August begins with subdued volatility but palpable tension in the Bitcoin market. With miners taking profits, institutional investors flowing in, and ambiguous technical signals, BTC could surprise. Analysis of likely scenarios for the coming weeks.
In early July, Bitcoin mining reserves experienced a significant increase. This accumulation occurred while the cryptocurrency was reaching new records. However, since July 22, these reserves have begun to decrease, indicating that miners are now looking to secure their profits.
This shift in miner behavior could introduce new headwinds for BTC in August. Since miners control a significant portion of newly issued BTC supply, their decisions can directly impact price movements.
However, institutional demand for Bitcoin could counterbalance the selling pressure from miners. According to Abdul Rafay Gadit, co-founder and CFO of Zignaly, inflows from Bitcoin ETFs, particularly those managed by BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark, are creating stable structural demand. This provides more support for price levels than the decrease in miner sales can undermine.
The continuing growth of institutional demand for BTC is reflected in the $237 million net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs this week. Any potential selling pressure from miners could be effectively offset. This would help stabilize BTC’s price in August.
Currently, BTC is trading around $117,826, maintaining a range between support at $116,952 and resistance at $120,811. Institutional demand could continue to increase and overall market sentiment improve. This could push BTC’s price beyond the $120,811 resistance, bringing it closer to its all-time high in August.
However, increased downward pressure could drive BTC below the $116,925 support level, potentially pushing it toward $114,354. The evolution of miner behavior and institutional demand will therefore be key factors to watch for Bitcoin in the coming month.
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