Peter Brandt Sets an Exact Date for the End of the Bitcoin Bear Market

Trading veteran Peter Brandt has just issued a prediction that is sending shockwaves through the markets: the Bitcoin bear market is not over yet — but its final low could be pinpointed to a specific date.

While many analysts are debating a potential rebound, Brandt goes further by targeting an exact month for the ultimate cycle bottom — and by asserting that Bitcoin will outperform artificial intelligence stocks over a two to three year horizon.

A bold thesis, grounded in decades of classical chart analysis experience, and one that deserves a closer look.

October as the Target: The Logic Behind Brandt’s Prediction

Peter Brandt, a legendary figure in technical trading with over 50 years of market experience, is pointing to October 2025 as the likely window for Bitcoin‘s final bottom in this bear cycle. This projection is not pulled from thin air — it is rooted in the analysis of BTC’s historical cycles, specifically the average duration of post-ATH contraction phases observed in previous cycles (2018, 2022).

In his methodology, Brandt primarily uses point and figure analysis and classical price structures to identify reversal zones. According to him, the market has not yet capitulated sufficiently to validate a true cycle bottom. Volume, candle structure, and overall sentiment have not yet met the conditions for a lasting floor — at least not at this stage.

This reading stands in sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism among certain market participants who interpret every technical bounce as the signal for a new bull run. For Brandt, patience remains the cardinal discipline: entering too early on a false bottom means exposing yourself to significant additional drawdown before the real upside move begins.

Bitcoin vs AI Stocks: Brandt Picks His Side Without Hesitation

Beyond the timing, Peter Brandt‘s stance on the Bitcoin vs artificial intelligence stocks debate is particularly noteworthy. According to him, buying Bitcoin today — even if the bottom has not yet been reached — offers a better risk/reward ratio over 24 to 36 months than investing in AI names at their current valuation levels.

The argument is structural: AI stocks such as Nvidia and pure-play sector names already price in massive growth premiums within their valuation multiples. Any slowdown in adoption or earnings disappointment could trigger a violent compression of those multiples. Bitcoin, on the other hand, operates on its own cycle, decoupled from corporate fundamentals, with the 2024 halving serving as an identifiable macro catalyst.

Brandt makes no promises on price targets — he reasons in terms of probabilities and market structures. His conviction: the next Bitcoin bull market, once the October bottom is confirmed, could generate asymmetric returns that few traditional assets will be able to replicate. A thesis that echoes his historically bullish positioning on BTC, long before the asset went mainstream.

What Traders Should Take Away From This Analysis

Brandt’s prediction raises a central question for market participants: should you wait until October to accumulate, or start building positions now through progressive DCA? The answer depends on individual risk profiles, but Brandt’s chartist logic suggests that impatience remains the primary enemy of the trader in a bear market phase.

On the technical side, several key levels are worth monitoring in the weeks ahead. Bitcoin’s ability to hold major structural support zones — or conversely to break below them — will provide early signals on the validity of the October scenario. On-chain data, particularly the MVRV ratio and exchange inflow/outflow metrics (available on CryptoQuant), remain essential complementary indicators for confirming or invalidating this timing.

Finally, it is worth remembering that even the best traders get the exact timing of reversals wrong. The real value of Brandt’s analysis lies less in the specific date he puts forward than in the rigorous analytical framework he offers: do not confuse a technical bounce with a cycle bottom, and maintain a long-term perspective in a market that remains structurally bullish on Bitcoin.