threat comes as Solana ETFs see substantial inflows. The upcoming weeks are set to be critical for the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in the market.
An in-depth examination of Solana ‘s daily chart reveals the presence of two classic bearish continuation patterns. These technical configurations, recognized by chart analysts, suggest increasing selling pressure despite bounce attempts.
The first identified pattern is characterized by price compression with increasingly lower highs, indicating that buyers are gradually losing control of the momentum. Each bullish rally is systematically rejected at lower levels, forming a descending resistance that stifles any attempt at sustainable recovery.
The second bearish structure reinforces this pessimistic scenario. Trading volumes accompanying downward movements significantly exceed those of bounce phases, confirming that market sentiment is clearly leaning toward sellers. If the critical support at $100 breaks, bearish acceleration could drive SOL toward significantly lower price zones, with potential technical targets around $85 to $90.
The apparent contradiction between inflows into Solana ETFs and the technical weakness of the price deserves a nuanced analysis. Exchange-traded products operate according to a temporal dynamic different from that of spot or leveraged trading.
Institutional investors who favor ETFs generally adopt a long-term approach, less sensitive to weekly fluctuations. These capital inflows represent conviction in the fundamental value of the Solana ecosystem rather than a bet on short-term price evolution. This distinction explains why positive flows don’t necessarily prevent a technical correction.
Nevertheless, these institutional investments constitute a significant safety cushion. In case of a marked drop below $100, the structural demand generated by ETFs could limit the correction’s amplitude. Fund managers might even take advantage of a significant decline to strengthen their positions, creating organic support at depressed price levels.
Beyond technical analysis, several macroeconomic elements influence Solana’s trajectory. The persistent correlation between SOL and Bitcoin remains a determining factor. Any additional BTC weakness would mechanically drag major altcoins in its wake.
The American regulatory context also continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Discussions around token classification and SEC decisions directly impact the valuation of layer 1 protocols like Solana. Each regulatory announcement can trigger sudden movements, amplifying the already high market volatility.
Experienced traders are now monitoring several key levels. Maintaining above $100 constitutes the immediate line of defense. In case of breakdown, the $92 and $85 zones represent the next major supports where a buyer reaction could materialize. Conversely, a bounce above $115 would temporarily invalidate the bearish scenario and open the path toward $125.
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